Posted on 10/27/2004 4:08:30 PM PDT by MillardFillmore
BUSH LIKELY LEAD by 5 POINTS in Rasmussen in Oct 26 one day sample! See comment below for my analysis
Wednesday October 27, 2004--Six days to go and President Bush has regained a slim lead in his bid for re-election.
The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48.8% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 47.1%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
which new Bush ad is that? here in Cali i see nada... except what they show on cable news channels now and then...
The good news is that Hawaii won't make or break Bush.
www.georgewbush.com
Right on the front page.
Same here in CT latina. We are ad deprived. I'm gonna get the ACLU to file on our behalf.:-}
I think Illinois Rep has it right. Bush will be at 49ish% and Kerry at 47ish%.
Oct 27 B+1.4%
Oct 26 B+4.9%
Oct 25 b+0.9%
Three day average B+2.4%.
Either way we apparently agree Bush's lead will rise tommorrow (Oct 27) from current 1.7% (Oct 26) to between 2.4% (you) or 3.0% (me)
But they don't lie....
I think Paul Bremmer blew the whole thing out of the water on Fox about an hour ago.
"The explosives "issue" is already backfiring. Clarke has stated publicly that no one knows when the explosives went missing and McCurry said the same today. Apparently, Kerry doesn't even know what his staffers are saying."
you know & I know it ...but 6 days and the MSMedia, I don't trust them, they still have influence, and I can see them holding out the truth, and spinning this for kerry for 6 days......
i heard the rumor of kerry abandoning florida, but haven't had the chance to read about it.
anyone have a link?
thanks :)
Yeah, but it won't get much coverage from the pro-Kerry media, which is about 90-95% of it.
Right on the front page.
you are right... TCTME all over again... that was the most touching part of his RNC speech... he wore his emotions on his sleeve...
You and I have different numbers for Ras..
I show the following:
Sunday's raw data
B 48.3 K 47.8
Monday
B 51.4 K 47.5
Tuesday
B 46.7 K 46
3 day average
B 48.8 K 47.1
I think tonights raw data will probably be this
B 50.5 Kerry 47.8
My raw data and yours is off a bit...at any rate Rasmussen will weight it to reflect a closer race than 5 points.--lessons of 2000
All non scientific, but yet 100% reliable polls have predicted Bush will win. Halloween mask sales favor Bush. 7-11 drink cup sales favor Bush. The Weeky Reader poll of a third of a million school kids favors Bush 65% to 33%. The holocaust of liberals' kids is causing the country to trend conservative now that thirty years of abortion has thinned the ranks of donkeycrat families. The conservatives' kids are starting to vote and the matching liberal's kids are in unmarked graves in city dumps.
Thank God for the Internet!
Are you saying that no military ballots will be counted in HI?
My prediction for Nov 2 is:
W 53.5%
K 45%
O 1.5%
ABC/WAPO polling said that on Saturday and Sunday Kerry had his two best nights since the beginning of the tracking poll. However, Bush had stronger nights on Monday and Tuesday and if the sample were just three days instead of four days, Bush would be up one point tonight. Thus, tomorrow, when the good Saturday for Kerry drops off, Bush will most probably lead again. Further, when Sunday drops off on Friday, Bush should be back up by 4 or so.
If an unmanipulated market would produce a different price, that is the true price, and the manipulated price is a lie. Manipulated markets lie.
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