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Bush Re-elect Numbers Worsen; 43%-43% Bush vs. any Democratic Contender (Zogby Dem. Puke Poll)
Zogby ^ | 8/21/03

Posted on 08/21/2003 6:40:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone

President George W. Bush’s job performance rating has slipped to 52% positive, 48% negative, according to a poll of 1,011 likely U.S. voters by Zogby International.  From a post-September 11th peak of 82%, his rating has slipped steadily with the exception of a slight increase following the official end of the war in Iraq.  

Bush Job Performance

Event

Positive %

Negative %

August 16-19, 2003

Current

52

48

July 16-17, 2003

Current

53

46

June 10, 2003

Post Iraqi War

58

41

March 16, 2003

Pre Iraqi War

54

45

September 25, 2002

One year Post 9/11

64

36

September 23, 2001

Post 9/11

82

17

August 27, 2001

Pre 9/11

50

49

April 26, 2001

100 Days in Office

52

44

January 16, 2001

Pre Inauguration

42

36

   

The ‘down’ trend is also seen in the percent of likely voters who say it’s time for someone new in the White House (48%), compared to 45% who said the President deserves to be re-elected. 

Date

Re-Elect %

Someone New %

August 16-19, 2003

45

48

July 16-17, 2003

46

47

June 10, 2003

49

38

January 27, 2003

49

41

October 25, 2002

49

35

September 25, 2002

49

38

 

Nearly three in five (58%) respondents say they have a favorable opinion of the President as a person, while 40% say their opinion is unfavorable.  In July polling, his rating was 57% favorable, 42% unfavorable.

Date

% Favorable

% Unfavorable

August 16-19, 2003

58

40

July 16-17, 2003

57

42

January 27, 2003

66

33

July 22, 2002

72

25

April 5, 2002

82

17

July 30, 2001

57

36

February 15, 2001

64

14

Just over two in five (43%) likely voters say they would choose President Bush over a Democratic candidate, and a like number (43%) preferred a Democrat if the election were held today, compared to July polling by Zogby International where 48% would choose Bush and 43% would favor any Democrat.

The Zogby America poll involved 1,011 likely voters selected randomly from throughout the 48 contiguous states using listed residential telephone numbers.  Polling was conducted from Zogby International’s Call Center in Utica, NY on August 16-19, 2003. The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.2%.  

Additional tracking information can be seen at www.zogby.com, Trends Over Time.

 



TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; demshill; electionpresident; polls; zogby
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To: ClearCase_guy
Not only that, but someone might answer "Heck, I'd vote for (insert Republican here) over GW" and that would count as someone else- the question didn't say specifically a democrat someone else, but the analysis at the bottom claimed it did.

21 posted on 08/21/2003 7:08:48 AM PDT by Vesuvian
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To: areafiftyone
Well, vs. generic Democrat is probably going to look worse than vs. specific Democrat.

Also, the economy is improving, but not quite there yet.

And, undoubtedly, W has lost some of the conservative base. He can probably get it back by ignoring Rove, and vetoing the AW ban or something along those lines.

22 posted on 08/21/2003 7:12:20 AM PDT by B Knotts
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To: B Knotts
All this shows (at least to me) is the Dems are not too thrilled with their choices for the Democratic nomination right now and I don't think anything will change. These are the lowest poll numbers for dems in years. I don't think Al Gore even got these low poll numbers. If you were a Dem would you pick from this group? I wouldn't, I would refuse to vote for these idiots!
23 posted on 08/21/2003 7:21:05 AM PDT by areafiftyone (The U.N. needs a good Flush!)
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To: areafiftyone
Terribly misleading headline. Note that the margin of error is about 3%, and none of the numbers have changed more than 2% since the July 16-17 poll -- some in our favor (like on job approval), some for the worse. The correct headline based on the numbers reported would be: "Bush's Poll Numbers Hold Steady".
24 posted on 08/21/2003 7:22:45 AM PDT by Brandon
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To: areafiftyone
Chris Matthews will be covering this story with great enthusiasm.
25 posted on 08/21/2003 7:39:25 AM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: areafiftyone
Well Bush is against God in enforcing the Saudi-created "Road Map" (to Auschwitz II). All he needs to do is go against God by sending the Feds in to remove the Alabama 10 Commandments monument and these numbers will drop to 30%.

On the "Conservative" front, I'm still waiting for recess appointments of Presilla Owen and the other judicial nominees. What was the point of throwing Trent Lott out on his ass, when all we got was Bill Frist, twice the pussy that Lott ever was? If all we can expect from this White House is to bend over on the USSC Michigan decision and to bend over the Chuck Schumer's litmus tests in the Senate, that is a pretty dispiriting situation. It's hard to criticize Schwarzenegger's "moderate" politics when Bush isn't doing much better.

26 posted on 08/21/2003 7:40:43 AM PDT by montag813
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To: areafiftyone
The Zogby America poll involved 1,011 likely voters selected randomly from throughout the 48 contiguous states using listed residential telephone numbers.

Have any of you EVER been polled? Just stop and think about something for a moment, if these polls are "selected randomly using listed residential telephone numbers", why have probably NONE of us ever been polled? Selected randomly? My @$$! I know quite a few RATs who have been polled, but I never have. Something stinks with Zogby polls.

27 posted on 08/21/2003 7:48:17 AM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (Clone Ann Coulter, the woman sent by God)
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To: section9
Damn push poll is what this is.

Like I said...DNC talking points and media ho's.

28 posted on 08/21/2003 7:48:42 AM PDT by CedarDave (The Dems look for a shadow on the brightest day, call it the dark of night and blame George W. Bush)
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To: All
THREE POINTS:

1.) Zogby uses an excellent/good vs fair/poor dichotomy to determine his positive/negative numbers. If he used the typical approve/disapprove dichotomy, the President's approval numbers would actually reach approximately 60%!

2.) During his PEAK years (with a great economy and a cheering media), Clinton frequently had similar 'Zogby' numbers:

Overall, how would you rate the performance of Bill Clinton as president: excellent, good, fair, or poor?"
Excellent/Good Fair/Poor Not Sure

1/03-05/00 52 48 - 879LV
9/21-23/99 48 49 3 1,005LV
5/14-16/99 47 52 1 1,023LV
4/05-07/99 52 47 1 916LV
2/15-17/99 55 44 1 756LV
1/19-21/99 61 38 1 993LV
10/11-14/98 56 43 1 864LV
10/04-06/98 55 44 1 861LV
9/21-22/98 61 38 1 898LV
9/11-13/98 55 45 0 796LV
7/29-31/98 56 43 1 976LV
7/06-09/98 53 46 1 1,206LV
5/17-19/98 56 43 1
4/98 56 43 1
3/98 55 43 2
1/98 57 42 1
10/97 51 48 1
8/97 50 48 2
6/97 42 55 3
4/97 44 55 1
1/97 51 49 -

However, Clinton's FAVORABILITY ratings from 1998 on (when Zogby started polling likely voters) were typically in the low 50s/mid 40s VS the President's current almost 60% -- among LVs Clinton NEVER earned a FAVORABILITY rating as high as 58%!!

3.) Generic preference polls mean ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!!! I'll start paying attention to polls with SPECIFIC match-ups in about a year!

BOTTOMLINE: The President's polling numbers have stabilized over the last 6 weeks (and we're in the SUMMER polling period which is notoriously UNRELIABLE)!

We are now in a highly partisan period as we approach the 2004 elections -- predictably, Democrats have gone 'home' as have Democrat-leaning Independents. Republicans remain almost unanimous in their support of the President (ALL polls have Republican support over 90%) as have Republican-leaning Independents. The latter is all we need -- a President with an approval rating above 50% gets re-elected!!!!
29 posted on 08/21/2003 7:50:28 AM PDT by DrDeb
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To: ClearCase_guy
In the abstract, people are open to "someone else" but when it comes to particulars, it's a different story.

What a shame the Dems can't run "no choice". No choice seems to get a plurality when given a list of the potential candidates. And, it's how the Dems seem to "win" in these surveys...when no candidate is named!

30 posted on 08/21/2003 7:53:56 AM PDT by grania ("Won't get fooled again")
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To: Ditter
I too was weeded out of the Zogby online poll
31 posted on 08/21/2003 8:00:17 AM PDT by UB355
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To: El Che Vive
El Che Vive
Since Aug 12, 2003

Yeah, whatever.
32 posted on 08/21/2003 8:10:05 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (BULLDOZE AL AQSA!)
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Comment #33 Removed by Moderator

Comment #34 Removed by Moderator

But many Democrats hate Bush as much as some Conservatives do.
35 posted on 08/21/2003 8:16:49 AM PDT by Consort
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To: B Knotts
Bush is not a conservative. More like a Olympia Snowe Republican. No vote for you from me this time. Democrap or Republican...not much difference. Not worth the $1.00 to drive to the polls.
36 posted on 08/21/2003 8:17:32 AM PDT by cp124
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To: BattleRoyale
I know what you are talking about. Most of these polls are taken during work hours. Most hard working Republicans are at their job. The 1,000 sampled are more than likely laying on a couch at home drawing welfare and smoking cigs.
37 posted on 08/21/2003 8:18:45 AM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (Clone Ann Coulter, the woman sent by God)
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To: Arrowhead1952
Most hard working Republicans are at their job.

Unless it has been moved to Inida

38 posted on 08/21/2003 8:27:55 AM PDT by Delphster
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Comment #39 Removed by Moderator

To: cp124
Well, he's more conservative than Schwarzenegger. :-)

You're right that he is not really a conservative; he's more of a moderate, who leans conservative on some issues. Not quite to the Olympia Snowe level, though.

40 posted on 08/21/2003 8:58:31 AM PDT by B Knotts
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