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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: stlnative
Poop Deck Bar
(409) 763-9151
2928 Seawall Blvd
Galveston, TX 77550

Sea-freakin'-wall Boulevard. What a bunch of IDIOTS.

921 posted on 09/12/2008 1:14:35 PM PDT by Allegra (Prayers up for all in Ike's path. Please be safe...my hometown.)
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To: Cheesehead In Dubai

I’m really sorry to be making light of your loss.

But....seriously.. houses are already being washed out at Jamaica Beach... and, we’re still 10-12 hours away from landfall.

If I were you, I’d assume my home on Galveston is lost.... then, just hope for the best.

Thank GOD!.. YOU’RE not there!!

Sure hope it works out for you...


922 posted on 09/12/2008 1:14:57 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: spectre
No one can get to that ship to save them now. God be with them.

I pray they'll come through all right.

923 posted on 09/12/2008 1:15:03 PM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: dirtboy

KHOU
Slideshow: Ike images
http://www.khou.com/perl/common/slideshow/sspop.pl?recid=12016&nextimage=0


924 posted on 09/12/2008 1:15:04 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed ... ICE’s toll-free tip hotline—1-866-DHS-2-ICE ... 9/11 .. Never FoRget!)
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To: dirtboy
Just like people in NOLA pointed to the warnings about Ivan and said that Katrina was being overhyped as well, don't worry, the Big Easy is always spared.

I never heard of anyone saying this. People failed to evacuate for Katrina for all kinds of reasons, good and bad. But this is the first time anyone's suggested to me a significant number of persons thought Katrina was hyped, or that NOLA has nothing to fear from hurricanes.

By all means, let's abandon this fruitless exchange.

925 posted on 09/12/2008 1:15:05 PM PDT by Romulus ("Ira enim viri iustitiam Dei non operatur")
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To: Allegra

You getting any high wind?

;<)

Nary a leaf is fluttering here.


926 posted on 09/12/2008 1:15:38 PM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
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To: NormsRevenge

!!!

Good Lord. 16 hours before landfall and look at that flooding. Unreal, and it’s only going to get worse.

}:-)4


927 posted on 09/12/2008 1:15:56 PM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: dirtboy

Thank you!
She just emailed and said that they’re staying and things are battened down. But thank you for the locale info. That makes me feel a bit better.

The family has just lost a son in Iraq in April and they’re making sure his belongings are safe with them.

God bless and keep you all safe in the great state of Texas!


928 posted on 09/12/2008 1:16:17 PM PDT by ReneeLynn
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To: American Quilter

There are STILL idiots walking around at the beach. Not on the west end of the island, though—the water there appears to be 2-3 feet deep.


929 posted on 09/12/2008 1:16:56 PM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: sweet_diane

I seem to remember Rita or some other hurricane missing Galveston the same year at Katrina....perhaps they were a bit complacent?


930 posted on 09/12/2008 1:16:57 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: moonpie57

The maritime office for Cyprus said the freighter is owned by Perovo Shipping Co. Ltd. in Cyprus and it is managed by TEO Shipping Corp. in Greece.

A search on Equasis, an international website designed to gather government information on safety issues, showed the freighter was detained in China in May 2008 with 28 deficiencies and detained in Russia for five days in 2007 when 16 deficiencies were found. It was unclear from the site whether there were any serious problems involved. Many other inspections listed showed fewer or no deficiencies including a U.S. Coast Guard check of the freighter in Houston in February which found only two deficiencies.

The website lists the Antalina as a bulk carrier built in 1984.


931 posted on 09/12/2008 1:17:19 PM PDT by E=MC2
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To: Moose4

Check out pic 16 at the slideshow.

http://www.khou.com/perl/common/slideshow/sspop.pl?recid=12016&nextimage=15


932 posted on 09/12/2008 1:18:05 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed ... ICE’s toll-free tip hotline—1-866-DHS-2-ICE ... 9/11 .. Never FoRget!)
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To: American Quilter

The man speaking is Steve LeBlanc, the Galveston City Manager. Water and sewage to the west part of the island is cut off, not to the whole island as I’d heard earlier.


933 posted on 09/12/2008 1:18:26 PM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: spectre
I heard the voice from a crew member on the stranded Freighter that should have been on shore by now, and he was clearly scared out of his mind.

No one can get to that ship to save them now. God be with them. Let us pray.

May God bless and comfort him and may God in His divine mercy bless and protect them all. I will add them to the fervent prayers I have been sending up for all in Ike's path.

934 posted on 09/12/2008 1:18:46 PM PDT by Allegra (Prayers up for all in Ike's path. Please be safe...my hometown.)
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I’ve been looking for the famous NWS/NOAA warning about “people not heeding evacuation orders” but can’t find it.


935 posted on 09/12/2008 1:18:52 PM PDT by lainie
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To: gracesdad

I grew up in Amherst County, not far south of where Camille unloaded, and I know those areas well (Glasgow, Massie’s Mill, Davis Creek). I was just shy of three years old, so I don’t remember any of it, although my mom’s told me that there were helicopters back and forth over our hours for two days hauling people to the nearby junior high, being used as an aid station.

The Tye and Piney never returned to their old banks after that storm. They cut new courses, and to this day, they’re both much more floodprone than they were prior to 1969.

}:-)4


936 posted on 09/12/2008 1:19:20 PM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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To: NonValueAdded

Has anyone heard anything else about that ship stranded in the path of the storm? I can’t even fathom how frightened they must be!


937 posted on 09/12/2008 1:19:51 PM PDT by freepertoo
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To: sweet_diane

I missed the % of people they believe stayed on the island..did you hear?
************

40% stayed


938 posted on 09/12/2008 1:19:59 PM PDT by libertarian27 (Land of the Fee, Home of the Shamed)
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To: lainie

Will be interesting to see if there is any increas at 5p on intensity. I think Ike is a cat 3, but not sure the winds are mixing to the surface still.


939 posted on 09/12/2008 1:20:23 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: NormsRevenge

LOL! OK, that’s a well-needed laugh right there!

}:-)4


940 posted on 09/12/2008 1:20:34 PM PDT by Moose4 (http://moosedroppings.wordpress.com -- Because 20 million self-important blogs just aren't enough.)
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