Skip to comments.Gallup: R-51/O-45
Posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:03 AM PDT by tatown
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“This corresponds very closely with Rasmussen’s just released swing state poll.”
Exactly. The two polls are not that far off from each other. They seem to be coming together.
I’m betting on R52-O47.
Yesteday at National Review online in the “Campaign Spot” an interesting article was posted showing that over the last 3 elections, Ohio did 2.13% better for R’s than the national vote earned by the R candidate. Example, Obama won by 7.2% nationally in 2008 but only won Ohio by 4.6%.IF Romney is up by anything near what Gallup has him at, Ohio will fall in his column.
Zogby in a mask held together by special sauce...
You’ve had 5 posts in 2 years, and three posts this year (one a duplicate) and you’ve used two of them to knock Romney’s chances.
I’m smelling ozone, you troll.
Who’s the cat that’s up for you, Obama?
The house they'll be moving to is so beautiful, I'm not too sure I wouldn't throw an election to move there. And I'm very hard to please when it comes to houses.
Oh yeah, here's the Penny Pritzger story to go with.
You know who's just plain wrong? You. And Gary Johnstoned is broke. If he pulls 0.4% it'll be a miracle.
Just makes it easier for Obama to “surge” right at the end. Romney’s coming close in some of these swing states but the numbers just aren’t there for him. At least not yet but he’s running out of time.
Polls oversampling by +8 Democrat.
The only reason the polls are keeping it close to due to the upcoming debate.
Next week, the polls should start really showing the truth.
Obama has never goine over 50%, Romney has maintained that for several days.
Independents are going to break for him.
Haven't heard lately anything about Fl or Vir. so they must be already conceded.
Win those three, Fl. Vir. and Ohio, and Romney is President.
Stop being such an Eeyore, please.
“I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup setup is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.”
Close ... but I ink more accurate to say it this way:
Gallup doesnt even USE a turnout model! (Correct me if I am wrong, but they dont do the ‘secret sauce’ other pollster do. They just take a straight sample and make sure it is balanced enough up front and go with it.) What that means is that Gallup can ‘bounce around’ more and can be an outlier, but it is otherwise cant get you fooled by ‘turnout models’ that are wrong.
So gallup is probably showing us the REAL 2012 turnout model is a big win for Romney. It’s an Inconvenient Truth so the liberals will hide behind the bogus polls and their bogus turnout models ... until the election.
What do you mean by that first part, GOP has $82? I know about the BofA loan not sure about the other part, I musta missed that.
Sorry but I lived through the delusions here at FR in 2008. I’m not buying all the rainbows and unicorns this time. He’s even at best in Ohio and can’t win without it.
GOP has $82m in the bank for the last two weeks. The Ds had to float a $15m loan. So clearly the Blaze’s guy was wrong about this. Romney has the money, Obama doesn’t.
Seems like the Business man knows how to budget.LOL