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Silver Bullet: GOP Has Shot At Senate Takeover
IBD's Capital Hill ^ | 3/24/2010 | Sean Higgins

Posted on 03/24/2010 2:45:55 PM PDT by Slyscribe

Over at fivethirtyeight.com, poll statistician Nate Silver reports that Republicans’ prospects in the Senate have grown so strong that they have a chance, albeit a slim one, of regaining control of the body.

Democrats now project to hold an average of 54.0 seats (out of their current 59 — Editor) when the Senate convenes in January, 2011, according to our latest forecast, and Republicans 46.0 (compared with their current 41). This reflects a roughly one-seat improvement for Republicans since our previous forecast on March 10th.

Republicans now have about a 10 percent chance of taking an outright majority of Senate seats, according to the model, up slightly from before — and about an 18 percent chance of getting to at least a tie.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.investors.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010elections; elections; elections2010; gop; healthcare; polls; senate; ussenate
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To: Agamemnon

Woo hoo! We need to get every GOP running in the House to defund this nightmare. Rush, Savage, tea Parties, etc.

They need to sign a pledge to defund it.

Defund it then repeal it, burn it, sabotage, sink it, destroy it, etc etc.


21 posted on 03/24/2010 3:24:48 PM PDT by Frantzie (McCain = Obama's friend McCain called AMERICANS against amnesty - "racists")
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To: arista

“To truly overturn Obamacare in 2013, we will need 60 seats in the Senate.”

You live by reconciliation, you die by reconcilation. It’s time to take off the gloves and use their same trick to repeal it.


22 posted on 03/24/2010 3:40:08 PM PDT by TxAnn56
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To: Slyscribe

What’s up with Robert Byrd?
Do they have his corpse propped up on a broomstick somewhere in West Virginia?


23 posted on 03/24/2010 3:40:19 PM PDT by counterpunch (The Emperor has no Cloture)
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To: RC2

IF we don’t have both houses it is a moot point. Impeached Presidents are tried in the SENATE.


24 posted on 03/24/2010 3:41:57 PM PDT by GailA (obamacare paid for by cuts & taxes on most vulnerable Veterans, disabled,seniors & retired Military)
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To: Slyscribe

“have a chance, albeit a slim one, of regaining control of the body.”

Meanwhile in other stories Statists have gained total control over 1/6 of the AmeriKan economy. Never in the history of The United States of America have the people been placed under such control by the Central Party. A vast majority of Republican politicians could care less. The parties on the left and right already have their cake.


25 posted on 03/24/2010 3:45:30 PM PDT by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: Slyscribe
The biggest election story this year isn't The House or The Senate. It's the State Legislatures.

Beginning in 2011, the individual state houses will begin the process of re-apportionment and the drawing of legislative districts based on the 2010 Census. The more conservatives that are elected at the state level, the better for the next decade.

26 posted on 03/24/2010 3:48:37 PM PDT by TexasNative2000 (This seems like fairly decisive evidence that the dream can, in fact, die.)
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To: Graybeard58

Mike Labno

Is a prolife conservative Libertarian who is running:

http://www.labno4senate.com/

He works as a construction foreman.


27 posted on 03/24/2010 4:04:39 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Confiscation of wealth with out explicit consent is not charity.)
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To: Windcatcher
In every state where we gain a majority, we MUST make sure to get legislation through mandating a valid, non-forgeable, ID to vote

Excellent point.

28 posted on 03/24/2010 4:18:08 PM PDT by T. Buzzard Trueblood ("The first unintended victim of almost every government program is common sense." - Ari David)
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To: Slyscribe

Public outrage is now focused like a laser beam against the Democrats. If the RINOs help push amnesty through, that anger will become more dispersed, and limit the gains the GOP would have had.


29 posted on 03/24/2010 4:24:03 PM PDT by kevao
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To: arista
"To truly overturn Obamacare in 2013, we will need 60 seats in the Senate"

We won't need 60 if we can get a few Democrats to join in. For example, 55 GOP + 5 Dems for overcoming filibusters.
Or 55 GOP + 12 Dems to override a veto

30 posted on 03/24/2010 4:30:55 PM PDT by yellowhammer (ABORT ObamaCare before the third trimester!!)
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To: dead

They could have made a point by getting on the ground in a worship stance, like they were royalty. That would have been funny.


31 posted on 03/24/2010 4:48:00 PM PDT by SaintDismas
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To: Slyscribe

This is good news,if they`re not Republicrats,but we need the House.Thats where the bills concerning the budget get started,if we control the house then we can starve the beast.


32 posted on 03/24/2010 4:54:27 PM PDT by nomad
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To: Graybeard58
Please!!! Graybeard, Kirk will never be a reliable consevative vote, but least he won't be a guaranteed RAT . I hope all Illinios Freepers will vote for him, if only because this was Obozo’s seat . Remember though Kirk is far to the left of You or I he was always far to the right of the 10th district .
33 posted on 03/24/2010 5:03:13 PM PDT by Freak Flag
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To: Freak Flag
he was always far to the right of the 10th district .

I beg to differ.

He is a leftist period and I'll not be voting for him. I voted for the very last liberal I'll ever vote for when I voted for McCain..

There are conservatives passing petitions now to get a candidate on the ballot for November.

The letter"R" behind someone's name means nothing to me any more. If I see the "D" they automatically don't get my vote though.

By the way, I'm almost 65 years old and have never voted for a democrat. Kirk is a democrat with an "R" behind his name.

he was always far to the right of the 10th district .

The same rational the Romney worshipers use. - I'll never, under any circumstances vote for him either.

34 posted on 03/24/2010 7:13:55 PM PDT by Graybeard58
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To: Slyscribe

I think the GOP can take back both Houses of Congress if people are still as mad in November as they are now.


35 posted on 03/24/2010 11:15:27 PM PDT by no dems (Palin / Rubio 2012)
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To: Graybeard58

I’m voting hell no on Kirk
______________________________________________________________
So, you’re voting for the young Democratic State Treasurer with the family who owns a defunct bank; eh?

Oh well, whatever.


36 posted on 03/24/2010 11:17:37 PM PDT by no dems (Palin / Rubio 2012)
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To: All

Frank Luntz: A Case of Buyer’s Remorse / The Sphere

Jan. 20, 2010 | Frank Luntz Posted 01/22/10 by neverdem

Special to Sphere (Jan. 20) – It doesn’t take a rocket scientist or a pollster to know that Americans are not happy with Washington. The honeymoon that greeted President Obama a year ago today has degenerated into hypercriticism, deep anxiety and downright anger. That may sound more like a high-profile Hollywood divorce than a political analysis, yet in some ways that’s exactly what Americans are going through right now.

Make no mistake: Americans were giddy about getting rid of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, but they are clearly suffering from buyer’s remorse a year later. The seeds of Obama’s current political dilemma were sown the day of his inauguration. The expectations heaped on his shoulders were clearly impossible to sustain, and there was little effort by his administration to dampen the “hope” that had propelled him from first-term senator to first African-American president. And when those expectations weren’t met, someone had to be held accountable. Polling done over the past 30 days paints a very clear picture of a president who has fallen short of expectations:

• Only 39 percent of the country would vote to re-elect Obama, according to a National Journal poll, while 50 percent would “definitely” or “probably” vote for someone else. This is significant. George W. Bush is the only candidate in modern times to win re-election with less than half of the country expressing a desire to re-elect him.

• According to Gallup, Obama has suffered the greatest fall in approval of any elected president since the company started ongoing tracking during the Eisenhower administration. Obama came into office with the approval of two out of every three voters (67 percent) but ended his first year with just half the electorate (50 percent) offering a positive evaluation of his performance. Only the unelected Gerald Ford fared worse in the court of public opinion.

• It’s not just the Obama agenda that is under attack. It is his philosophy that has America balking. For example, Americans are increasingly returning to the conservative ideology they held before the perceived failures of the Bush administration crushed conservative self-identification levels. According to Gallup, fully 40 percent of Americans now identify themselves as conservative, compared with just 21 percent who call themselves liberal.

• And finally, while the Republican brand has barely moved since its electoral disasters of 2006 and 2008 and remains unpopular, Democratic popularity has collapsed as well. Most surveys now have the GOP even or even slightly ahead in the generic congressional ballot, and Americans now see the Republicans to be as good if not better in handling the economy.

But the single most damning polling result doesn’t mention Obama or his administration or even government in general. Rather, it’s the collapse of intergenerational optimism that had characterized American attitudes and driven the American spirit of achievement for more than half a century.

Only 12 percent of Americans believe their “quality of life” is worse today than when their parents were their age, but nearly half (44 percent) believe their children will be worse off than them. Worse yet, 57 percent believe their children will “inherit a worse America.” Once the most hopeful nation on the globe, we are now a pessimistic nation to our core.

But after all the polling and focus groups have concluded and all the conflicting opinions recorded, in the end it is the American people who rightfully have the last word. In no less than three states that voted for Obama just one year ago (New Jersey, Virginia and yesterday in Massachusetts), voters replaced their Democratic representatives with Republicans. That says more than any pollster ever could.

Frank Luntz is the author of the New York Times bestseller “What Americans Really Want ... Really.” Sign up to participate in his focus groups at TheWordDoctors.com.


37 posted on 03/25/2010 2:20:37 AM PDT by Liz (A person who smiles in the face of adversity probably has a scapegoat nearby.)
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To: All
The biggest danger for the 2010 elections: Obama buying stuffed ballot boxes with "stimulus" dollars..... Keep in mind the Chicago mob occupying our WH is draining the US Treasury for themselves.

HOW PAYOFFS MIGHT BE FACILITATED---OBAMA SLUSH FUNDS TO DATE:

(a) 80% of the trillion dollar stim is unspent and under Obama's control to finance endangered Dems 2010-12.

(b) June 9, 2009 Obama announced, "Several financial institutions are set to pay back $68B to taxpayers." Taxpayers assumed that would be returned to the general funds from whence it had come .......in order to pay down the debt. The truth, however, is that the money returned is finding new life as part of what amounts to a Treasury Dept-controlled slush fund....to finance candidates.

(3)Healthcare---the first four years of ObamaCare is to amass $$billions. Period. Healthcare does not kick in til 2014.

===============================================

WHAT TO LOOK FOR IN YOUR STATE

Watch your state for any sudden infusions of "stimulus" that never materializes into tangible job activity.

Be very alarmed if any public official in your state registers one or more corporations in the state of Delaware. DEL is the number one state for financial secrecy (VP Biden was the US Sen from Delaware). Better yet---DEMAND your public officials reveal their Del corporations.

CASE IN POINT "Return on investment in public office" was the name of DemJon Corzine's game. : He bought two public offices for $125 million of his own money (US Sen, snd NJ gov) but Jon Corzine (ex-head of Goldman Sachs) had already registered three corporations with the supersecret Delaware Div of Corp.

OBAMA-BIDEN COME TO NJ Obama hid $17.5 billion stim in NJ---investigative news reports say it simply disappeared---no jobs were created. Delaware's Joe Biden visited New Jersey several times, ostensibly to campaign for Corzine. Democrat Corzine lost but they still have the stim billions as a consolation prize somewhere in Delaware (/snic).

38 posted on 03/25/2010 2:50:14 AM PDT by Liz (A person who smiles in the face of adversity probably has a scapegoat nearby.)
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To: Slyscribe

And this will repeal the Obamanation’s health travesty... how?


39 posted on 03/25/2010 4:36:05 AM PDT by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: gogogodzilla; nomad

gogogodzilla wrote: And this will repeal the Obamanation’s health travesty... how?

nomad ........we need the House.Thats where funding-bills concerning the budget get started,if we control the house then we can starve the beast.......

Obamanation’s-1000’s-of-loose-ends-will-also-be-starved.


40 posted on 03/25/2010 7:16:44 AM PDT by Liz (A person who smiles in the face of adversity probably has a scapegoat nearby.)
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