Well....crap :(
This with a D +3.5 model.
Absolutely correct. The weekend bump now moves Obama up to being tied with Romney. He’s losing traction. I wish it were better news, but this is not bad. He’s in trouble. I will like it better when he remains behind even with the weekend bump.
Ras is still using his heavy dem bias on this poll.
All other polls today are confirming a 16% lead with independents for Romney, that means game over for Obama. McCain lost indies by 8 points at 52-44...They are showing Obama to Romney 52-35, even worse than what McCain polled.
I’d wait until Thursday before we can definitively say whether there is any big movement.
Looks like Romney got a huge bump on Thursday. And then Obama got a bump from jobs report. But not much.
So after debate and jobs report, edge I would say is with Romney. He was down 2 (pre debate/pre jobs report), and now even - and this is also a 3day weekend poll, Fri-Sat-Sun, which tends to favor Obama.
Let’s see where we are upon Friday morning’s poll release.
That should shake out the noise and provide a clearer picture of where race really stands. I think Romney will be up by 2-3 points.
Who gives a flying sh&& what Ras says! Unreal how anyone could fall for this tripe. 2010 was a sweep of huge proportions for conservatives. 2 years later the turd has done even more damage to our republic and people are falling for this BS!?
The polls are pollster self interest biased. Usually politically correct, showing Obama having an edge and also promoting a close race for business money reasons. It is not that it isn’t close but there are so much self interests and agendas involved that the purpose of the polls to show reality/truth is completely thwarted.
This makes no sense.
Good old scotty... keepeing the race tight and his revenue up.
LLS
Romney had a couple of big days that are rolling off now.
I expect The One to be back in the lead tomorrow.
Ugh!!!
As I have been saying for years, ALL pollsters have an agenda. I have never seen any sign ever that Ras was a Republican, people keep telling me he is.
I can be objective, it`s not like I am real real excited about Romney...Yes I am all in now for him because he is only alternative, but I still hold the same view I have held for years.
Ras is as much as saying that Romney got no bounce, He shouild be up by 10 in a poll.
Claims that Obama got a bigger bounce out of phony job numbers, he said as much between the lines.,..yes I am a between the lines reader and very good at it :)
CNN has a new poll out today saying Obama is up by 6 with likely voters nation wide...give me a break!!!
What happened to Blitzer saying a “scientific” (that`s what he called it late post debate night)poll showed 35% more likely to vote Romney as apposed to 18% Zero, from undecided voters??
All of a sudden Obama up by 6, leading in areas he should not.
There is no “science” in political polling in 2012 period! Regardless of what the number is.
Anybody that believes in polling needs to have head examined..sorry JMHO
Anybody that thinks we have a friend in Ras or any other pollster is also whacked out
It could be that the “liar” campaign is working. If you figure that Fox was the only one not promoting it, that means that the vast majority of news watchers over the weekend were being fed the propaganda that Romney was lying about his tax plan.
There is no 5 trillion tax plan, but how would you know that if the “news” is telling you that there is?
“Ugh! Weekend effect, I suppose”
I went to Rasmussen’s page as linked above.
The results are mixed, no matter how you slice it.
The Senate race in Ohio is still a horse race (neither candidate has broken the 50% mark), but Virginia looks like a goner for George Allen, Kaine is at the 50% level.
Rasmussen shows Romney at 49% in Virginia with a shot at winning, but in Ohio, Obama has hit 50% with Romney trailing at 49% — that doesn’t leave much leverage to turn that contest around, unless we change some “likely Obama voters” into “likely Romney voters”. That’s going to be difficult. Without Ohio, Romney faces a Herculean struggle to amass enough votes to win in the Electoral College.
Florida is Romney 49%, Obama 47%, looks good for us.
I don’t know how old Rasmussen’s poll for Pennsylvania is, but his last-reported numbers were Obama 51%, Romney 39%. I know the race there is tightening, but it looks like Obama’s going to get PA.
This is going to be a bitter struggle to the very end, with lawsuits and claims of fraud which may even delay the final results in some states. I’m sensing this will become the “last-ditch attempt” by the ‘rats to steal the election, a la Al Franken.
Those here on FR who say it’s going to be a landslide — well, better think again. The fact that the election remains so close with a candidate as provenly destructive to the American ideal as is Obama indicates that there is now a huge electoral demographic that will never again support the “traditional American model”.
We are entering an era of bitterly divided politics — a “civil cold war”, if you will.
Still a tough fight ahead...
Obama should study for his next job as NBA Commissioner....
>> Weekend effect <<
Wrong. I don’t understand why this myth refuses to die on FR. Rasmussen adjusts his numbers to eliminate any weekend effect.
Here’s why the polls are over sampling DemocRATS. People like me. When I get polled I always say I’m a democrat, black, women 19 years old and definitely going to vote.
Then I say I’m voting for Romney. So they are showing more self identified Rats in their polling. Which inflates their expected Rat turnout.
It’s easy to lie to a polster about our demographics, but not as easy to say I’m voting for 0bama. I bet there are many Conservatives doing the same thing.
Romney had his first big appearance before the American public in the debate. Many will probably wait to see if he can continue to carry the water in the next debate. If he does well in this debate and does not improve in a big way, I just think he is in trouble. When you have 48% of the country wanting to reelect a fool that has driven this nation into the ground, then that simply tells you that 50% of this nation is on drugs, welfare, food stamps and free stuff. As long as they get that, they will continue to vote for the fools. But, the fools give 50% what they want. When the bottom falls out and the so called rich don’t have any more money to give to the deadbeats, then the riots begin because they don’t get their free stuff. Romney may be in trouble through no fault of his own. It is mainly because, this my fellow citizens, is WHAT AMERICA HAS BECOME. A nation of deadbeats.
Maybe Ras should talk to Pew and Gallup? Just kidding, I do not trust any of them!
You can be sure that Pew etc will give a push to Obama in final stretch