Skip to comments.Following the Election Returns [Hour by Hour Guide]
Posted on 11/07/2006 4:41:39 AM PST by RobFromGa
This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network...
Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results...
All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black).
Polls close in these two states at 6 p.m. local time, which means the eastern portions will end voting at 6 EST. The key races in both states will be a bevy of close House races featuring GOP incumbents.
In Indiana, three GOP House incumbents have been trailing their Democratic challengers in October polls, albeit with survey samples so small the margin of error is large. Watch Rep. Mike Sodrel in the Ninth District. If he wins, it will mean it's unlikely Republicans will face a huge Democratic wave and lose 30 seats or more. If Rep. Chris Chocola in the Second District should survive, the GOP may wind up losing 20 seats or fewer. If Rep. John Hostettler also comes home to victory in the Eighth District, there is a good chance the GOP will retain its House majority. Indiana's Senate race isn't competitive; Republican Dick Lugar will easily win a sixth term.
Kentucky has two barn burners. Republican Rep. Anne Northup has held Louisville's Third District for five terms...
(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...
My FINAL predictions:
I think we win in VA, MO, TN, MT, MD, NJ, OH, and RI. (+2: MD, NJ)
I think we lose in MI, PA, MN, and WA. (-1: PA)
Net +1 in the Senate. These are my final predictions, I changed OH to Win, PA to lose, MI to lose, RI to win, still 56-42-2.
We keep the House with a loss of 7 to 9 seats net. I think we pickup 3-4 Dem seats and lose about 10-14 GOP seats
New Jersey and Ohio I am not confident about, but I think we will win close ones.
Bump for later reference.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus
I'm going with your positive attitude!
Of the 3 or 4 gains in the house, are 2 of them in GA?
I'd be very happy with this outcome...
Please add NaughtiusMaximus (no space) to the Senate 2006 Midterm pinglist.
Bump for later.
Yes, I think we pickup GA-08 and GA-12.
The really depressing thought is how awful Dole was as NRCC chair.
We could have had a real shot at
if she would have recruited good people
Hannity and other pseudo conservatives should be pushing for the Republican, not a LIEberal who wants Rummy to step down. Or they could STAY OUT OF IT if they couldn't support the GOP.
This would normally be a recipe for splitting the liberal vote, and allow a Republican to get elected. The only way it works is if you can get GOP voters to support the Independent to stop the ultra-lib from getting elected.
I`m praying that where I live (New York), the people here will lose their insanity long enough to elect the beast Hellary out and Spencer in (or ANYONE for that matter, I`ll take ANYBODY over Hellary!), but I think hell will freeze over before that happens. It`s amazing how this beast who has done absolutely nothing can win so easily.
"Yes, I think we pickup GA-08 and GA-12."
DEMOCRATS IN RED STATES: Rockefeller(WV), Johnson(SD), Baucus(MT), Pryor(AR),Landrieu(LA),
DEMOCRATS IN PURPLE STATES: Harkin(IA), Levin(MI)
RINOS IN RED STATES: Graham*(SC), Hagel*(NE),
RINOS IN PURPLE STATES: Coleman(MN), Smith(OR)
CONSERVATIVES IN PURPLE STATES: Sununu(NH),Domenici(NM),Allard(CO)
HOLD OR ABANDON?:
RINOS IN BLUE STATES: Collins(ME)
Don't write off Minnesota just yet - remember it was the MN National Guard that did the "Halp Us Jon Carry" banner.
Now I really am leaving to go vote.
I hope Kennedy pulls it out. Stranger things have happened.
JOHN KERRY =
Pictures of a vietnamese Re-Education Camp
You are #137 on the Midterm Senate ping list. Let me know if you see something of interest to the list...
Will do. Thanks
It will be easier than this. Just watch Katie Couric this evening. If she looks as if her best friend just died, you know news is not good for DEMS.
How is FL looking? I never hear anything about it.
If hold the House and Senate by narrow margins, are there any potential "Jeffords" out there?
Chafee is one potential Jeffords if it a tie. No one else.
In the House, if it is that close, it is VERY unlikely of a switch, two years is just too short of a time till the next election. Plus, if it that close, there will be a number of "conservative" dems, and it is more likely of a shift to the GOP than vice versa, IMHO.
LOL! Gov. Jesse Ventura comes to mind.
That said, I'm still thinking Mark Kennedy can pull this one out. I'm in a heavily red county and look forward to a big turnout here.
Yes, TURNOUT is the only thing that matters at this point.
I would love to see the GOP sweep both Senate seats in the land of Humphrey, Mondale, and the Wellstone Memorial Service.
I agree with your predictions. Unfortunately, I don't think Santorum will make it. It will be the biggest upset of this Election if he does. I think we will hold the House. I was just looking at Real Clear Politics and they put two Seats in the Dem's 14 pick ups that I'm pretty sure we will hold. They are Foley's Seat and DeLay's Seat. Both are in heavily Republican districts. I think Charlie Crist may have hurt the Republicans a bit by snubbing the President last evening. I can't believe he did that! I also heard, on our local TV Station, that Katherine Harris was there and asked to be on Stage and was told NO by the Handlers there. Bush did mention her, she was sitting in the Audience, I thought that was SHAMEFUL for our Party!
I'll check back in with my anecdotal evidence around 9:30 central time. :)
Voter number 14 in my Precinct. Turn out heavy. Hard to judge the mood of the crowd at 7am. Everybody so sleepy. Crowd pretty quite. My Precinct was a 55-60% R/40-45% D area in 2004.</p>
Not possible. Katie is her OWN best friend. These people do not have friends. They would back stab each other for first place in line to kiss one of the Klinton's butts.
I love elections! It is almost as if lightning is in the air. The feel of battle! After months of preparation we now see how we will fare!
Chafee is always a worry.
It is unlikely that she'll lose, but we can hope that she wins by 12% or less (the # by which she beat Lazio). If she can't increase her margin how can she be a viable national candidate for the liberals?
Well...I voted this morning... now, let's hope for the best but I am ready for anything! :)
That's an interesting strategy, but it really only works in the Northeast. For all intents and purposes, there are a bunch of "independent" senators in New England these days -- including Chafee, Snowe, Dukakis, Jeffords, etc. Basically, the Northeast is the kind of place where the Republican Party doesn't really exist.
bump for later reference.
I wouldn't use Connecticut as an example given there are no Republicans in the state. They are RINO's.
Try again - this ultra conservative Republican lives here with all of my ultra conservative voting family - and proud of it. Take a look at the county map from 2004 - I live in the ONLY red county in the state!
We voted at about 8:00. Straight Republican and "No" on all ballot questions.
Seems like a good turnout in Virginia. Radio call ins talking about it. My voting station had a good steady stream coming in and going out.
Lord help us if Chaffee is the swing vote!