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Newsweek Poll: Kerry surges to the head of the pack, beating even Bush. ( Lib RAG Alert)
newsweek via msnbc.msn.com ^ | 01/24/04 | Brian Braiker

Posted on 01/24/2004 1:55:23 PM PST by KQQL

Bush’s own standing has slipped among registered voters. "Because of American leadership and resolve, the world is changing for the better," he declared Tuesday. But more people now say they are dissatisfied (52 percent) than satisfied (43 percent) with the way things are going in the United States, down from a post-9/11 peak last April of 50 percent satisfied. And even thought Bush used the State of the Union to emphasize his controversial tax cuts, Medicare overhaul, opposition to gay marriage and a burgeoning economic rebound, Bush saw his job performance ratings dip to 50 percent approval (versus 44 percent who disapprove)—his most negative ratings to date—suggesting a nation sharply divided over the president and his policies. To be sure, Bush is just as solidly backed by Republicans (85 percent) as he is opposed by Democrats (86 percent).

Overall, 52 percent of those polled by NEWSWEEK say they would not like to see Bush serve a second term, compared to 44 percent who want to see him win again in November.

As a result, Kerry is enjoying a marginal advantage over Bush, a first for the poll. Forty-nine percent of registered voters chose Kerry, compared to 46 percent who re-elected Bush.

In fact, all Democrats are polling better against Bush, perhaps due to increased media attention to their primary horserace: Clark gets 47 percent of voters’ choice compared to 48 percent from Bush; Edwards has 46 percent compared to Bush’s 49; Leiberman wins 45 percent versus Bush’s 49 percent; and Dean fares the worst with 45 percent of their votes to Bush’s 50 percent.

------------------------------------------

For this NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,006 adults aged 18 and older Jan. 22 and Jan. 23 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; newsweak; polls
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To: KQQL
I can tell you falt up that this poll is a pile of $hit and at best is inpet and worse a lie to help democrats. Kerry does not have the name recognition to do this and the most recent FOX News poll (as of 1/25) has Bush beating Kerry by 7 points.
121 posted on 01/24/2004 3:41:37 PM PST by KC_Conspirator (This space for rent)
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To: KQQL
Not suprising considering the Kerry love fest in the last few days..
122 posted on 01/24/2004 3:57:49 PM PST by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
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To: Kevin Curry
Why do you believe a Democrat president would succeed?

I think a Democrat president would very likely succeed in getting what he (or it) wants..

Why wouldn't a D president succeed in getting a more lenient amnesty? What track record of success does an R congress have with a D president?

Do you remember what happened in '95? Do you remember what happened in January and February of '99? And, those were the few and far between stand-up times. And, they both ended in failure. Yet your romanticize it.

I'll take my chances with the R president.

123 posted on 01/24/2004 4:02:45 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: calchey
Be happy for once in your life (if that is possible)that we have a wonderful President who we should respect.

Amen! You are right on!

124 posted on 01/24/2004 4:04:38 PM PST by Faith
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To: will1776
This is not even a poll of registered voters--simply a poll of adults 18 years of age or over--which makes it virtually meaningless. And it comes at a critical time: when Kerry needs a big win in NH over Dean. I suspect it is phony.
125 posted on 01/24/2004 4:11:27 PM PST by ultima ratio
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To: ultima ratio
Check the post I was replying to. That said it was registered voters. Anyway, NBC didn't fail to cite it as Gospel on the evening news.
126 posted on 01/24/2004 4:14:17 PM PST by WinOne4TheGipper (Appease "my-way-or-the-highway" conservatives. Build new roads.)
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To: KQQL
I bet this poll is heavy on Reg Dem voters.

Even if it is not disproportionately so, this is still not surprising. If you look at the early stage of Presidential election years, opposition front runners invariably start off with a poll advantage over incumbent Presidents. Mondale lead over Reagan, and Dole did over Clinton. It is the unknown factor. I would be really worried for Kerry if he did NOT lead Bush at this early stage.

Once the candidate is defined by the incumbent, it is a different story.

127 posted on 01/24/2004 4:14:33 PM PST by nwrep
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To: Kevin Curry
Are you going to vote for an R Congressman. If so why? They've passed everything that Bush has signed, yet they get a pass from you??
128 posted on 01/24/2004 4:15:48 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: dagnabbit
Folks should remember that Gore and Nader got 51 percent last time round...

Just like generals that fight the last war, politicians that fight the last election are doomed to lose. 2000 is done and over with. One can find all sorts of similarities, and at the same time can find all sorts of gigantic differences, and those differences are enough to make it a whole different ball game.

129 posted on 01/24/2004 4:19:54 PM PST by Timesink (Two fonts walk into a bar. The bartender says, "We don't serve your type here.")
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To: Kermit the Frog Does theWatusi
Kerry may yet sprout fangs and leathery wings.

He reminds me of Lurch in the Adams Family ... only difference is that Lurch had a personality.

130 posted on 01/24/2004 4:20:13 PM PST by NYer ("One person and God make an army." - St. Teresa of Avila)
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To: KQQL; Archie Bunker on steroids
From today's Kausfiles:

If none of Kerry's opponents makes a good negative ad against him based on the information in this Jonathan Cohn article, then the Iowans will have won! ... On the stump this week, Kerry portentously attacked special interests and complained that retirement accounts have been "decimated" by the "scandals of Enron and Worldcom," but Cohn makes it clear that an overbroad law that Kerry supported limiting the ability of investors to sue over fraudulent accounting practices contributed to the Enron and Worldcom scandals. The law was backed by a variety of monied special interests and was passed over President Clinton's veto. ... You think there is enough hypocrisy there to work with? ... 3:41 P.M.

131 posted on 01/24/2004 4:22:33 PM PST by Timesink (Two fonts walk into a bar. The bartender says, "We don't serve your type here.")
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To: paul544
Bush is done? He has the incumbency. He will have 200 million dollars and Kerry will be scrambling for money. He looks like a regular guy, Kerry looks like an undertaker. He is warm and charismatic, Kerry is cold and arrogant. He is against gay marriage, Kerry is for gay marriage. He has been successful in the war on terror, Kerry has a history of votes which have undermined national security. He is for lower taxes, Kerry was against lower taxes.

It's true this poll shows Kerry ahead; but the poll is laughably unreliable--and comes from Newsweek which has a record of publishing phony poll results calculated to influence elections.
132 posted on 01/24/2004 4:24:27 PM PST by ultima ratio
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To: KQQL
Good thing the election isn't for ten and a half months...

I think polls should be banned.

The reality is, politicians all hate elections. The thought that mere civilians, ones with dirty hands at that, can cause their matchless life to come to an end by such a crude tool as voting is just...just...unthinkable.

So, they prefer a contest in which the outcome is fixed.

How to do it?

Run elections like they were sporting events, with teams. Encourage voters to "pick their team" before they know anything about the candidates, by constant polling.

Use their friends in the media to push, "Who's ahead?"

Of course, the only relevant endpoint is who is ahead after all the votes are counted on November 2-3, 2004, and who has 271 electoral votes as a result.

The rest of this is meaningless garbage.
133 posted on 01/24/2004 4:24:39 PM PST by Jim Noble (Now you go feed those hogs before they worry themselves into anemia!)
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To: Gordian Blade
The latest from the White House is that they're going to start controlling spending . . . in the next presidential term. I don't think President Kerry will let them do that.

Read my lips, no new spending!

134 posted on 01/24/2004 4:29:58 PM PST by JoeSchem (And no new snow jobs either!)
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To: KQQL
Part of me seriously thinks . . . we should give a founding father's idea a try.

It seems to me we waste toooo much time and resources and make a lot of stupid-for-the-Republic decisions because the Pres has to run again for office 3 years or less after being sworn in.

Go with one 6 year term and be done with it. If we like the guy--find another close in character and goals.
135 posted on 01/24/2004 4:33:14 PM PST by Quix (Choose this day whom U will serve: Shrillery & demonic goons or The King of Kings and Lord of Lords)
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To: woodyinscc
I wish you would quit calling President Bush's proposals "amnesty."

I call it what it is. I don't play Clintonian word games.

I am very familiar with the immigration laws and policies of this country. I have professional-level knowledge and experience with them. This is amnesty on the installment plan. Amnesty won't be immediate, but in time virtually every guest worker who desires a green card will get a green card. You can count on it.

Amnesty means pardoning unlawful activity and placing the wrongdoer on equal footing with a law-abiding person. With this in mind, pay close attention to this part of Bush's speech:

"Undocumented workers now here will be required to pay a one-time fee to register for the temporary worker program . . . . Some temporary workers will make the decision to pursue American citizenship. Those who make this choice will be allowed to apply in the normal way . . . . The citizenship line, however, is too long, and our current limits on legal immigration are too low. My administration will work with the Congress to increase the annual number of green cards that can lead to citizenship."

Did you catch the sleight-of-hand? It is this: by paying a nominal "fee" the illegal alien is pardoned and given the same status as the legal alien. Thus cleansed of wrongdoing, the illegal alien is allowed to stay legally in the country for three to six years. In the meantime, the administration promises to work hard to increase the annual number of green cards availale. For whom do you suppose this increased number of green cards is destined if not for the newly washed formerly illegal aliens?

That is amnesty, pure and simple.

Bush makes it sound as if we'll just roll these people out again after three or six years. That is a stinking pile of horse manure. Bush is smart enough to know better. Human beings are not mere commodities like train boxcars that roll into the nation and out again. People come into a country and establish roots. They marry, they give birth, they buy and sell homes and other property, they become involved in the community, they become poltically energized and focused on increasing their clout in society. As a fully legalized underclass, guest workers will start working immediately to use the legal process to increase political clout to force greater and more extensive concessions toward citizenship. They will aided and abetted in this by an activist judiciary.

If Bush's foolhardy plan is implemented, we will add the population equivalent of another state of Texas to our country--95 percent of them from Mexico. The stress on the social and political infrastructure will be immense. And it will all have been started by a supposedly innocuous plan to bring a few million illegal aliens out of the shadows.

136 posted on 01/24/2004 4:34:56 PM PST by Kevin Curry (Dems' magnificent four: Shrieking Nikita, Frenchie La Lurch , Gen. Jack D. Ripper, and Lionel Putz)
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To: Texas_Dawg
Kevin Curry hasn't created an about page.

Yes, I have. Check it out.

137 posted on 01/24/2004 4:40:59 PM PST by Kevin Curry (Dems' magnificent four: Shrieking Nikita, Frenchie La Lurch , Gen. Jack D. Ripper, and Lionel Putz)
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To: KC_Conspirator
I think the President has taken a major hit on immigration, especially among independents. His approvals in the Fox poll fell by 5 points after the SOTU address.
138 posted on 01/24/2004 4:51:27 PM PST by Deport Billary
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To: will1776
No--it was a poll of adults 18 years or older, some of whom of course happened to be registered.
139 posted on 01/24/2004 4:58:44 PM PST by ultima ratio
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To: Kevin Curry
Yes, I have. Check it out.

Nice work.

Just remember, a vote for the Constitution Party is a vote for Al Qaeda.

140 posted on 01/24/2004 5:58:23 PM PST by Texas_Dawg (A vote for the Constitution Party is a vote for Al Qaeda.)
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