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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: txhurl

Give it up! He spent by far the most money in IA and only got about 10%. He’ll do no better in SC and at this point is only dividing up the non-Romney vote.


1,181 posted on 01/03/2012 8:29:26 PM PST by teg_76
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To: Rodm

thanks for posting that to AFveteran. now i don’t have to


1,182 posted on 01/03/2012 8:29:41 PM PST by wwcj
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To: Salvation
But does he have Soros money behind him?

Good point.. Newt isn't looking too happy. I don't know why in the world Fox News is carrying on about 13 votes like this caucus is the end all...be all. Sheesh.

1,183 posted on 01/03/2012 8:29:41 PM PST by Shortstop7
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To: altura

Newt’s points went up after each debate, thats where he did his best...they need to have more debates...


1,184 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:11 PM PST by angelcindy ("If you follow the crowd ,you get no further than the crowd!")
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To: txhurl

Soo true that all are arm-chair quarterbacks except for Perry. He is the only candidate with impressive executive experience, job creation ability and down home values. Watch him take South Carolina. That’s his territory.

Iowa is not representative of the whole nation.


1,185 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:22 PM PST by varina davis (We grow too soon old and too late smart -- Pennsylvania Dutch adage)
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To: BenKenobi

I’m running out of nails to bite.


1,186 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:24 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: Signalman
" Santorum will insure an Obama victory. A social conservative is not what we need right now. "

Then vote for Romney or Obama... this is a Conservative Website All things God and Country.... go ask Jim Robinson...
1,187 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:32 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
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To: tcrlaf

They also hate him for his unwavering pro-life beliefs. This is an example of why they fear and loathe him:

http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CREC-1998-09-17/pdf/CREC-1998-09-17-pt1-PgS10545-2.pdf#page=2

A young pregnant woman was listening to these remarks on CSPAN late one night in 1998 and decided against an abortion. Google “Santorum CSPAN miracle”.


1,188 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:38 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: BuckeyeTexan

“Well ... I’m gonna go drown my sorrows in a glass or ten of Hershey’s chocolate milk.” <<<

LOL! Love it. And chocolate!


1,189 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:42 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: parksstp

Missed it.Watching Fox news just to piss everyone off:)


1,190 posted on 01/03/2012 8:30:42 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: make no mistake

You die hard Perry supports are guaranteeing a Romney victory. You lost! You lost! You spent the most money and you lost! Drop out!


1,191 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:07 PM PST by teg_76
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To: BenKenobi

“Santorum/Newt. Delegate wise, Rick’s in the driver seat.”

No doubt, TONIGHT my friend.

But what a team Newt & Rick will be in NH, SC, and FL ganging up on Wilard the Lib : )


1,192 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:07 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: CainConservative

The real decision for conservatives, like it has been for me is between the candidates other than RINO Romney and nutcase Paul so as the lower vote total conservatives drop out, most supporters should consolidate to Santorum and Gingrich. The totals for the RINO and the nutcase will not change much.


1,193 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:18 PM PST by Proud2BeRight
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To: teg_76

Candidates just don’t wake up one day and decide they’ll stop running for President, they drop out when the money runs out. As long as Perry’s got the money, he’ll be in the race.


1,194 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:23 PM PST by bigbob
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To: BenKenobi

“Santorum/Newt. Delegate wise, Rick’s in the driver seat.”

No doubt, TONIGHT my friend.

But what a team Newt & Rick will be in NH, SC, and FL ganging up on Wilard the Lib : )


1,195 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:28 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: AFveteran

Abortion isn’t an important thing? There are 3,500 babies killed EVERY DAY in this country. What could be more important?


1,196 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:31 PM PST by Pinkbell
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To: Salvation

Romney by 13 votes.

Very hard to see how this turns out. Still precints in East Iowa to report. Some favorable counties left for Santorum, but most of the small counties are in except for Monona and Madison.


1,197 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:31 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: AFveteran
" If Santorum is the nominee, Obama doesn’t even need to campaign.

These bible thumpers who think abortion and gay marriage are the most important things right now need to get real."

Then vote for Romney or Obama... this is a Conservative Website All things God and Country.... go ask Jim Robinson...
1,198 posted on 01/03/2012 8:31:49 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
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To: montag813

He’s no longer with us. ZOT


1,199 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:01 PM PST by CynicalBear
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To: AFveteran; grey_whiskers; Windflier; 50mm; darkwing104; Old Sarge; TheOldLady; Jim Robinson
"You Bible Thumpers".

Woot! Another IBTZ for me!

I want my cookie for defending Christ, Our Country, Our Constitution, and our Conservatism! (or a pat on the head from Jim Rob would suffice) ;)

1,200 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:20 PM PST by DCBryan1 ("Forget the Lawyers! FIRST YOU MUST kill the journalists!" - Die Ritter, die sagen, "nee"!)
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