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Analysis: Three States Stand Out In 2012 Presidential Election By Paul West May 18, 2012 WASHINGTON -- The presidential candidates have just placed their opening bets, and three states stand out as keys to the 2012 election: Ohio, Virginia and, perhaps surprisingly, Iowa. Romney’s first TV ad of the general election campaign, which debuts Friday, will air in four states, including Ohio, Virginia and Iowa. (Notably, it repeats his pledge to “end Obamacare,” the law based on his Massachusetts model). The Romney campaign wouldn’t confirm the scope of the buy but didn’t wave off an attempt to confirm James Hohmann’s...

For those of you who keep track of the State by State polling in respect to Obama's approval and odds against any GOP candidate {let's take Romney for example}, We all know what States Obama is in serious trouble in. Can we all agree that these are the five easiest States that the GOP Nominee needs to flip from the 2008 election to show Obama and McMichelle the door in 2013? 1) Indiana 2) Ohio 3) Pennsylvania 4) Virginia 5) Florida Now that's not even including Iowa,NH,NC,Michigan,New Jersey,Colorado and Nevada which are all States that Obama could lose easily. If...

...For those who don't yet know about it (if the plan gets close to fruition, it will be one of the biggest political stories of the year), Pennsylvania is considering allocating their Electoral College votes in 2012 the way that Maine and Nebraska already do so by giving two to the winner of the state and one each to the victor of every congressional district. The reason why this proposal is getting so much attention is because President Obama is expected to win Pennsylvania, just as the Democratic candidate has in every presidential election since 1988, which would give him...

HARRISBURG — The plan to change how Pennsylvania awards its electoral votes in presidential elections has ignited a debate over its fairness and the effect on the state's substantial clout in national politics. Both the state Republican Party chairman and the national GOP political committee, which has the mission of electing Republicans to Congress, oppose the proposal by Senate Majority Leader Dominic Pileggi, R-Delaware County. Pileggi wants to replace the system of awarding all of the state's electoral votes to the candidate who wins the statewide election. The number of Pennsylvania electoral votes will shrink from 21 to 20 in...

Pennsylvania Ponders Electoral College Revamp Would choosing electors by congressional district help or hurt the Republican nominee? By Tom Curry 9/16/2011 Democracy may get a whole new look when it comes to presidential politics in 2012. The Electoral College will still bring the next commander in chief to the White House, but tweaks to the system could change the rules of the game. After the 2000 election recount drama, polling showed that most Americans wanted to replace the electoral vote system with direct popular election of the president. But Americans generally don't pay much attention to the mechanics of how...

Republican state legislators in Pennsylvania are pushing a scheme that, if GOPers in other states follow their lead, could cause President Barack Obama to lose the 2012 election—not because of the vote count, but because of new rules. That's not all: There's no legal way for Democrats to stop them. The problem for Obama, and the opportunity for Republicans, is the electoral college. Every political junkie knows that the presidential election isn't a truly national contest; it's a state-by-state fight, and each state is worth a number of electoral votes equal to the size of the state's congressional delegation. (The...

Doing a quick count up of electoral votes, states won by Obama that he would lose today combined with the GOP ticket holding everything McCain/Palin won in 2008 to see what the outcome would be today. What I have found is that if a Palin, Bachmann, Cain or Perry were to win the nomination to face Obama, and they do as usual and pick a VP to "even out the ticket" the following scenario is the most likely outcome; GOP ticket - 333 electoral votes - 35 states won to Obama/Bidens' 15 - 13 states O won in '08 going...

Let's keep in mind that the Sates that Obama won in 2008, lost a total of 6 Electoral Votes (and Congressional Seats) while the States that McCain carried gained 6 Electoral Votes (and Congressional Seats). Texas picked up a net gain of 4 EVs, South Carolina 1 and Utah 1. So, the GOP candidate in 2012, starts off with 6 more Electoral Votes than McCain received in 2008. And, I do not expect Obama to carry some States, in 2012, that he carried in 2008. States like Florida and North Carolina come to mind. Check out the losses and gains...

I heard something on the talk-radio news today, but could not hear it completely. It sounded as if someone in Congress is sending up a bill to eliminate the Electoral College process for presidential elections? I cannot find this anywhere yet. Does anyone know of this or similar story? I got really angry when I thought I heard they want to delete it and really are trying.

Barnett v. Obama: Important Discovery Is Available Now According To Judge Carter’s Order of Sept. 17, 2009. Today, Judge Carter issued a limited discovery order pertaining to the case of Barnett v. Obama. Judge Carter’s order stated: All discovery herein shall be stayed pending resolution of Defendants’ Motion to Dismiss, except for any discovery as to which Plaintiffs can demonstrate, to the satisfaction of Magistrate Judge Nakazato, is necessary for the purpose of opposing the Motion to Dismiss. Regarding that order, one of my astute readers (Joe The Blogger) asked the following question which led me to write this post:...

OLYMPIA, Wash. -- A Shaw Island man has filed a referendum to repeal a new law that has Washington state join a compact with other states to cast its presidential electoral votes for the national popular vote winner. David Anderson filed the referendum Wednesday, one day after Gov. Chris Gregoire signed the bill. The new law doesn't take effect until enough states sign on to account for 270 electoral votes - the number it takes to win the White House. Washington has 11 electoral votes. Anderson would have to gather more than 120,500 signatures by July in order to qualify...

Please see link for the current list of states which have submitted their Certificates of Vote for the 2008 Presidential Election. To date, 24 states have reported: Alabama (9) McCain (R) Arizona (10) McCain (R) Colorado (9) Obama (D) Delaware (3) Obama (D) Georgia (15) McCain (R) Illinois (21) Obama (D) Indiana (11) Obama (D) Kentucky (8) McCain (R) Maine (4) Obama (D) Michigan (17) Obama (D) Mississippi (6) McCain (R) New Hampshire (4) Obama (D) New York (31) Obama (D) North Carolina (15) Obama (D) Ohio (20) Obama (D) Oklahoma (7) McCain (R) Pennsylvania (21) Obama (D) Rhode Island...

Posted: Nov.21.2008 @ 8:25 pm | Lasted edited: Nov.21.2008 @ 8:25 pm Donofrio Alleges Judicial Misconduct, Obstruction of Justice, NJ Appellate Division Today, Leo Donofrio, also the Plaintiff in Donofrio v. Wells, is separately filing an official allegation of Judicial Misconduct against Appellate Division Judge Jack M. Sabatano.Leo will be updating his blog with the official complaint, and I’ll update here as well… Today, Leo C. Donofrio filed, with the NJ Supreme Court’s Advisory Committee on Judicial Conduct, an official allegation of Judicial Misconduct against Appellate Division Judge Jack M. Sabatino with regard to the initial stage of this litigation...

McCain wins.

Dick Morris Maps 2008 Political analyst extraordinaire DICK MORRIS plots out the critical states that may determine whether John McCain or Barack Obama becomes the next president. This week’s results indicate McCain blundered by suspending his campaign.

Two months ago in this space, I identified five states that I argued would pick the next president. Tell me how these states -- Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada and Michigan -- will go in November, I wrote, and I'll tell you who will be our next president ("The Big 5: Picking the States That Will Pick the President"). As the presidential race has developed, those five states seem to hold the same predictive value now that they did then. Sure, there are a handful of additional states that could turn the election to either Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) or...

The latest forecast of the Electoral College suggests that John McCain is way ahead of his Democratic rival Barack Obama. The research to be presented at the annual meeting of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences on between October 13 and 15, less than three weeks before the election, says that as of September 16, the margin in electoral votes could be as high as 282.8 votes for Senator John McCain against 255.2 for Senator Barack Obama, depending on the forecasting scenario. Operations researcher Sheldon H. Jacobson, a professor at the University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign,...

D.C. INFORMS workshops show new ways to forecast presidential outcome, target votersA new approach to determining which candidate will win the most electoral votes in the U.S. Presidential race factors in lessons learned from the 2004 election and uses sophisticated math modeling. The research will be presented at the annual meeting of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS®). As of September 16, the margin in electoral votes could be as high as 282.8 votes for Senator John McCain against 255.2 for Senator Barack Obama, depending on the forecasting scenario. Operations researcher Sheldon H. Jacobson, a professor...

Obama/Biden 207 McCain/Palin 227 Toss Up 104

Polls in 11 battleground states show Obama retains narrow lead as 78 Electoral College votes still a toss-upUTICA, New York—An Electoral College tidal wave has followed the surge of interest in the rejuvenated Republican presidential ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, nearly erasing a once-daunting Democratic advantage and creating a race for the White House that is nearly dead-level even. The latest Zogby Interactive polling in 11 key battleground states, and a further analysis of polling in other states, has resulted in the recalibration of the Zogby Electoral College Map, available at www.zogby.com. In this latest Zogby calculation, Obama/Biden...

Minnessota goes from OBAMA to TOSS UP !! TOWARD VICTORY !!

WOOO HOOOO !! And Sarah Palin now takes the LEAD !!! TOWARD VICTORY

Clickable map at link

Obamarx 210 / McCain/ (b/) Palin(/b) 200

Barack Obama 275 John McCain 263

This November, a Democratic victory will probably hinge on the Electoral College votes of a handful of swing states. Howard Dean's pollster examines 17 fall battlegrounds, one by one. Thanks to John Adams and James Madison, an American presidential election really does begin and end with the Electoral College. Didn't 2000 tell us that? (Well, it ended with Anthony Kennedy and Sandra Day O'Connor, but you get the drift.) Critics scoff and call it an antiquated and unfair system (it is). Many Democrats -- notably, this year, Obama backers -- would like their party to stop thinking in terms of...