Posted on 11/03/2004 7:21:38 AM PST by luv2ski
IN the end, George W. Bush won the election. But the networks were afraid to report that fact to us because their exit polls showed Kerry winning. Conditioned to believe that exit polls could never be wrong, the news anchors were left stuttering and stammering. Before the polls closed, a friend called me with the results of the ABC-TV tracking polls reflecting a Kerry win in all but one of the swing states. Like the network anchors on election night, I concluded that Kerry would win in a walk. But then the returns came in. In state after state, it became clear that Bush was running ahead of his performance in 2000: first, Kentucky, three points better, then Indiana, Virginia, South Carolina and Georgia, all for Bush by more than he had in 2000. Was Bush just piling up votes in his base states? Why did the exit polls show such a Democratic win when the Republicans were ahead all along? Why did they bias the coverage in the favor of the Democrats when Bush was winning from the beginning? Exit polls are almost impossible to get wrong this way. They are based on interviews with voters as they leave the polling places having just cast their ballots. They don't reflect absentee, mail-in or early-voting ballots, of course — but these voters generally tend Republican. When you combine military votes with those of voters who are likely to travel and need absentee ballots, the bias is all pro-Republican. So why were the exit polls wrong?
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
Well Ken Blackwell tried to do exactly that by enforcing the law against anyone who was not a poll watcher, judge or voter from voting sites. But the LSM sued, and won a court order forcing him to do this because of the public's right to know.
that is obvious! Like I said yesterday the MSM does the exit polls and they go to the highly democratic area and ask only the people they think look or appear to be democratic. I don't trust the exit polls and frankly I will warn all of you that in 4 years if exit polls are predicting anyone don't trust it at all, cause it is obvious the loser ends up being the winner by the end of the night!
Simple answer: sample bias.
Young male journalists sought out young female voters to "poll".
Young female voters are more likely democrat.
Not necessarily. Polls of early voters showed a Bush lead of 54-46. If the exit poll statistical bias toward Kerry was larger in proportion to the amount of advance voting in the state, it's probably not deliberate bias, just an outdated statistical model.
I call shenanigans!!! Let's beat them with brooms!!!
Exit polling should be made illegal and have stiff penalties if the law is broken.
Yeah, exit polls are actually terrible. Across the country there were only 14,000 people questioned. That is less than 300 for each state. That is a joke of a sample size and you would expect a margin of error of +/-8 or so assuming they could get a random sample (which they don't). They are a joke.
Yes. The media deliberately wanted to influence the outcome of the election, just as have this entire election season.
You can't exit poll early voters
The left thought they had the system totally gamed from top to bottom. MSM, silencing Vets, 527's, fraud, exit pollsters, Europe, print media, race baiting, crack votes, illegal aliens, space aliens (AKA Hollywood), scaring old people, scaring young people, depending on the ignorant not to ask for THE PLAN, fascist thugs, death threats... everything.
AND IT FAILED..
Of course the exit polls were biased.. The margin was too large for it to be anything else, but another effort to suppress the vote.
MUCH THANKS OWED TO SWIFTIES and ALL of our Veterans...
Ron Silver said on MSNBC last night that people don't tell the truth in exit poles. He said he knows people in Hollyweird that gave money to the Kerry campaign but told him they would vote for President Bush! I thought that was very interesting.
So why were the exit polls wrong?..... Don't forget the screwed up sampling... The way oversampled women
You speak wisdom.
I have been posting since yesterday afternoon that I felt that this was just the last phase of the MSM plant to elect John Kerry. The exit polls were biased to show Kerry with the Big Mo. The polls were released at 2PM Eastern time and that was early enough to influence voters in every state. That was the plan. The plan failed.
My feelings exactly.
these exit polls need to be investigated...it was obvious that the initial results were to discourage voters from going to the polls feeling that President Bush did not have a chance....another October surprise....
Let the record show that exit polls are wrong and most likely biased.
That's all that's needed. Not laws.
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