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Crazy Poll Numbers: Is Jeb Bush Now A Second Tier Candidate?
theiowarepublican.com ^ | Craig Robinson

Posted on 08/13/2015 3:27:29 AM PDT by cotton1706

In the past two weeks, there has been a flurry of Republican presidential polls. We were inundated with national polls before the first presidential debate. Now every couple hours it seems like new national or state specific numbers come out, and the results of which are used to explain how candidates faired in the debates.

The over-abundance of polls wouldn’t be so bad if their results were somewhat consistent. Donald Trump has been a consistent frontrunner in every Iowa and national poll that has been released since the debate, but that’s where most of the similarities end. Is Jeb Bush really a second tier candidate in Iowa like the polls indicate? Does the $100 million man really now trail Carly Fiorina? Has Dr. Ben Carson surpassed Scott Walker in Iowa for the number two spot?

Frankly, I don’t know what to believe. Some people question the Trump phenomenon, but I’ve spent more time talking about Trump in the past two weeks than any other candidate, and I’m not talking about conversations with political reporters, I’m talking about the average people I encounter in my travels around the state. I can’t tell you how many times people come up to be and say, “so what’s your opinion about Trump.

I typically turn the question around on them to get them talking. Most of the people I encountered admit that they are intrigued by Trump. Some think he could win the nomination if he just watched his mouth a little bit. Others are frustrated that he’s not taking the race more seriously. I’ve also been surprised that so many people have mentioned the line of questioning by Fox News in last week’s debate.

(Excerpt) Read more at theiowarepublican.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; jeb; littlejebbie
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To: cotton1706

Go home Jeb.


21 posted on 08/13/2015 4:50:56 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: outofsalt

I voted for Palin in 2008 AND 2012. Last RINO I ever voted for was G.W. Bush, mistakenly thinking that it made a difference.


22 posted on 08/13/2015 4:56:59 AM PDT by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners. And to the NSA trolls, FU)
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To: cotton1706

The top tier for republicans is Cruz and Walker.

The second tier of republicans includes Carly, Carson, and a few other good candidates of varying degrees of conservatism.

Jeb has dropped to second tier, but not as a republican. That is in the eyes of his numerous democrat supporters. He’s just another pro-Amnesty big government liberal, one who is just as unacceptable to patriotic Americans as Hillary. No, thank you.


23 posted on 08/13/2015 5:04:38 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: DaveA37

He was a governor and has a large war chest.


24 posted on 08/13/2015 5:08:31 AM PDT by NathanR
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To: sf4dubya

Craig Robinson is very much an Iowa insider. Walker, as well as Cruz and, surprisingly, Carson, have good organized supporters that will do well in the caucuses.

It’s long been evident Bush was mostly going to ignore Iowa.

Polls in Iowa don’t matter as much, except that Trump supporters, a bit like Santorum supporters last time, can show up, cast a straw vote and then leave without really taking part in party business such as getting on the path to becoming national convention delegates.

The author’s final point is that the hyped debate just passed probably won’t matter in the long run. Unless a candidate really stumbles, like Perry last time, or Hillary in 2008, Iowa caucuses won’t really matter much either.


25 posted on 08/13/2015 5:10:43 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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Comment #26 Removed by Moderator

To: cotton1706

Jen always was a second tier candidate..th equestrianism will he be treated like one?


27 posted on 08/13/2015 5:23:12 AM PDT by Ouderkirk (To the left, everything must evidence that this or that strand of leftist theory is true)
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To: cotton1706

Jen always was a second tier candidate..the question is will he be treated like one?


28 posted on 08/13/2015 5:24:16 AM PDT by Ouderkirk (To the left, everything must evidence that this or that strand of leftist theory is true)
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To: sf4dubya

Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada are the only places that vote before not so Super Tuesday, and only Iowa and Nevada are caucuses.


29 posted on 08/13/2015 5:25:22 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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Comment #30 Removed by Moderator

To: cotton1706

31 posted on 08/13/2015 5:51:58 AM PDT by JPG (What's the difference between the Rats and the GOPe? Nothing.)
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To: cotton1706

All Bush has to do to “win” the nomination is still have a % above zero at the end of the process, and maybe he doesn’t have to have that much. All he really needs is the determination of the RNC and associated Democrats that he will be the Nominee. Election is not a consideration. He is not running for Election and the RNC will have failed if a Democrat is not elected.


32 posted on 08/13/2015 6:06:40 AM PDT by arthurus (It's true.)
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To: cotton1706

He always has been a second tier candidate except to the GOPe.


33 posted on 08/13/2015 6:16:51 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: cotton1706

Bush could speak Spanish the rest of the campaign and constantly use the women’s bathroom everywhere he goes because the nomination is a lock.

Of course, “they” will tell us we have to vote for Jeb or else Hillary, who was trounced a couple elections ago, by a relatively unknown Jr Senator, with little, or no, recond of ever accomplishing anything, will win!


34 posted on 08/13/2015 6:18:53 AM PDT by Leep (Vote Bush! Why? Because we say so!)
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To: cotton1706

As an “act of love”, voters should send jebbie to mexico.


35 posted on 08/13/2015 6:24:47 AM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: cotton1706

He’s not second tier, he’s about tenth tier ( and falling).


36 posted on 08/13/2015 6:38:38 AM PDT by anoldafvet (Why is it when Hillary "smiles" , I am reminded of a grinning shark?)
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To: Howie66

You and me both. Never again!


37 posted on 08/13/2015 6:38:49 AM PDT by pgkdan (But as for me and my house, we will serve the Lord.)
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To: cotton1706

I can’t imagine anyone but a democrat voting for him.


38 posted on 08/13/2015 6:40:46 AM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: sf4dubya
There are a bunch of caucuses outside of Iowa that go before Super Tuesday.

Really? Where?

39 posted on 08/13/2015 6:41:04 AM PDT by pgkdan (But as for me and my house, we will serve the Lord.)
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To: cotton1706

Jebbie believes that all he has to do is “show up”, and he is the de facto nominee.


40 posted on 08/13/2015 6:54:20 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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