Posted on 03/28/2010 9:54:01 AM PDT by bigbob
How long can Americans hold a thought? That will be the political test for the next seven-and-a-half months.
If the majority of voters stay as angry as they are now about the passage of the national health care plan, it could spell real trouble for Democrats in the November elections. But if, as Democrats hope, the anger fades, then the losses by the president’s party are likely to be more manageable.
Right now, after a year of stimulus plans, bailouts and now nationalized health care, driving deficits to historically high levels, 70% of voters are angry with the policies of the federal government. That includes 48% who are very angry.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Everyone in the media seems to think the biggest question is, can the public stay angry until the mid-term elections later this year.
I say that is the biggest no-brainer in the history of earth.
That’s my fear.
From the realclearpolitics.com average of polls, healthcare gave Obama a whopping 1-2 point bounce that last for 2 whole days, now he’s back to where he was before healthcare passed. So much for the democrats claim that healthcare would give them and Obama a huge victory surge going into the midterms. What should worry democrats more is that the numbers on which party voters will support in the midterm elections has been dropping like a rock in favor of the republicans since healthcare passed.
With all the Tea Party activity I anticipate, I predict it will be a hot summer followed by a hotter fall.
Even if the economy improves, it will not go away by November. It is not about the economy, primarilly. That's what 'rats always think--"people just vote their pocketbook." I remember a shocked campus liberal telling me after the 1994 elections--"it just goes to show that if you spend enough money you can get people to vote against their own interests."
They were wrong in 1994, and they will be wrong this year.
if the economy turns around and companies start hiring, the Republicans will be toast in Nov as Obama and his friends in the Media will spin any good news to favor the Dems.
Rev Samuel Cooper of Boston , April 7,1776 : “All history shows that it is no easy matter to excite a large people into any vigorous and continuous opposition to the government they have long been habituated to respect and obey. Nothing can bring them to his, but a clear conviction and strong feeling of some real and important injury... This is so true, that I am persuaded it will not be easy to produce an instance of any state agitated with long and great commotions, without some violent and continued pressure from the side of the government. The waves do not rise until the wind blows.”
What is going to make them lose their anger, jamming amnesty through too? LOL! I guess if they do that then voter anger will be moot anyway.
“I contend that the anger will GROW ...”
I think you are exactly correct. There is still a large reservoir of semi-apolitical voters who generally take their time in judging, and usually wait until the smoke clears. These voters will swing to the “anger” column.
This is the high water mark for support for HC. Everything now will revolve around problems (doctors quitting, problems such as CAT and ATT, etc.).
Also, this anger took a long time to simmer. It won’t disappear in any short period of time. Even last summer, the predictions were that it was a temporal display of anger, but now, it is clear that the anger has solidified and grown.
Seven months. Boy, I don’t know. That’s a lot of time to do damage control, bait and switch, and distraction maneuvers. I recommend tea partiers watch their ass from now until january first. They will be trying to make examples of those evil right wing extremists.
The Left, including many of those behind the Media, are not dumb. They do know the limits and subtleties of mass manipulation. Political memory is only so long, about five months, after which many other diversifying issues can be activated.
An example is the "bailout;" giving AIG, Goldman Sachs, billions and billions of our money, likewise to General Motors. How much anger is that now arousing?
Not only do people think what the Media tell them to think, but more importantly they think about what the Media tells them to think about.
Not necessarily so of course for everyone, but there are an awfully lot of weak minds out there. It thus up to the principled to continually declare the principles, and the Media, or the Republican Party, sure aren't likely to do that.
Johnny Suntrade
My sister who has never voted in her life will be voting this fall. (But I had also told her she WILL be voting this fall.)
I’ll bet there will be thousands just like her.
“Seven months. Boy, I don’t know. That’s a lot of time to do damage control, bait and switch, and distraction maneuvers. “
That’s true. However, another way to look at it is this: seven months is also plenty of time for the inner content of this bill to become known to even the most distracted voter.
The implications of this bill are too big to be successfully hidden. At the end of the day, many doctors will be leaving medicine, many companies will be dropping health care, and many people are going to realize that this will cost them an arm and a leg (both literally and figuratively?)
While the tea parties are important, they aren’t the most important thing. The important thing is the vast numbers of non-Tea Party people who are against this bill, or warily for it, for whom reality is starting to set in.
My one caveat to this is that if the Republican establishment starts caving into this conventional wisdom that public sentiment will start favoring HC, then they may so muddy the waters that the Democrats could be saved.
In fact, I am much more concerned about the David Frums and Lindsey Grahams of the world than I am about any real controversy about the Tea Parties (assuming that a real controversy happens).
There is no way the economy could recover enough in the short amount of time before the elections. If the Dems continue to overreach, they will continue to enflame public opinion.
I am just posting a hypothetical as to what the Dems need. But if the public has a short memory and continue to fall for the crap rhetoric that this half white chicago thug keeps teleprompting, then the end of the US as we know it will happen.
Let me also add that the Pubes better get their act together and fast. IF they want to scrap ObamaScare, they better put forth a well thought out plan of their own and start singing from the roof tops about it.
They are going to get even angrier when amnesty starts being rammed through and more people lose their jobs to the relatives that will be pouring across a now open border...workers who will work for $5.00 a hr and collect food stamps, WIC, and FREE obamanationcare.
YEP...what YOU said....plus....States and Cities are going to be having problems paying their gov’t workers their pensions (or funding them)....here in Oregon the “PERS bomb” is going to explode in the next 10 years....people are getting REALLY tired of the same old lies....it’s for the CHILDREN.....they’re catching on to the spending games...
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