Posted on 08/21/2003 6:40:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone
President George W. Bush’s job performance rating has slipped to 52% positive, 48% negative, according to a poll of 1,011 likely U.S. voters by Zogby International. From a post-September 11th peak of 82%, his rating has slipped steadily with the exception of a slight increase following the official end of the war in Iraq. Bush Job Performance Event Positive % Negative % August 16-19, 2003 Current 52 48 July 16-17, 2003 Current 53 46 June 10, 2003 Post Iraqi War 58 41 March 16, 2003 Pre Iraqi War 54 45 September 25, 2002 One year Post 9/11 64 36 September 23, 2001 Post 9/11 82 17 August 27, 2001 Pre 9/11 50 49 April 26, 2001 100 Days in Office 52 44 January 16, 2001 Pre Inauguration 42 36 The ‘down’ trend is also seen in the percent of likely voters who say it’s time for someone new in the White House (48%), compared to 45% who said the President deserves to be re-elected.
Date Re-Elect % Someone New % August 16-19, 2003 45 48 July 16-17, 2003 46 47 June 10, 2003 49 38 January 27, 2003 49 41 October 25, 2002 49 35 September 25, 2002 49 38 Nearly three in five (58%) respondents say they have a favorable opinion of the President as a person, while 40% say their opinion is unfavorable. In July polling, his rating was 57% favorable, 42% unfavorable. Date % Favorable % Unfavorable August 16-19, 2003 58 40 July 16-17, 2003 57 42 January 27, 2003 66 33 July 22, 2002 72 25 April 5, 2002 82 17 July 30, 2001 57 36 February 15, 2001 64 14 Just over two in five (43%) likely voters say they would choose President Bush over a Democratic candidate, and a like number (43%) preferred a Democrat if the election were held today, compared to July polling by Zogby International where 48% would choose Bush and 43% would favor any Democrat. The Zogby America poll involved 1,011 likely voters selected randomly from throughout the 48 contiguous states using listed residential telephone numbers. Polling was conducted from Zogby International’s Call Center in Utica, NY on August 16-19, 2003. The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.2%. Additional tracking information can be seen at www.zogby.com, Trends Over Time.
I recall asking friends who were graduating college what kind of job they wanted.
"Oh, I'll take anything. Anything at all."
"Well, would you scoop ice cream?"
"Hell no!"
In the abstract, people are open to "someone else" but when it comes to particulars, it's a different story.
Wait a minute, guys.
Did any of you read this?
The Zogby America poll involved 1,011 likely voters selected randomly from throughout the 48 contiguous states using listed residential telephone numbers.
Would any one of you like to have seen the questions on the poll? How the hell does "random selection" lead to an accurate result?
Damn push poll is what this is.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
THat said, I find it interesting that Bush's poll numbers for August dates are consistant. I see a possible seasonal effect here.
Reagan's numbers were not so good at the same point in his first term. Then came November 1984.
Next question.
GWB will get our support, will win the election, will continue the fight. I recommend we focus our additional energies on expanding the margin in the Senate.
But maybe you're right.
Possibly. However, I would suspect that statistical accuracy would have been increased had Zogby done the same poll several times. Now perhaps he did.
If this is accurate, we'll be in for a rough patch until the economy improves demonstrably. However, Zogby's record in 2002 was nothing to write home about.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
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