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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: RitaOK
Bachmann reminds me of Palin

...sigh... Nope. Just not going to do it. Not tonight. Some other time, perhaps.

1,621 posted on 01/03/2012 9:37:31 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: NKP_Vet
At this point the vote count doesn't matter. Mitt stuck at 25%. Perhaps a little more attrition that allows other conservative’s numbers to bump up. Romney's position weakened tonight despite what the MSM and Rove say.
1,622 posted on 01/03/2012 9:37:55 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: teg_76

What are you listening to? Far from boring... maybe you have a tin ear.


1,623 posted on 01/03/2012 9:37:55 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: BenKenobi

Kossuth, Hardin, Appanoose, Hamilton, places with vote still out. Not sure how much left though. It’s razor close. Moot point. Romney can’t claim victory even if he’s on top. It was weak for him. Looks like he’ll fail to get his vote total from 2008.


1,624 posted on 01/03/2012 9:38:03 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: onyx

I know ...

He’s making a great speech now, and I loved how
he tenderly thanked, hugged and kissed his lovely
wife, and then thanked God for His grace.

Santorum’s grit and daily grind sure bode him well
when you saw the map of IA and all the counties
he covered .. and I think Brett said 80% of the
them went for RS. I could be wrong about that, but
his hard work, good old shoe leather made this
possible, I’m sure.

As he said when he began: GAME ON!


1,625 posted on 01/03/2012 9:38:22 PM PST by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: jwalsh07
"Winner is Santorum by any measure"

No one can argue that. But it has inspired me to send Newt $100.
1,626 posted on 01/03/2012 9:38:29 PM PST by JoSixChip (Top 10% of wage earners pay 70% of total income taxes collected. Bottom 50% pay less then 3%, fair?)
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To: sockmonkey

Life is a harsh mistress.


1,627 posted on 01/03/2012 9:38:46 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: American Constitutionalist

Romney is McCain but without the war hero past.


1,628 posted on 01/03/2012 9:38:56 PM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC AND THE MEDIA: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
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To: teg_76

I’m a wizard. :p

7 Precincts left in Harrison, 1 in Keokuk, 1 in Hancock, 1 in Crawford, 1 in Appanoose


1,629 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:27 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: antceecee

have you ever heard a good victory speech? It should be a rousing speech that builds excitement...this is not doing it.


1,630 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:38 PM PST by teg_76
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Santorum’s upside far exceeds Mitt.


1,631 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:38 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: NKP_Vet

There should have been international monitors watching the people that opened the envelopes.

Faux News will portray this as an historic night for their
favorite liberal. Santorum will barely be mentioned
tomorrow.

Get ready to hear over and over that Willard the liberal
can not be beat now and that no one has ever taken
Iowa and NH before.

Get ready to throw up. The only way to keep from
throwing up is not subscribe to Faux News. Faux News
will not mention that 75% of republicans despise this piece of human excrement.


1,632 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:57 PM PST by NKP_Vet (creep.)
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To: BenKenobi
It really doesn't matter. The night belongs to Santorum and Conservatism.

Now, we all have to go to work. We have won a battle but not the war....yet.

1,633 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:57 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: Proudcongal

I can’t believe I didn’t think of that. You’re right! Willard Romney the open socialist will rig the votes every bit as much as Obama would. I think I’m calling it a night after Rick’s speech is over.

Somebody earlier said it best when they said Santorum has won even if he technically lost.


1,634 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:57 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: JoSixChip

Good, it’ll help him kneecap Romney.


1,635 posted on 01/03/2012 9:39:57 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: Tramonto

Ridiculous!


1,636 posted on 01/03/2012 9:40:05 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: STARWISE

I hope that the donations POUR IN for Rick now and we can get momentum going!!! We need a MORAL CHANGE in this country as well as FISCAL and NATIONAL SECURITY!!!


1,637 posted on 01/03/2012 9:40:09 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: LibsRJerks
Newt is as nasty and down and dirty as they are

Agree with that. He is also a cry baby. If he thinks Romney treated him badly, imagine what Obama and his billion dollar propaganda machine will do to him. Newt is not a very likeable fellow.

1,638 posted on 01/03/2012 9:40:22 PM PST by kabar
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To: baysider

If Perry withdraws from the race, it will be America’s loss.
He would be a credit to the office of the President of the United States. “ <<<

Rick Perry withdrawing will be America’s loss, no doubt about it. They didn’t know him like we did. Now that they do, its really too late. He had to go too long without doubling that early great money, and he is gracious when dealing with reality. Always has been.


1,639 posted on 01/03/2012 9:40:27 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: VinL

Yes! You’re right about that. I hope Perry sticks it to Rove and to BOR also.


1,640 posted on 01/03/2012 9:40:27 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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