Posted on 10/25/2012 11:55:14 AM PDT by LucianOfSamasota
I think this is possible if everything breaks right. I love it that Oregon and Minnesota and Michigan go red. No one is expecting that. Maine could even tip. The Left will be in complete meltdown.
And add to that a man who most likely wasn't born in the United states, and, if so, is probably not even an American citizen.
What kind of a dumbed down electorate do we have if they elected him once and we still have to be concerned about the possibility of a second term!!!
Well I hope so but off year elections don’t always indicate presidential elections
Boobs who don’t realize congress matters vote ONLY in the presidential elections
Democrats got slaughtered in 94
Clinton won in 96
But the economy was booming then
“Is anyone old enough to remember Reagan 1980?”
I voted for Reagan 1980 absentee ballot - I was out of the country at the time. I also remember 20 years earlier when I voted in my first presidential election...1st of three times I voted for Nixon. In 1960 I was in the military.
I have tabulated the data here in an Excel spreadsheet, did some other things to it, and plan to use it Election night to check results against this projection. Could be interesting.
Here in Ohio where I am, I sense the winds are blowing a tide that is favorable to Romney. If this is correct, it could be over quickly...News at 11...
If the rest of this map is close to what actually happens, Ohio won’t matter and there will be no ‘hanging chads’. to challenge.
DISCLAIMER: I am not saying that this prognostication is correct, but I see some encouragement in all this. Note to all...achieving these kinds of numbers requires that we ALL get out there and vote, and that we encourage as many right minded folks that we know to do the same.
Ohio elected Kasic and a ton of other conservatives....that is a sea change
You don’t think 94 was a sea change
It stopped Clinton’s domestic programs in their tracks
I think 1980 was a sea change
1994 could have been but there was no follow on PLUS between Dole and the dem smear campaign on Ken Starr....it’s only about sex...the economy was still good and there was no driving desire to swap presidents except by conservatives. That may be a swell but not a change
State | Clinton 1996 | Dole 1996 | Gore 2000 | Bush 2000 | Kerry 2004 | Bush 2004 | Obama 2008 | McCain 2008 | State | Projected Obama | Projected Romney | Projected pop Obama | Projected pop Romney |
Alabama | 43.00 | 50.00 | 42.00 | 56.00 | 37.00 | 63.00 | 39.00 | 60.00 | Alabama | 35.60 | 65.22 | 776249 | 1422106 |
Alaska | 33.00 | 51.00 | 28.00 | 59.00 | 35.50 | 61.10 | 37.70 | 60.20 | Alaska | 28.90 | 65.80 | 83295 | 189648 |
Arizona | 46.00 | 44.00 | 45.00 | 51.00 | 44.40 | 54.90 | 45.00 | 53.80 | Arizona | 40.45 | 58.90 | 883941 | 1287123 |
Arkansas | 54.00 | 37.00 | 46.00 | 51.00 | 44.50 | 54.40 | 38.80 | 58.80 | Arkansas | 41.18 | 58.27 | 454321 | 642868 |
California | 51.00 | 38.00 | 53.00 | 42.00 | 54.30 | 44.40 | 60.90 | 37.30 | California | 57.15 | 42.40 | 7008802 | 5199881 |
Colorado | 44.00 | 46.00 | 42.00 | 51.00 | 47.00 | 51.70 | 53.50 | 44.90 | Colorado | 44.98 | 54.37 | 1056479 | 1277029 |
Connecticut | 52.00 | 35.00 | 56.00 | 38.00 | 54.30 | 43.90 | 60.50 | 38.30 | Connecticut | 51.05 | 46.77 | 857386 | 785503 |
Delaware | 52.00 | 37.00 | 55.00 | 42.00 | 53.30 | 45.80 | 61.90 | 37.00 | Delaware | 53.90 | 45.42 | 230766 | 194460 |
District of Columbia | 85.00 | 9.00 | 85.00 | 9.00 | 89.20 | 9.30 | 92.90 | 6.50 | District of Columbia | 92.38 | 6.42 | 218465 | 15182 |
Florida | 48.00 | 42.00 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 47.10 | 52.10 | 50.90 | 48.40 | Florida | 46.10 | 53.85 | 3912739 | 4570521 |
Georgia | 46.00 | 47.00 | 43.00 | 55.00 | 41.40 | 58.00 | 47.00 | 52.20 | Georgia | 39.70 | 61.02 | 1622253 | 2493449 |
Hawaii | 57.00 | 32.00 | 56.00 | 37.00 | 54.00 | 45.30 | 71.80 | 26.60 | Hawaii | 55.05 | 43.20 | 257352 | 201955 |
Idaho | 34.00 | 52.00 | 28.00 | 67.00 | 30.30 | 68.40 | 36.10 | 61.50 | Idaho | 27.45 | 70.20 | 183371 | 468949 |
Illinois | 54.00 | 37.00 | 55.00 | 43.00 | 54.80 | 44.50 | 61.80 | 36.90 | Illinois | 53.75 | 46.32 | 2991410 | 2577900 |
Indiana | 42.00 | 47.00 | 41.00 | 57.00 | 39.30 | 59.90 | 49.90 | 49.00 | Indiana | 38.40 | 61.20 | 1092013 | 1740395 |
Iowa | 50.00 | 40.00 | 49.00 | 48.00 | 49.30 | 49.90 | 54.00 | 44.70 | Iowa | 45.93 | 53.62 | 721347 | 842121 |
Kansas | 36.00 | 54.00 | 37.00 | 58.00 | 36.60 | 62.00 | 41.40 | 56.80 | Kansas | 33.10 | 65.67 | 412027 | 817458 |
Kentucky | 46.00 | 45.00 | 41.00 | 57.00 | 39.70 | 59.50 | 41.10 | 57.50 | Kentucky | 37.30 | 62.72 | 700965 | 1178674 |
Louisiana | 52.00 | 40.00 | 45.00 | 53.00 | 42.20 | 56.70 | 39.90 | 58.60 | Louisiana | 40.13 | 60.05 | 812638 | 1216020 |
Maine | 52.00 | 31.00 | 49.00 | 44.00 | 53.60 | 44.60 | 57.60 | 40.50 | Maine | 49.40 | 49.20 | 372260 | 370753 |
Maryland | 54.00 | 38.00 | 56.00 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 43.00 | 61.90 | 36.80 | Maryland | 54.33 | 45.42 | 1436751 | 1201127 |
Massachusetts | 61.00 | 28.00 | 60.00 | 33.00 | 62.00 | 36.90 | 62.00 | 36.20 | Massachusetts | 56.60 | 41.50 | 1780147 | 1305231 |
Michigan | 52.00 | 38.00 | 51.00 | 46.00 | 51.20 | 47.80 | 57.40 | 40.90 | Michigan | 48.25 | 51.15 | 2488585 | 2638158 |
Minnesota | 51.00 | 35.00 | 48.00 | 46.00 | 51.50 | 48.00 | 54.20 | 44.00 | Minnesota | 46.53 | 51.22 | 1391786 | 1532072 |
Mississippi | 44.00 | 49.00 | 41.00 | 58.00 | 40.10 | 59.10 | 42.80 | 56.40 | Mississippi | 37.33 | 63.60 | 473545 | 806789 |
Missouri | 47.00 | 41.00 | 47.00 | 50.00 | 46.10 | 53.30 | 49.30 | 49.40 | Missouri | 42.70 | 56.40 | 1292914 | 1707737 |
Montana | 41.00 | 44.00 | 33.00 | 58.00 | 38.60 | 59.10 | 47.20 | 49.70 | Montana | 35.30 | 60.67 | 174777 | 300388 |
Nebraska | 35.00 | 54.00 | 33.00 | 62.00 | 32.70 | 66.00 | 41.50 | 57.00 | Nebraska | 30.90 | 67.72 | 249953 | 547794 |
Nevada | 44.00 | 43.00 | 46.00 | 50.00 | 48.10 | 50.70 | 55.10 | 42.70 | Nevada | 46.65 | 52.57 | 462332 | 521003 |
New Hampshire | 49.00 | 39.00 | 47.00 | 48.00 | 50.40 | 49.00 | 54.30 | 44.80 | New Hampshire | 45.53 | 53.17 | 335376 | 391653 |
New Jersey | 54.00 | 36.00 | 56.00 | 40.00 | 53.00 | 46.20 | 56.80 | 42.10 | New Jersey | 50.43 | 49.05 | 1922429 | 1869822 |
New Mexico | 49.00 | 42.00 | 48.00 | 48.00 | 49.00 | 49.80 | 56.70 | 42.00 | New Mexico | 46.03 | 53.42 | 390653 | 453371 |
New York | 59.00 | 31.00 | 60.00 | 35.00 | 58.40 | 40.10 | 62.20 | 36.70 | New York | 55.25 | 43.67 | 4025920 | 3182116 |
North Carolina | 44.00 | 49.00 | 43.00 | 56.00 | 43.60 | 56.10 | 49.90 | 49.50 | North Carolina | 40.48 | 60.62 | 1799232 | 2694403 |
North Dakota | 40.00 | 47.00 | 33.00 | 61.00 | 35.50 | 62.90 | 44.70 | 53.30 | North Dakota | 33.65 | 64.02 | 109402 | 208140 |
Ohio | 47.00 | 40.00 | 46.00 | 50.00 | 48.70 | 50.80 | 51.20 | 47.20 | Ohio | 45.58 | 53.97 | 2493712 | 2952735 |
Oklahoma | 40.00 | 48.00 | 38.00 | 60.00 | 34.40 | 65.60 | 34.40 | 65.60 | Oklahoma | 32.05 | 67.77 | 492013 | 1040365 |
Oregon | 47.00 | 39.00 | 47.00 | 47.00 | 51.60 | 47.40 | 57.10 | 40.80 | Oregon | 46.03 | 51.52 | 811137 | 907881 |
Pennsylvania | 49.00 | 40.00 | 51.00 | 46.00 | 51.00 | 48.50 | 54.70 | 44.30 | Pennsylvania | 46.78 | 52.67 | 2838495 | 3195885 |
Rhode Island | 60.00 | 27.00 | 61.00 | 32.00 | 59.40 | 38.70 | 63.10 | 35.30 | Rhode Island | 56.23 | 41.22 | 258912 | 189798 |
South Carolina | 44.00 | 50.00 | 41.00 | 57.00 | 41.00 | 58.10 | 44.90 | 53.80 | South Carolina | 38.08 | 62.70 | 747252 | 1230375 |
South Dakota | 43.00 | 46.00 | 38.00 | 60.00 | 38.40 | 59.90 | 44.70 | 53.20 | South Dakota | 36.38 | 62.75 | 142828 | 246357 |
Tennessee | 48.00 | 46.00 | 47.00 | 51.00 | 42.60 | 56.90 | 41.80 | 56.90 | Tennessee | 40.20 | 60.67 | 1076876 | 1625225 |
Texas | 44.00 | 49.00 | 38.00 | 59.00 | 38.20 | 61.10 | 43.80 | 55.50 | Texas | 36.35 | 64.12 | 3049168 | 5378615 |
Utah | 33.00 | 54.00 | 26.00 | 67.00 | 26.40 | 72.70 | 34.20 | 62.90 | Utah | 25.25 | 72.12 | 227283 | 649175 |
Vermont | 53.00 | 31.00 | 51.00 | 41.00 | 58.90 | 38.80 | 67.80 | 30.60 | Vermont | 53.03 | 43.32 | 177009 | 144598 |
Virginia | 45.00 | 47.00 | 44.00 | 52.00 | 45.60 | 53.80 | 52.70 | 46.40 | Virginia | 42.18 | 57.77 | 1631794 | 2234916 |
Washington | 50.00 | 37.00 | 50.00 | 45.00 | 52.80 | 45.60 | 57.50 | 40.50 | Washington | 50.93 | 48.76 | 1414351 | 1354089 |
West Virginia | 51.00 | 37.00 | 46.00 | 52.00 | 43.20 | 56.10 | 42.60 | 55.70 | West Virginia | 41.05 | 58.17 | 299871 | 424933 |
Wisconsin | 49.00 | 39.00 | 48.00 | 48.00 | 49.70 | 49.40 | 56.30 | 42.40 | Wisconsin | 46.10 | 52.67 | 1417615 | 1619649 |
Wyoming | 37.00 | 50.00 | 28.00 | 68.00 | 29.10 | 69.00 | 32.70 | 65.20 | Wyoming | 27.05 | 71.02 | 68488 | 179817 |
Total | 49.00 | 41.00 | 48.00 | 48.00 | 48.30 | 50.70 | 53.00 | 46.00 | Total | 45.92 | 53.63 | 60128685 | 70226212 |
1980
Nope
Reagan except for a couple years when the GOP had the senate had nothing but an antagonistic democrat congress
1994 till 2006 the GOP held the congress and from 2000-2006 had a GOP congress and president
Thanks justiceseeker93 and cripplecreek.
MN has no voter ID and same-day registration. Anyone can vote if somebody ‘vouches’ for them. Election oversite will be by the Soros SOS project enlistee Mark Ritchie (the former head of ACORN in MN). This is the same SOS that oversaw the endless recounts until Al Franken won.
Yes, but only after that phony, fraudulent multiple recount conducted under the auspices of the 'Rat Secretary of State. But Coleman was the incumbent; he had been elected to the US Senate six years before that.
And yes, there was at least one other GOP US Senator in the 1980s: Rudy Boschwitz.
I understand that occasionally they go for ‘Pub candidates at the state level. I’m just saying that the recent electoral history of MN does not indicate a lot of support for ‘Pub presidential candidates, and that makes a win by R&R a long shot. That does not mean that they shouldn’t try or that people inclined to vote for them should not do so, because in politics those are the only things we can do.
Thanks for the ping and for sharing your insights, dear justiceseeker93!
1. Seniors. George was governor from 63-69. People in their 50's or older remember George. People born in 1945 and earlier had the chance to vote for George. That's important, because there's a large senior population here, and seniors here are more democrat than elsewhere because of unions.
2. Oakland County. That's Mitt's old stomping ground. The family is known there.
Will that make a difference? Maybe.
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