Go for it.
Great outcome! The post-Ramthru fade may be well underway. But only time will tell if the Index can break through its pre-Ramthru average of ca. -18.
Forecast for tomorrow:
70% probability that the Index is at -15 or lower.
30% probability that it rises to -14 or higher.
His bounce came entirely from a bounce in “strong approves”. His strong disapprovers as at 44%, as high as it’s ever been.
Bounce is gone... you knew it would be.
Just wait till they get the rest of their agenda rammed through as Law before this November, using the same tactics. Amnesty will start immediately after their Easter break. The MSM will create a diversion and it will go through Congress and the Senate by “Reconciliation” in the dead of a Sunday night.
Once they find out what works, they attack it relentlessly.
This is a big fu*** deal! Hope the trend continues.
Why did he get a smallish temporary bounce at all?
In the case of my 60 day average it is pretty much steady as you go at this point with about a +.5 jump in Obama's favor from his "peak" of -15.25 on March 21. Currently I show the 60 day average at -14.72. And it is clear even from the long term average plots that the slight bump is due entirely to an improvement in the Strongly Approve numbers. The Strongly Disapprove category is more or less steady with a slight uptrend.
Also worth noting is that, for the 60 day average, the State of the Union Bump is about to pass into history. That will naturally generate what looks like a trend in our favor as those values in the -4 to -8 range fall out of the average to be replaced, hopefully, by numbers in the -12 to -18 range. But of course it is only a trend if it's a trend. Time will tell.
Here are my updated 60 day average plots:
...
...
He’s goin down!
Down
Down
Down
Down
Down! (with apologies to J.J. Cale)
I’m loving it! We are taking back both the House and Senate in November!!
GOOD NEWS BUMP!
Dead cat bounce on wet cement.