Posted on 10/15/2014 2:40:31 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
11 Alive has released the results of a new SurveyUSA poll that for the first time in their series of polls shows Michelle Nunn in the lead for the Georgia Senate race against David Perdue. The poll shows Democrat Michelle Nunn with 48%, Republican David Perdue with 45%, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford with 3%. 4% of voters remain undecided. While the margin of error is 4.2%, meaning that the two could conceivably be tied, that’s likely no consolation.
Looking at the poll’s crosstabs, the electorate is assumed to be 61% white, 27% black, 7% Hispanic and 5% Asian. That potentially underestimates the black vote, which is overwhelmingly in favor of Nunn, by about two percent. And, if the poll is correct in reflecting the ultimate vote, a 50/50 split among undecideds could bring Nunn a win without a runoff.
The pollsters note how Perdue is losing support from groups previously on his side:
Week-on-week, Nunn has gained ground among men, where she now trails by 3. (Five weeks ago, she trailed among men by 19.) Among Independents, Nunn has closed to within 6 of Perdue (she had trailed by 28 points among Independents in August). In greater Atlanta, Nunn had led by as few as 10 points, but today leads by 22.
(Excerpt) Read more at peachpundit.com ...
It does seem simple, doesn’t it?
Throw the poll out!
But he like the rest of his family stinks to high heaven...
It does to me. Identify the target, take aim, fire. Repeat as necessary.
I don’t doubt that - but this election is about Reid and Obama, period. The relative power and momentum of those two clowns will be the over arching result of this election...
I stopped by my local early voting location today. Irt was quite crowded, and I doubt any of the folks I saw were voting Nunn
But I have to say I wait with bated breath to see what Republicans will actually do when they get power again.
I think they will play kissy face with the Democrats. That's my guess.
Again, you may be right. A lot depends on how many GOP Senate seats and house seats there are - what the popular raw vote percentages are - and which REpublicans won and lost.
At any rate, it’s not as bad as a Harry Reid Senate and Obama crowing about keeping the senate.
A lot depends on how many GOP Senate seats and house seats there are - what the popular raw vote percentages are - and which REpublicans won and lost.
I don’t think the final tally matters at all. McConnell & Boehner intend to tip toe to 2016 after the mid terms. They won’t be directly engaging obama in a substantive way. We’ve seen this beltway movie before. It has a bad ending.
Perdue is not a perfect candidate, but we need to win this one if we can. I’ll be busy in another area, but I hope those on FR in Georgia will make a huge effort to get out the vote on Election Day. It matters.
Who owns this operation and who is paying for these polls ?
Weren't they peddling Grimes is looking good and the Rats have just pulled the plug on her funds.
I’m not shocked. Perdue is a lackluster candidate and he has run a lackluster campaign. I have been worried all along about him winning. I said when Perdue won the primary that he would end up being Saxby Chamliss’s third term. If we had nominated Paul Broun, or Karen Handel they would be leading at this point. Even Kingston would have gone negative on Nunn and probably be leading.
McConnell and Boehner are problems - but sometimes the beltway psyche changes after an election. At any rate, I hope the GOP takes the Senate and wins some House seats - that’s better than the Dems holding the Senate regardless. May not be much better, but it is better.
And there’s always Ted Cruz, Louie Gohmert, Trey Gowdy...etc.
“Wisconsin governor race trending away from us also.”
Oh, bullsh*t.
The leftist commie scum at Marquette publish these fake polls right before an election all the time:
Here’s the headline for the 2012 recall election:
Walker, Barrett in dead heat in recall showdown, poll says
http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/walker-barrett-in-deadheat-in-recall-showdown-poll-says-8l58n4s-149857945.html
Walker won the recall election over Barrett 54% to 46%.
You uninformed hand-wringers need to take a chill-pill.
“Wisconsin governor race trending away from us also. We are being outspent and outworked.”
Once again the liberal media, along with the liberal pollsters, both on the State and Federal level, try to make it a horse race by tightening up the polls right before an election. All of a sudden most polls become within 1 or 2 points between the candidates, without fail. It is happening again. The Libs once again want to discourage voter turnout for the Pubs and increase it for the Dems. Don’t fall for their crap. Just make sure you get out and vote Pub on election day and all will be well.
50% of the vote is required or a January run off.
IS Ga a ‘runoff type state’, if no majority?
Well if Perdue bragged about outsourcing jobs, he deserves to have his potential job outsourced to Nunn.
That is correct, I’d say spawn of Nunn has a zero percent chance to top 50%, so at worse it will be a runoff that will be hard for her to win.
I don’t like Perdue and opposed him in the primary, but no one has any right to complain about jobs being outsourced, not with the hostile businesses environment in this country. I guess you could me an anti-populist.
Fixed it.
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