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Trump vs. Hillary latest poll: New numbers show Clinton's lead shrinking dramatically
The Birmingham News ^ | June 29, 2016 | Leada Gore

Posted on 06/29/2016 10:34:27 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The latest poll on the 2016 race for the White House shows Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by just 2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University poll showed Clinton was the choice of 42 percent of the voters compared to 40 percent for Trump. The poll reflects a closer race than previously thought, with some recent polls showing Clinton up by more than 13 points.

The previous Quinnipiac poll, conducted June 1, had Clinton edging Trump 45 percent to 41 percent.

When third party candidates are added to the results – Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party's Jill Stein – Clinton is the choice for 39 percent of voters compared to 37 percent of Trump. Johnson is at 8 percent and Stein is at 4 percent....

(Excerpt) Read more at al.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; hillary; polls; trump; trumpbump
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There goes that meme.
1 posted on 06/29/2016 10:34:27 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Orlando Effect.


2 posted on 06/29/2016 10:37:21 AM PDT by Parmenio
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Orlando.


3 posted on 06/29/2016 10:37:45 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I don't pretend to understand the polls, and I try hard not to discount ones just because I don't like the results. However, the polls of the last three weeks have baffled me. Specifically, how come so many polls reported HRC’s numbers soar after Orlando?! That made no sense. I could see Orlando not moving HRC’s numbers, but why would a terror attack on our soil have sent undecided or Trump voters to HRC? That just makes no sense.
4 posted on 06/29/2016 10:38:00 AM PDT by utahagen
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wasn’t it also Quinnipiac that showed very close races in several battleground states earlier this week or last?

But those polls and this one are contrasted with the ABC/Wash Post poll that shows Hillary up 51-39 nationally, and the new CNN battleground polls that show her way up in those states.

The polling seems to be wildly inconsistent.


5 posted on 06/29/2016 10:38:45 AM PDT by Aetius
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh, Hillary, Don’t look now, but Nelson is pointing & laughing @ you!


6 posted on 06/29/2016 10:41:20 AM PDT by lee martell
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

"You cursed brat! Look what you've done! I'm melting! melting! Oh, what a world! What a world! Who would have thought good little voters like you could destroy my beautiful wickedness? Oooooh, look out! I'm going! Oooooh! Ooooooh!"

7 posted on 06/29/2016 10:41:51 AM PDT by jonrick46 (The Left has a mental disorder: A totalitarian mindset..)
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To: utahagen

Well, it’s fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.

Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.

Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe that’s not so far fetched.


8 posted on 06/29/2016 10:42:35 AM PDT by Williams (If Trump is not the nominee ... The party's over.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Orlando Effect soon to be followed by the Benghazi Effect!!


9 posted on 06/29/2016 10:45:20 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Aetius
A large number of voters are truly undecided. Of these undecided, most are in either the Never Trump or Never Clinton camp. The pollsters use their historical models to push the undecided one way or the other. They should report the Undecided Never Trump Undecided Never Clinton Undecided but not
10 posted on 06/29/2016 10:47:52 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The horse race is NOT news. Cheap and easy Space filler for the fishwraps.


11 posted on 06/29/2016 10:50:50 AM PDT by Paladin2 (auto spelchk? BWAhaha2haaa.....I aint't likely fixin' nuttin'. Blame it on the Bossa Nova...)
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To: Williams; All

“Well, it’s fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.

Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.

Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe that’s not so far fetched.”

The little mentioned thing about the “margins of error” for polls is that the truth is that there’s only a probability (90%) that the results would fall within the margin of error.

Beyond that, and a much more likely source of problems, is the sampling methodology. If a poll samples a higher percentage of Dems, blacks and college educated people, Clinton will do better. Most likely that’s what happened with the poll showing her up by 13.


12 posted on 06/29/2016 10:52:49 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty (Trump '16! Make America Greater Than Ever!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Of those polled, 61 percent said this year's election has increased the level of hatred and prejudice in the U.S. Of that 61 percent, 67 percent blame the Trump campaign and 16 percent blame the Clinton campaign.

This is part of why I think Trump will win in a landslide in November. Notice that 61 percent of 67 percent is about 41 percent...the same that Clinton is getting. Its fairly obvious that the around 40% who would vote for Clinton are largely the exact same around 40% that say Trump's campaign is based on hate and division.

I do not expect this propped up narrative to survive with all the 40 percent Clinton has now. Trump has charisma, and he will be able to use it when he is able to get exposure in the debates without needing to rely on trash talk to stand out in a field of 17 opponents.

On the flip side, Clinton has negative charisma, and she really is guilty of obvious lying and corruption, and there is no way to get around it.

I am sticking by my prediction I made in May when I warned other Freepers not to expect Trump's small poll lead to hold...Clinton will tend to poll ahead of Trump until about the first debate, and then she will crater over the following weeks and be crushed in November.

13 posted on 06/29/2016 10:54:55 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Pagliano pleading the 5th 125 times didn't help.

Let's see how Huma does. It's the titbits of damning info. that are eating away at Hillary and Trump has wasted no time in underscoring her LIES.

14 posted on 06/29/2016 10:58:43 AM PDT by CivilWarBrewing (Females DESTROYED America.)
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To: CivilWarBrewing
Let's see how Huma does.

That is one testimony most people would like to hear. Even I could come up with some good questions to ask her.

15 posted on 06/29/2016 11:03:38 AM PDT by seawolf101 (This)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Jane Long; BlackFemaleArmyCaptain; Black Agnes; djstex; mkjessup; RoosterRedux; ...

PING


16 posted on 06/29/2016 11:04:40 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: seawolf101

Only a limited range of questioning is allowed.


17 posted on 06/29/2016 11:12:53 AM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
When third party candidates are added to the results – Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party's Jill Stein – Clinton is the choice for 39 percent of voters compared to 37 percent of Trump. Johnson is at 8 percent and Stein is at 4 percent....

That's just crazy. I don't see Johnson or Stein getting anywhere close to those numbers. In 2012, Libertarian nominee Johnson received 0.99% of the vote and Green Party Jill Stein received 0.36% of the vote. Obama and Romney combined for 98.16% of the vote!

I think Johnson is where a lot of the Trump voters are parked and the Stein supporters are likely disgruntled Bernie supporters who do not want to be on record as voting for Shrillary.

18 posted on 06/29/2016 11:16:36 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Delegates So Far: Trump (1,542); Cruz (559); Rubio (165); Kasich (161)
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To: utahagen

I would be suspect of any poll which had HRC’s numbers either soar or tank. She is a known entity, and people are entrenched in their view of her.


19 posted on 06/29/2016 11:21:00 AM PDT by lacrew
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To: spintreebob
Of these undecided, most are in either the Never Trump or Never Clinton camp.

IMO, the "Never Clinton" group will grow as more as revealed about her and she is exposed as the dishonest, incompetent liar that she is. The "Never Trump" group will most likely shrink because the more people see of Trump and hear what he actually believes rather than the distortions the MSM loves to report, the more people like him.

20 posted on 06/29/2016 11:25:08 AM PDT by srmorton (Deut. 30 19: "..I have set before you life and death,....therefore, choose life..")
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