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Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 10, 2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 03/10/2016 5:19:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

The good news for the Republican "establishment" is that there's a man who might be able to stop Donald Trump. The bad news is that it's Ted Cruz, someone they may dislike almost as much.

Cruz, who won Idaho on Tuesday while finishing second to Trump in Michigan, Mississippi and Hawaii, is within striking distance of Trump. So far, 29 percent of Republican primary voters have voted for Cruz as compared with 35 percent for Trump. Meanwhile, Cruz trails Trump by 100 delegates: not a trivial gap, although only one more than the 99 at stake in winner-take-all Florida next Tuesday.

The problem for Cruz is that Florida and the rest of the calendar probably aren't as favorable to him as the states that have voted so far. (Florida looks like a Trump state as Marco Rubio loses ground.) But Cruz does have a few things going for him. He's tended to outperform his polling almost everywhere. He's won states in all four major regions of the country. And he potentially stands to gain if Rubio and perhaps John Kasich drop out.

The exit polls in Michigan and Mississippi asked voters who they'd pick in a two-way race between Trump and Cruz, also giving them the option to say they'd sit out the race. Among Rubio voters, on average between the two states, about 75 percent said they'd still vote in a Trump-Cruz race, and of those, 80 percent would prefer Cruz to Trump. Kasich voters were somewhat more equivocal; 55 percent said they'd still vote, and of those, two-thirds would go to Cruz over Trump. Although this is the first time the exit polls have asked about one-on-one matchups, the results are consistent with national polls showing Trump losing ground as the field winnows....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: cruz; rubio; tedcruz; trump
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1 posted on 03/10/2016 5:19:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Problem is they move up North where Cruz is hated


2 posted on 03/10/2016 5:22:22 PM PST by scooby321
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yawn...your posts are full of shoulda, coulda, woulda’s.


3 posted on 03/10/2016 5:22:51 PM PST by tatown (Career politicians got us into this mess and they have no intention of getting us out of it.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Nate left out the help from the GOPe, which Ted will need and is beginning to get, and will not refuse


4 posted on 03/10/2016 5:23:33 PM PST by dontreadthis
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To: scooby321

Cruz said I’m not smart enough for him. Guess I stay home in November if he’s the guy.


5 posted on 03/10/2016 5:23:36 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (With Cruz You Get Rubio)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Trump with his pragmatic real-life record is a far more palatable national figure than Ted Cruz, whose unctuous, vainglorious professions of Christian piety don’t pass the smell test. Trump is a blunt, no-crap mensch, while Cruz is a ham actor, doling out fake compassion like chopped liver. Cruz’s lugubrious, weirdly womanish face, with its prim, tight smile and mawkishly appealing puppy-dog eyebrows, is like a waxen mask, always on the verge of melting. This guy doesn’t know who the hell he is—and the White House is no place for him and us to find out.”

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407639/posts?page=1


6 posted on 03/10/2016 5:23:44 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: scooby321

Like Iowa and Maine?


7 posted on 03/10/2016 5:24:00 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They actually pay him to write this crap? Cudda, wudda, shudder.


8 posted on 03/10/2016 5:24:52 PM PST by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: smoothsailing

Why ping me to a thread I posted?


9 posted on 03/10/2016 5:24:59 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: tatown

Yawn...your posts are full of shoulda, coulda, woulda’s.

You left out mighta be able “who mighta be able to stop Donald Trump”


10 posted on 03/10/2016 5:25:31 PM PST by Grampa Dave (I am just another low info/stupid and evil Trump supporter!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Here’s what going to happen; at the convention Trump won’t have enough for the first vote, Cruz will be handed the nomination and will chose Rubio for his vice president. Then if elected ( which probably won’t happen ) will back Amnesty.


11 posted on 03/10/2016 5:25:59 PM PST by heights
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To: Baldwin77

He’s considered the best pollster/statistician in the country, believe it or not.


12 posted on 03/10/2016 5:26:26 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: tatown

Jim Mora!


13 posted on 03/10/2016 5:26:32 PM PST by rineaux
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To: tatown

hey, I had very high hopes for Cruz too


14 posted on 03/10/2016 5:27:12 PM PST by dontreadthis
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To: The Iceman Cometh

You may want to add Bush to your tagline. Haha


15 posted on 03/10/2016 5:27:18 PM PST by rineaux
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thank you for posting this...Lord knows I haven’t seen ANYTHING like this on FR in the last 9 months...


16 posted on 03/10/2016 5:27:29 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I notice how the talk has shifted from “Cruz will WIN!” to “Cruz MIGHT be able to stop Trump” (by preventing him from getting enough delegates to do a first-ballot win).


17 posted on 03/10/2016 5:27:51 PM PST by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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To: heights

You have a future writing Trump fan fiction.


18 posted on 03/10/2016 5:27:53 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: ripnbang

I do what I can.


19 posted on 03/10/2016 5:28:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What is his campaign about now, Beating Trump? Visionary


20 posted on 03/10/2016 5:29:30 PM PST by wiseprince
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