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Gallup: R-51/O-45
Gallup ^ | 10/20 | Gallup

Posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:03 AM PDT by tatown

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To: nathanbedford

“This corresponds very closely with Rasmussen’s just released swing state poll.”

Exactly. The two polls are not that far off from each other. They seem to be coming together.


101 posted on 10/20/2012 1:10:57 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: rfp1234

Well stated!


102 posted on 10/20/2012 1:20:14 PM PDT by Husker8877
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To: JPG

I’m betting on R52-O47.


103 posted on 10/20/2012 1:23:29 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Obama didn't fix it.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Yesteday at National Review online in the “Campaign Spot” an interesting article was posted showing that over the last 3 elections, Ohio did 2.13% better for R’s than the national vote earned by the R candidate. Example, Obama won by 7.2% nationally in 2008 but only won Ohio by 4.6%.IF Romney is up by anything near what Gallup has him at, Ohio will fall in his column.


104 posted on 10/20/2012 1:31:27 PM PDT by bombthrower
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Comment #105 Removed by Moderator

Comment #106 Removed by Moderator

Comment #107 Removed by Moderator

To: Perdogg
"Maybe Nate Silver can hold him."

Zogby in a mask held together by special sauce...

108 posted on 10/20/2012 1:33:39 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: catsup

You’ve had 5 posts in 2 years, and three posts this year (one a duplicate) and you’ve used two of them to knock Romney’s chances.

I’m smelling ozone, you troll.

Who’s the cat that’s up for you, Obama?


109 posted on 10/20/2012 1:40:46 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: TomGuy
"Let’s hope the moving vans are already on standby and the rumors about the current nightmare relocating to Hawaii in January are true."

The house they'll be moving to is so beautiful, I'm not too sure I wouldn't throw an election to move there. And I'm very hard to please when it comes to houses.

Oh yeah, here's the Penny Pritzger story to go with.

110 posted on 10/20/2012 1:41:24 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: catsup
You know who's yet to be wrong? The University of Colorado mode meta econ model. 8 straight, baby. And they say Romney gets 330EV.

You know who's just plain wrong? You. And Gary Johnstoned is broke. If he pulls 0.4% it'll be a miracle.

111 posted on 10/20/2012 1:44:57 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: stevem

Just makes it easier for Obama to “surge” right at the end. Romney’s coming close in some of these swing states but the numbers just aren’t there for him. At least not yet but he’s running out of time.


112 posted on 10/20/2012 1:45:13 PM PDT by paul544
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To: bombthrower
The GOP isn't going to lose Ohio, there is a strong get out the vote effort.

Polls oversampling by +8 Democrat.

The only reason the polls are keeping it close to due to the upcoming debate.

Next week, the polls should start really showing the truth.

Obama has never goine over 50%, Romney has maintained that for several days.

Independents are going to break for him.

Haven't heard lately anything about Fl or Vir. so they must be already conceded.

Win those three, Fl. Vir. and Ohio, and Romney is President.

113 posted on 10/20/2012 1:48:33 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: paul544

Stop being such an Eeyore, please.


114 posted on 10/20/2012 2:05:07 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: tatown

“I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.”

Close ... but I ink more accurate to say it this way:

Gallup doesnt even USE a turnout model! (Correct me if I am wrong, but they dont do the ‘secret sauce’ other pollster do. They just take a straight sample and make sure it is balanced enough up front and go with it.) What that means is that Gallup can ‘bounce around’ more and can be an outlier, but it is otherwise cant get you fooled by ‘turnout models’ that are wrong.

So gallup is probably showing us the REAL 2012 turnout model is a big win for Romney. It’s an Inconvenient Truth so the liberals will hide behind the bogus polls and their bogus turnout models ... until the election.

JMHO.


115 posted on 10/20/2012 2:05:43 PM PDT by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
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To: LS
GOP has $82. But Obamagetting a LOAN from B of A

What do you mean by that first part, GOP has $82? I know about the BofA loan not sure about the other part, I musta missed that.

116 posted on 10/20/2012 2:34:07 PM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: tatown
I am one of those inclined to believe it is a setup. Gallup is a lefty organization that wants to appear as legitimate. But for the lefties and the communists, there is a higher calling. The last debate will be a major event from which polling manipulation ( pre and post debate) can be used to try to propel the momentum for the White House peacock into the last weeks, e.g. ‘come from behind’: appealing to the old Come Back Kid theme.
117 posted on 10/20/2012 2:52:26 PM PDT by Mizpah ((Teach your children how to think, not what to think.))
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To: Perdogg

Sorry but I lived through the delusions here at FR in 2008. I’m not buying all the rainbows and unicorns this time. He’s even at best in Ohio and can’t win without it.


118 posted on 10/20/2012 3:00:09 PM PDT by paul544
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To: riri

GOP has $82m in the bank for the last two weeks. The Ds had to float a $15m loan. So clearly the Blaze’s guy was wrong about this. Romney has the money, Obama doesn’t.


119 posted on 10/20/2012 3:17:15 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Seems like the Business man knows how to budget.LOL


120 posted on 10/20/2012 3:49:13 PM PDT by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: everyone
Graphic by Lady Jag!




Rise up and Donate!

121 posted on 10/20/2012 4:16:36 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: paul544

THere were hardly rainbows and unicorns in 2008 regarding McaCain’s chances.


122 posted on 10/20/2012 8:02:42 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Sarah Barracuda
" .I hope he enjoys that 35 million dollar mega mansion in Hawaii "

And all of America will say to him " you didn't build that "


123 posted on 10/21/2012 12:26:44 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: Mizpah
" can be used to try to propel the momentum for the White House peacock into the last weeks, e.g. ‘come from behind’: appealing to the old Come Back Kid theme. "


You mean like Germany's " come from behind " theme ?

Gotterdammerung Jan-April 1945 ?

Battle of the Bulge Dec 1944-Jan 1945 ?

Come back from behind ? how did that work out for them ?
124 posted on 10/21/2012 12:41:05 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: RightWingConspirator

They can have it as that’s the least of concerns if you know what i mean.


125 posted on 10/21/2012 7:53:50 AM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: American Constitutionalist

I certainly hope the White House peacock’s last offensive ends like the Götterdämmerung and Ardennes’ offensives did for the nazis. They are only now known as the last gasp nazi offensives in the east and west because of how they ended. As to the Buldge, it also shows US reseliance in the face of and expense of much US blood. The peacock has bleed America and he can not be defeated soon enough. But it ain’t over until....


126 posted on 10/21/2012 12:17:53 PM PDT by Mizpah ((Teach your children how to think, not what to think.))
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To: American Constitutionalist; tatown

Reference prior response to you on Gallup pre and post Debate polling.

I was wrong on my views on Gallup’s polling numbers. I am glad that I was wrong and Mitt continues to surge in Gallup.


127 posted on 10/31/2012 7:36:03 PM PDT by Mizpah ((Teach your children how to think, not what to think.))
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