2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread

Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

[Free Vulcan]

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.

[CainConservative]

Santorum BACK on top with 93% in! Woo Hoo!!

[CainConservative]

Santorum BACK on top with 93% in! Woo Hoo!!

[ElPatriota]

You mean "wrong Paul?" LOL... I love that name...

From now on: Wrong Paul, Wrong Paul, Wrong Paul...hmmm... i like it! :)

WRONG PAUL...

[Wisconsinlady]

What type of attacks do you think will made against Santorum?

[angelcindy]

How old is Ron Paul????

[Windflier]

If someone wants to ban me for stating my opinion so be it. I used to think FR was a free and open forum. Not like the police at DU.

If you've been posting here since 1998, then surely you're aware of the owner's policy on pro-Romney postings, are you not?

Well, are you?

[jwalsh07]

Hey I like Perry on a personal level but neither Rick Santorum nor I made Rick Perry not do his homework so he came off as a dumb sh6t during the first few debates. That was all Rick Perry’s doing as is the tuition for illegals thing which rules him out in my book. Your reading interests may vary.

[VinL]

Altura, the only thing I ever liked about Iowa was “Field of Dreams”. -:)

[tennmountainman]

Why didn’t he use all that money to at least get a top three spot in Iowa?

He’s got 9 million and he went from 1st to 4th in three weeks? When he goes negative in the south his numbers will drop.

All you supporters should reward him for his 4th place finish
by giving to his campaign till it hurts.

[Mozilla]

Santorum Mitt Romney will insure an Obama victory. A moderate is not what we need right now.

[DCBryan1]

Awwww....blushing! Thanks FRiend!

[PghBaldy]

From Wikipedia: January 19, 1976 – "Uncommitted" (37%), Jimmy Carter (28%) Birch Bayh (13%), Fred R. Harris (10%), Morris Udall (6%), Sargent Shriver (3%), and Henry M. Jackson (1%)

NOTE; Carter went on to win...

[digital-olive]

Rick’s up 99 now with 93% in.

[CainConservative]

“Your point is taken, but with all the money Perry supporters threw into Iowa with the big TV buys, and to finish in 5th place, I have to believe the money is about to dry up.”

BINGO!

[SamAdams76]

It does have the look and feel of a wake at Newt headquarters. Also, Newt is coming across as very humble tonight. I don’t think he’s finished yet.

[RitaOK]

CNN said an hour ago that the western rural counties were in at only 3%. They are the CONSERVATIVE rural Iowa.

[Yankee]

That is just the stupidest looking hairstyle.

Did someone convince her that it looks good?

It’s hideous.

[Old Sarge]

These bible thumpers who think abortion and gay marriage are the most important things right now need to get real.

Ooooo, that was a one-way ticket to ride the lightning!

[parksstp]

Monona should be good for Santorum, but there’s still a handful in East IA. Romney could make up a small margin.

[altura]

I don’t agree. Perry supporters are very loyal and Perry is tenacious.

He’ll have to do badly in South Carolina for Perry supporters to even think of giving up and probably not then.