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Ebola Predictions: Scientists See Cases In Every Major U.S. City Possible By Year’s End
The Inquisitr News / The Associated Press ^ | November 1, 2014

Posted on 11/01/2014 9:42:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: Cvengr
No one expects the R0 in the United States to be anything like that.
21 posted on 11/01/2014 10:41:46 PM PDT by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc OÂ’Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
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To: steve86
Going to take more than 130 cases to do that.

But 130 cases is more than enough to wipe out the economy.

22 posted on 11/01/2014 10:45:22 PM PDT by Mr. Jeeves (Heteropatriarchal Capitalist)
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To: Mr. Jeeves
But 130 cases is more than enough to wipe out the economy.

You may be on to something. The fear factor. So far, a few nurses became ill. What happens when dozens, then hundreds of nurses and doctors become ill? Hospital costs are very high as it is, and would skyrocket under these conditions. The health industry would fall into chaos, and take the economy down with it.

23 posted on 11/01/2014 11:09:13 PM PDT by roadcat
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The recent cases, such as Nina Pham, recovered because they received a blood transfusion from a cured patient. I would imagine this blood supply is extremely limited.


24 posted on 11/01/2014 11:14:17 PM PDT by joshua c (Please dont feed the liberals)
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To: Cvengr

If you look at the curve....it’s a very soft curve. I was watching some news segment five days ago and they noted that Nigeria has dropped their curve drastically, and all cases there might be ended shortly. They noted that they went to intense quarantine, used better medical procedures, and the public weren’t hand-washing bodies after death (like they did in west Africa).

Rather than hype the public on some wonder-drug....the test procedure is what needs to have emphasis. If you had a simple five-minute test with results...it’d really help to cut down problems.

I should add...I expect some Islamic nuts to weaponize it by spring of 2015. That will be the next wave to make people frustrated and hostile.


25 posted on 11/01/2014 11:16:48 PM PDT by pepsionice
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To: Cvengr

I was only kidding of course.


26 posted on 11/01/2014 11:29:15 PM PDT by ansel12
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To: 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; EBH; Dog Gone; ...
Ping...

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

27 posted on 11/01/2014 11:36:06 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: Ozymandias Ghost
...according to Stanford University the 1918 Pandemic of Spanish Influenza was only 2.5% lethal.

Regarding the 2.5% lethality: This quote from Wikipedia posits a much higher number. "The global mortality rate from the 1918/1919 pandemic is not known, but an estimated 10% to 20% of those who were infected died. With about a third of the world population infected, this case-fatality ratio means 3% to 6% of the entire global population died.[30] Influenza may have killed as many as 25 million people in its first 25 weeks. Older estimates say it killed 40–50 million people,[4] while current estimates say 50–100 million people worldwide were killed.[31]"

When this current Ebola outbreak runs its course, the actual number of fatalities will probably be unknown, as well.

28 posted on 11/02/2014 12:28:16 AM PDT by ChicagahAl (Don't blame me. I voted for Sarah.)
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To: roadcat

It is called the nurse killer in West Africa


29 posted on 11/02/2014 12:32:09 AM PDT by joshua c (Please dont feed the liberals)
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To: joshua c

I read an article by a photographer in Liberia. After his 21 days he published his essay with photos. Some of them were of a new Ebola ward that was set up in one of the slums. Of the 23 staff that started it, 21 were dead now.


30 posted on 11/02/2014 12:36:44 AM PDT by 21twelve (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2185147/posts 2013 is 1933 REBORN)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

According to all of the Ebola “experts” here on FR, there must be dozens already infected here in the U.S., or more likely hundreds, so it’s already a foregone conclusion that we, along with the rest of the world, are DOOMED!


31 posted on 11/02/2014 1:03:16 AM PDT by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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Comment #32 Removed by Moderator

To: melsec
I will surprised if it doesn’t end up worse

Yeah. So far ( excluding patient zero ), those infected have been citizens and professionals. When it starts coming across the border with illegals and you have some that don't speak the language and are afraid to go into a hospital, you may have them dying in an ally somewhere in LA and the body not discovered for a few days. That is when it will start to spread. ( Of course all of the Hollywood liberals who are for open borders will be the first out of town on their private jets if that happens )

33 posted on 11/02/2014 3:14:50 AM PST by TheCipher (Suppose you were an idiot and suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself. Mark Twain)
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To: roadcat
"What happens when dozens, then hundreds of nurses and doctors become ill?"

I don't know, but this is what happened after one (1) doctor contracted Ebola.

"An extraordinary number of Bellevue Hospital staffers called in sick on Friday rather than treat the city's first Ebola patient — and those who ..."

I doubt that the hospitals in most US cities could handle more than one or two Ebola cases at the same time.

34 posted on 11/02/2014 3:26:40 AM PST by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The man in charge who hates this country and feels that ebola is not “fairly” distributed will take act after Nov 4 to redistribute ebola more “fairly”.


35 posted on 11/02/2014 3:43:18 AM PST by I want the USA back (Media: completely irresponsible. Complicit in the destruction of this country.)
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To: steve86
"No one expects the R0 in the United States to be anything like that."

The model is nonsense, AND influenza synchronously
will make R0 quite high.
Since the time of infectivity is >21 days and no one care,
Obola's bioWMD-against-America plans are still ongoing.

36 posted on 11/02/2014 4:04:11 AM PST by Diogenesis (The EXEMPT Congress is complicit in the absence of impeachment)
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To: steve86

But, those 130 cases could each shut down an ER for a long time and close many businesses just like 9/11 shut down the airline business.


37 posted on 11/02/2014 4:32:27 AM PST by Cowgirl of Justice
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To: Cvengr
That’s what they said in Sierra Leone back in late May when they had their first case from Guinea. 5 months later they are over 5,000 cases reported with some villages having 39 dead out of 40 inhabitants.

When we have isolated villages where everyone touches the dying, wash bodies, keep authorities away from paranoia, etc then that will happen here too. But in the meantime we can expect local health authorities to aggressively isolate the sick so that won't happen.

With very large numbers of false positives in flu season some people will be tossed into an ebola tent without ebola and catch ebola there. Likewise some people with ebola will escape the screening then die on the street and infect first responders and HCWs. But our culture (so far) does not support the family member to family member spread nor isolated village spread that is found in West Africa. Duncan is one example, and his case will probably be typical, no family infected but HCWs put at increasing risk.

We need not even find out how typical if we just stopped the 150 Duncans a day from coming in. The handful of infected health care workers will be much more manageable than bringing in large numbers of infected and ignorant people.

38 posted on 11/02/2014 4:38:38 AM PST by palmer (Thank you for your patience.)
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To: roadcat
The health industry would fall into chaos, and take the economy down with it.

Obola does not want to waste this opportunity to bankrupt the health care industry. His goal all along is federalization, and this will get there faster.

39 posted on 11/02/2014 4:40:23 AM PST by palmer (Thank you for your patience.)
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To: TheCipher
you may have them dying in an ally somewhere in LA and the body not discovered for a few days. That is when it will start to spread.

There will be some of those. The authorities will know about Ebola at that point, and so will most of the population so it won't spread much. There will be infections among scavengers looking for a wallet on the body, and maybe a good samaritan or a first responder. The chances of it spreading further than that are kind of slim.

40 posted on 11/02/2014 4:45:05 AM PST by palmer (Thank you for your patience.)
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