Posted on 10/05/2004 4:45:44 AM PDT by stevek1
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 200 Bush 321
(Excerpt) Read more at electoral-vote.com ...
I predict BUSH will get 350+ electoral votes.
I agree with you, but this matter cannot be dismissed. If they are getting people to take the trouble to register, most of them will vote. I worry even more about voter fraud, which the Democrats have become experts at.
Morris is a putz. He has changed his mind between picking Kerry and Bush to win so many times, I can't keep track. He seems to go with whichever candidate is having the good news cycle.
I've noticed that too about Morris. He's politically smart when it comes to tactics, but seems to follow the flow when it comes to predictions of outcomes.
The difference between registration and voting is that with registering, the "recruiters" come to the people. With voting, those who are registered must make a trip to the polls. My point is that ice cream parties on campuses, and registration sites set up at malls where the kids hang out, does not equal votes on election day when it takes time and effort to do one's civic duty. I may be wrong.
Actually, I think it's a woman who runs the site, and she/he is most definitely a DIM. I check that site out every morning, and it's definitely run a by a leftist, albeit a reasonably professional and objective leftist.
I was around in 2000, but Bush was not facing the kind of all out attack he is facing during this election.
You've got Soros, Moore, media, press, all trying to persuade the public that Bush is a liar and a failure.
During the 2000 recount I can remember similar rhetoric about how Bush wasn't fighting hard enough to win the recount.
And countless times through his Presidency, his constituency seems to go "wobbly".
Right before the 2002 there was lots of moaning and groaning about how Bush wasn't doing enough to ensure Republican seats, blah,blah,blah. Seems to me even Rush Limbaugh was in on that complaining.
But Bush reversed the norm and seats were added during the midterms.
With Bush, I'm convinced, it's never over till it's over, no matter how it looks to us. That seems to be the hallmark of his Presidency, so I will wait to pass judgement until we get to the end of "the trail" on Nov. 2nd.
I don't profess to be a polling follower, until this time in the campaign.
It seems that now those wacky "undecideds" come out of the woodwork, and being the simple minded souls that they are, will tend to go with the presumed winner. Alas ... I ramble.
I do wish us luck! ;)
Although I am the only adult living at my address, chance are that there are several registered voters on the rolls at my address, as I live in a transient neighborhood. THe fact is, the county, and most counties in similar situations, don't have the budget to do the legwork to weed out fraudulent registrations. The GOP needs to do this, even though they will be attacked continuously by the Partisan Media Shills. If the GOP doesn't do this, a lot of absentee ballots are voting straight ticket DemonRAT, and we'll lose counties forever. Because onece the DemonRATS get in, we won't be able to challenge fraud effectively.
If I remember correctly, in 2000 this site was way off.
The race was much tighter than this site predicted.
Registrations do not equal votes if the DemonRATS intend to play fair. They don't.
If the DemonRATS intended to play fair, we would not have more registered voters than adults in Cleveland and Columbus (Franklin County).
If the DemonRATS intended to play fair, we would not have 4 times as many absentee ballots requested in Ohio, compared to previous elections, concentrated heavily in DemonRATic counties, when the law is specific about who can vote absentee (most can't).
If the DemonRATS intended to play fair, they wouldn't be running commercials claiming that 1 million blacks were denied the right to vote - alhtough there may be 1 million convicted black felons, many of them can legally vote (it depends on the state) and many do legally vote.
This is worse than Chicago at the height of the Daley machine in the 1960s and 1970s. While sometimes there would be more voters than registered voters, and the dead did get their votes changed to absentee, for the most part, they were counting actual live voters, and did work the precincts persuading people. The 2004 voter drive has all been about registration, not persuasion. Why register someone to vote if you don't know which way they're going to vote? Unless you do know which way they're going to vote before they do?
The DemonRATs in 2000 stole New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. I think they won Michigan before fraud, but we'll never know. They tried to steal an extra 1,000 votes in Florida, on top of the 240,000 they did successfully steal, but botched it, took away 3,500 Gore votes instead, and made history.
It reminded me of the time when two Chicago politicians, running in the primary, both rigged the machines, and to everybody's surprise, the election was close, because everybody had their votes counted correctly (actually, that story was in a book called The Election, Chicago style, but it could have happened).
In Pennsylvania in 2000, compare Bush and Santorum votes, precinct by precinct, and figure out why Santorum won, while Bush lost. In 2004 and subsequent, the DemonRATS are going to absentee vote stealing, because it's anonymous, and they can vote you straight party DemonRAT. In 2000, Philadelphia had as many registered voters as adults. So any net new registrations in Philadelphia are fraudulent, as are many current registrations.
Kerry can't win if he loses in Florida. Case closed. This election will be over by 9 P.M. The West Coast can be solid blue - it won't matter.
Not a naysayer, I just think we need to CAMPAIGN like we are 10 pts down in terms of our effort level. I don't want anyone to think we have this one based on this poll. We've GOT to energize the vote and show up en masse on election day.
Not a naysayer, I just think we need to CAMPAIGN like we are 10 pts down in terms of our effort level. I don't want anyone to think we have this one based on this poll. We've GOT to energize the vote and show up en masse on election day.
Enforcement of election fraud laws will be the basis of the impeachment of G.W. Bush in his second term.
Sadly.
I see what you are saying, but I worry that we might face a surprise here. The Socialist types will do anything to steal this election. They believe that their "ideals" are bigger than a free and fair election. They will pull out ALL of the stops on election day.
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