9/13/2011 Special Elections Live Thread

AP ^ | 9/13/2011 | AP

[PapaBear3625]

AP is maintaining vote-count pages for both the NY special election and the Nevada special election for the US House

New York District 9, Weprin v Turner

Nevada District 2, Amodei v Marshall

[rawhide]

Drudge:
48 precincts...
3252 Turner [R] 2804 Weprin [D]

[Mr. Wright]

Need to pickup and count the ACORN, SEIU, and AFL-CIO ballots in the District.

[Lady Lucky]

46-54% here, 35-65% there (D/R) ... I don’t think even Dems can cheat THAT much, to overcome this. Turner’s pulling away.

[Free Vulcan]

Wow Turner has 71% in Brooklyn. Improving in Queens too.

[rawhide]

61 precincts...
4,189 Turner [R] 3,281 Weprin [D]

[RedMDer]

Just the fact that the Republican is a contenter is a winner for our side. Obama may be dust but dont stop here. Win or lose in this rat district and it looks like we win, 2012 will be a blood bath. Expose the rats for the Marxists that they are.

[tomkat]

In fact, I will attempt to drink a beer for every precinct that Turner wins tonight

Now that's patriotism and dedication, by God !

Sam, you've set the bar mighty high for the rest of us !

[ohioWfan]

Whoa! Hope that keeps up!

[nutmeg]

What's the deal with the third party guy - C. Hoeppner (SWP)? I assume "SWP" stands for Socialist Workers Party?

That's good if so... he'll siphon a few votes off Weprin...

[rawhide]

81 precincts...
5238 Turner [R] 4491 Weprin [D]

[concerned about politics]

81 precincts...
5238 Turner [R] 4491 Weprin [D]

[OddLane]

Putting a professional baseball team in Los Angeles.

Worst decision ever.

Danny Kaye

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

There’s a “third party” I can go for, go, socialists.

[Towsoncrs]

U.S. House - District 9 - Special General
County Precincts
David Weprin(Dem)Bob Turner(GOP)C. Hoeppner(SWP)
Total 61/512 3,281 44% 4,189 56% 23 0%
Brooklyn 8/170 273 29% 681 71% 3 0%
Queens 53/342 3,008 46% 3,508 54% 20 0%

[tomkat]

If it’s written in all caps, there’s a 98% chance that it’s crap.

OR IT COULD'VE BEEN WRITTEN BY A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEE

lol

[OddLane]

According to a recent poll, he was garnering four percent, which struck me as ridiculously high.

I just verified it with someone who's following the precincts in Brooklyn, and so far he's gotten no votes.

[southernnorthcarolina]

In ’08, Weiner carried Brooklyn portion of NY9 52/48. Queens = 65/35. Queens = 70% total vote. There’s your benchmarks.

Update: More benchmarks via Nate Silver:

NY09 over/under line: Weprin (D) would need about 54% of the votes in Queens precincts, 42% in Brooklyn precincts, to tie Turner (R)”

Thanks for that info, Palmetto. I'd have guessed the opposite (that Jewish voters in Brooklyn would be more prone to voting for the Dem), but the first returns from Brooklyn confirm your thoughts. I'm optimistic on this race now.

[chuckee]

If Turner wins, his job may be even more temporary than those created by Obama’s stimulus program.The Dem NYS legislature may very well redistrict him out of his job come 2012.

[nutmeg]

There’s a “third party” I can go for, go, socialists.

Yep, I just found the info on another thread... the third party candidate is indeed from the "Socialist Workers' Party". Alright!

Turner 55%, Weprin 45% so far... c'mon, Turner!!

[Col Frank Slade]

SEIU and Wasserman-Schultz spotted removing ballots from car trunk at JFK long term lot.