Posted on 10/16/2008 12:00:07 PM PDT by pissant
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%. It's the first time since September 25 that McCain's support has reached 46%, but Obama has now enjoyed a four-to-eight point advantage for twenty-one straight days (see trends).
Today's numbers do not reflect any impact from last night's Presidential Debate. Results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The overwhelming majority of interviews for today's update were completed before the end of the debate. Sunday morning's results will be the first based entirely upon post-debate interviews.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Since we already know these polls sample more Dems than Repubs, I’m guessing it’s just about even.
39.3% Democratic, 33.0% Republican
These kind of spreads are such b.s. In 2004 there was 37% dem, 37% gop.
Polls don’t matter. What matters is how many normal people haul their asses out to the voting place and VOTE.
The media’s phony polls are used as a tool to affect the vote. Rush was all over this yesterday.
Zero peaked too soon, and he can’t seal the deal. Just like in the primaries. Remember, 0bama never won a single election against a serious opponent in his life. And the fact is, if you allot electoral votes and the popular vote in the DEM primaries the same way it is in the general election, Hillary beat him by a landslide.
“Polls don’t matter. What matters is how many normal people haul their asses out to the voting place and VOTE.”
Exactly.....C
39.3 / 33 = 1.19 ratio
In other words, Dems are given a 20% overweight in the poll.
I know Rasmussen has taken a hit lately, but if you notice his battleground state polls they’re pretty realistic showing Obama with a narrow but not an insurmountable lead there. Rasmussen had also shown 3 straight days of 50-45 Obama-a level of consistency matched by very few polls (eg Battleground tracking poll, Gallup). Rasmussen appears to treat polling as a profession and not as a tool to be used by elitists for propaganda purposes.
Look, people have to remember that Obama is swimming in money. He has so much money he is even putting ads in Xbox games! Do you not think it would be a prudent for his campaign to use its vast resources to keep buying push polls week after week as an ongoing stategy to dispirit his political opponent? Sheesh.
The media metdown when McCain wins is going to be unbelievable.
operation chaos
for every crossover to vote for Hillary!, there is one less repub and one more dem, causing weighting errors.
Not really. Rasmussen is still applying his “secret sauce” to the polls. He wants Obama.
That’s a good point. No democrat has broken 50% since Lyndon Johnson.
I believe that Carter squeaked past 50%.
Exactly. Along with the media coverage, I think it’s part of a strategy to demoralize conservative voters. If they can convince conservatives to stay home then they don’t have to worry so much about getting their “ACORN” voters to the polls. Don’t let Obama or the media play this game and win.
Sorry, no, I don’t believe Rass is intentionally using his polling to give Obama a lead.
Anyone else I’ll listen to the argument. Not with Rass.
The only argument, imo, that can be made against Rass is that perhaps his wieghts won’t accurately reflect the partisan breakdowns on election day. I don’t believe if that’s true it’s done with malice.
I believe if that’s true it’s because it’s what Rass’s survey’s have indicated to him will be the breakdown. Those could be faulty but he’s not USA Today doing so on purpose to throw an election.
VOTE! VOTE! VOTE! (For any Dems reading this, vote..vote...vote..doesn’t mean vote 3 times.)
Until he met President Reagan lol
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.