Posted on 05/25/2010 4:23:38 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Having attended a speech of Nikki Haleys in Atlanta last year, her run for Governor of South Carolina is one Ive followed. Living here, Ive also watched the California Senate race. Both situations seemed to be stable: Haley was stuck in fourth, while in California Tom Campbell was staying ahead of second place Carly Fiorina.
Then Sarah Palin intervened, and both Haley and Fiorina shot into first place in new polls. Now we have confirmation of both events. Sarah Palin carries respect in the Republican Party.
Public Policy Polling checked both primaries. In South Carolina, they show Haley running away at 39, ahead of Henry McMaster at 18, Gresham Barrett at 16, and Andre Bauer at 13 (MoE 3.9). 39 isnt enough to avoid a runoff, but Haley seems guaranteed to make it to that runoff. A previous poll had Haley at 30.
In California, which has no runoff, PPP shows Fiorina at 41 to Campbells 21 and Chuck DeVores 16. SurveyUSA had her at 46, but a 20 point lead will suffice in a state with no runoffs. Additionally, 21 is the lowest point Campbell has reached in the RCP history of the race and 16 is tied for the highest DeVore has seen since Campbell entered.
The combination of Palins endorsement and Fiorinas television ad barrage seem not only to have broken the race open for the former HP CEO, but also appear to have sent Campbell on a downward slide, while DeVores also on the way up.
The South Carolina race is up in the air thanks to the runoff and certain allegations I wont name, but barring a Howard Dean-scale collapse, I think Fiorina has the California Senate nomination wrapped up. Its in the refrigerator, as Chick Hearn used to say.
Thats the power of Sarah Palin, it seems.
HAS SHE SUPPORTED jOE mILLER OVER LISA MURKOWSKI YET? I DON’T KNOW. SHE NEEDS TO.
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