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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: altura
Wish I could give up ethanol.

Now now, you poor dear, one must not be too hasty.

1,361 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:18 PM PST by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: Proud2BeRight
Romney has to be running scared now

The MSM and NWO sure is.

1,362 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:22 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Rational Thought
ti doesn't appear that Perry has moved outside the margin of error for sometime now. He campaign was kicked off by big Texas money. They will not keep it up
1,363 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:22 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: make no mistake

He’s rated A- A+ by the NRA.


1,364 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:43 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: LibsRJerks

Someone said Newt has been sick this weekend, so that explains the tiring.


1,365 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:55 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Cato in PA

OK. I agree moral issues are important, they just aren’t the overriding concern of people without jobs and living in a car or with the parents. Maybe they should be, but they aren’t. Happy New Year.


1,366 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:59 PM PST by PghBaldy (War Powers Res: http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/warpower.asp)
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To: Tribune7

Hilarious!!!! That was the take I had. But, you said it best. Willard needs to be exposed for the RINO he is.


1,367 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:23 PM PST by Anti-Hillary
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To: Rational Thought
I hope so. I was watching her speech and thinking she should have had the Happy Hands Club backing her up.
1,368 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:26 PM PST by Tribune7 (Vote Perry or Gingrich, maybe. OK Santorum too)
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To: chilepup; All
If you take out 30% of Romney’s vote and 48% of Ron Pauls, that means that they performed POORLY among the Republican base.

i keep seeing these figures, and i'm assuming these are the numbers of cross-over Dem voters who registered as GOP so they could vote? Can someone tell me where these stats come from?

1,369 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:28 PM PST by naxetevitan
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To: JosephMama; 50mm; darkwing104; Arrowhead1952; TheOldLady; onyx; Lady Jag; Allegra; Chode; ...
We got us another one, gang!
The air is thick with flying prey!


1,370 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:43 PM PST by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
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To: Chandalier
If it’s Obama v. Gingrich, Gingrich will be my man.

Same here, ANYONE BUT OBAMA, but if Mittens gets the GOP nod, I'll need a gurney, a barf bag, and sedatives to vote GOP.

1,371 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:46 PM PST by DCBryan1 ("Forget the Lawyers! FIRST YOU MUST kill the journalists!" - Die Ritter, die sagen, "nee"!)
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To: InterceptPoint

heheheheh,:)


1,372 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:50 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Rational Thought

Did you hear what Bachmann said during her speech “There may be a Michelle in the White House” she is going to endorse Romney..she was a shill for him all along.


1,373 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:56 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Antoninus; TheOldLady

Is anyone keeping track of the zots tonight?


1,374 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:22 PM PST by reaganaut (If Romney is a conservative then I'm the frickin Angel Moroni.)
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To: nicmarlo

Agreed; any one of the three leaders implodes and he’s back in the game.


1,375 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:22 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have Ingsoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: Rational Thought

Well, I think you’re wrong. We Perry supporters are strong for Perry because Perry is strong.

He’s faced challenges before. Everyone thought Kaye Bailey Hutchison would be able to unseat him and the liberal press was praying for it.

She didn’t make a dent.

Perry may not win the nomination, which will be a sad thing for the party and the country, but he won’t give up.


1,376 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:25 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: angelcindy

Ha, 54 years. He might have had a case of senioritis.


1,377 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:25 PM PST by EEGator
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To: LdSentinal

Bachmann is staying in. Mitt must need her to keep taking votes away from Santorum and Newt.


1,378 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:29 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: jjotto

We shall see. Seems his prolife message is resonating, and he’s a solid social conservative. That’s not going to be a hindrance in the south.


1,379 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:29 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Cato in PA

Perry should drop out as well.


1,380 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:42 PM PST by Mozilla
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