Posted on 08/21/2003 6:40:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone
President George W. Bushs job performance rating has slipped to 52% positive, 48% negative, according to a poll of 1,011 likely U.S. voters by Zogby International. From a post-September 11th peak of 82%, his rating has slipped steadily with the exception of a slight increase following the official end of the war in Iraq. Bush Job Performance Event Positive % Negative % August 16-19, 2003 Current 52 48 July 16-17, 2003 Current 53 46 June 10, 2003 Post Iraqi War 58 41 March 16, 2003 Pre Iraqi War 54 45 September 25, 2002 One year Post 9/11 64 36 September 23, 2001 Post 9/11 82 17 August 27, 2001 Pre 9/11 50 49 April 26, 2001 100 Days in Office 52 44 January 16, 2001 Pre Inauguration 42 36 The down trend is also seen in the percent of likely voters who say its time for someone new in the White House (48%), compared to 45% who said the President deserves to be re-elected.
Date Re-Elect % Someone New % August 16-19, 2003 45 48 July 16-17, 2003 46 47 June 10, 2003 49 38 January 27, 2003 49 41 October 25, 2002 49 35 September 25, 2002 49 38 Nearly three in five (58%) respondents say they have a favorable opinion of the President as a person, while 40% say their opinion is unfavorable. In July polling, his rating was 57% favorable, 42% unfavorable. Date % Favorable % Unfavorable August 16-19, 2003 58 40 July 16-17, 2003 57 42 January 27, 2003 66 33 July 22, 2002 72 25 April 5, 2002 82 17 July 30, 2001 57 36 February 15, 2001 64 14 Just over two in five (43%) likely voters say they would choose President Bush over a Democratic candidate, and a like number (43%) preferred a Democrat if the election were held today, compared to July polling by Zogby International where 48% would choose Bush and 43% would favor any Democrat. The Zogby America poll involved 1,011 likely voters selected randomly from throughout the 48 contiguous states using listed residential telephone numbers. Polling was conducted from Zogby Internationals Call Center in Utica, NY on August 16-19, 2003. The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.2%. Additional tracking information can be seen at www.zogby.com, Trends Over Time.
I've been polled. You may not even know the focus of the poll, because the two I've participated in have had a wide range of stuff. from my purchasing preferences to political affiliation to most admired people, etc. It could be a 100 question poll that establishes a profile of you while being commissioned for a couple very specific reasons. You'd never know.
Zogby controls for that type of bias. I know folks around here like to bash him, but no other polls came close in 2000. People on this site bashed Zogby and ridiculed his predictions, and he was dead-on.
That was the race Zogby actually got right, at the very end showing Bush winning in a rout. His other results in 2002 were mixed at best, including predicting a solid win for Strickland over Allard in Colorado when it turned out quite the opposite. Oops, he said. The model needs to be updated. Duh.
He's gonna have to fall back on that one forever. He showed pro-Dem, and the DUI thing caused a pro-Dem shift. It takes more than one election to justify a reputation.
I thought he nailed the 96 election as well?
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/walterwilliams/ww20030820.shtml
(I'm not sure why the hyperlink didn't work. Sorry.)
1)Tax Cuts (the future could bring a move towards a fair tax and a scrapping of the income tax!)
2)The outsourcing of government jobs
3)Refusal to bail out the states
4)Social Security Privatization
5)Energy Policy, including building more plants (read nuclear) and drilling in ANWaR.
6)John Aschcroft and his successful pursuit and arresting of terrorists
7)Scrapping of the stupid ABM treaty with Russia and moving towards building a missile defense system.
8)Instructing his justice department to re-affirm the second ammendment as a personal rather than a group right.
9)Solid support for Israel, to the point that he is hero over there and is even more highly thought of in Israel than he is in America.
10)His refusal to sign onto Kyoto or the ICC.
All of the above is wonderful and I consider it all gravy. I would vote for President Bush simply because of the way he has fought terrorism abroad since 9/11. His decision to uproot the Taliban and Saddam Hussein and his decision to put all terrorist on notice than they can be next. I know some people are upset about his cozy relationship with the Saudis and Pakistan but I am certain he has even put them on notice when it comes to terrorism. I truly support the man and believe that whomever the Democrats pick will be far worse than what we already have. Is he perfect? Of course not and we all have our own ideas about what the perfect candidate is but we need to support this guy and close ranks now. The Democrats are sharks and attack quicly at the smell of blood. I can't even fatham what a President Dean or a President Kerry would wreak on this nation. I don't wish to find out!
The drop from 58% to 52% over two months is right at the edge of both margins of error. It would be improbable that in both months, his approval was 55% and it was missed by 3% in opposite directions.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.