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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: LA Woman3

Don't you know that is due to global warming. The 13" of snow that the Rio Grande Valley got was Global Warming!


1,401 posted on 09/21/2005 11:49:42 AM PDT by james_f_hall (Round Rock, Texas)
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To: Diddle E. Squat

Thank you! Outstanding information, very much appreciated. Since they only own a Honda Del Sol, and have a dog and two cats, it will be quite cramped. Anything to shorten the trip is helpful.


1,402 posted on 09/21/2005 11:50:10 AM PDT by Ryan Spock (Maranatha)
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To: Howlin
And where is that, for the geographically ill-informed?

Along the coast halfway between Corpus and Galveston.

It's probably the 2nd-best case place for a hurricane strike along the Texas Coast (the best being the King Ranch).

On a map, go down the coast from Galveston Bay, and Matagorda Bay is the next large bay down.

It's not that heavily populated and it's far enough down the coast to spare the worst of the effects for Houston and Galveston Bay, although if this bitch is anything like Katrina, it still could be dicey up there.

1,403 posted on 09/21/2005 11:50:40 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: NautiNurse

Rita looks to be much more organized at this point than Katrina did in that photo.


1,404 posted on 09/21/2005 11:51:08 AM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: FD_Pilot

Thanks for the info..a follow up, if you please...does the term "strongest" here mean the lowest barometric pressure..?


1,405 posted on 09/21/2005 11:51:55 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: PigRigger
Element Properties
Size of File: 66.43 KB (68028 bytes)

Nice pic, but NN has requested graphics be less than 50 KB.

1,406 posted on 09/21/2005 11:51:55 AM PDT by CedarDave ("I can't swing a dead cat without hitting a reporter" -- Lt. Gen. Honoré)
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To: Horns

I may have been a bit hyperbolic. Winds will still be at hurricane force, but closer to 70 MPH. There will be lots of rain with this one, and San Antonio will get plenty of it. I would expect some flooding along I-35 from south of San Antonio up through New Braunfels, through Austin and maybe even to Waco. Lots of rivers through there that will overflow their banks.


1,407 posted on 09/21/2005 11:52:04 AM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: HostileTerritory

I have tickets to that festival also. I haven't heard anything about cancelling it yet. But I expect some word on that tonight. I was hoping Friday's start would go on and maybe Saturday too. But Sunday looks iffy.


1,408 posted on 09/21/2005 11:52:12 AM PDT by My back yard (The future will be your past catching up to you.. Honky Tonk Philosophizer Dwight Yoakam)
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To: dirtboy

Just curious, because there have been several posts about the King Ranch being the best place for the storm to hit, but I do not know what the King Ranch is, or why it would be the best place.

Could you explain it to a northerner?


1,409 posted on 09/21/2005 11:52:24 AM PDT by jacquej
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To: Bahbah

oh yes.....oh s**t!!


1,410 posted on 09/21/2005 11:53:49 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: johnb838
Just the first sip, the first taste, of the bitter cup that has been proferred to us by climate change, which THIS administration has ignored, by failing to sign Kyoto protocol. -- Algore

May we please try to weaken this hurricane by dropping Gore into the eyewall? Pretty please?

On the other hand, all that hot air that results every time he opens his mouth would simply strengthen the storm.

1,411 posted on 09/21/2005 11:53:54 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: dirtboy

I see it on my handy dandy newly acquired Texas map!


1,412 posted on 09/21/2005 11:54:02 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: Ryan Spock

My husband is currently sitting on the causeway trying to evacuate his 94 year old aunt out of Galveston ~ he says it's pretty much at a stand still where he is now but he is planning to take 59 north.

This link to a live Houston traffic site might help you plan a better route out for them http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/


1,413 posted on 09/21/2005 11:54:14 AM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: sinkspur

I was planning a business trip on Friday out to Orlando and back in the PM. Sounds like I could get stuck at the airport in Orlando.


1,414 posted on 09/21/2005 11:54:18 AM PDT by Horns
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To: ken5050

Lower pressure makes for stronger, more intense storms...


1,415 posted on 09/21/2005 11:54:34 AM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: jacquej

It's a ginormous Ranch - 825,000 acres.

http://www.king-ranch.com/


1,416 posted on 09/21/2005 11:55:19 AM PDT by Zechariah_8_13 (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: Zacs Mom

On another forum I read something from someone in Houston, and the traffic is getting really bad. People who haven't been asked to evacuate are leaving and adding to the congestion (and I bet my brother's in that number!)


1,417 posted on 09/21/2005 11:55:53 AM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: Howlin

Can someone refresh me on which model was closest on Katrina 3 days out between :
GFS,BAM,UKMET or GFDL?


1,418 posted on 09/21/2005 11:55:57 AM PDT by WoodstockCat (General Honore: "The storm gets a vote... We're not stuck on stupid.")
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To: montanus
Way too high of a multiplier.

Powell & Black studies of dropsonde and bouy data suggest that 63% to 73% to be much more reasonable ratios that what is popularly promulgated. NHC has often come under criticism with their wind speed estimates. However, in the case of hurricane Mitch (1998), the wind speed profile was unique. More recent studies done by Hock & Franklin using GPS based dropwindsonde in 1999, gave the first clear cut view of eyewall wind profile (with accuracy of 15' and 1-4MPH).

See: Eye Wall wind-profiles

1,419 posted on 09/21/2005 11:55:57 AM PDT by raygun
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To: Zechariah_8_13

Who owns it? Ted Turner?


1,420 posted on 09/21/2005 11:55:59 AM PDT by RDTF
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