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Donald Trump Actually Losing To Hillary Clinton In Latest Poll It's Never Quite That Easy [51%-38%]
LA Times ^ | March 10, 2016 | LISA MASCARO

Posted on 03/10/2016 10:44:59 PM PST by Steelfish

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To: Beernoser
Her defense is just going to be showing ad after ad with Trump praising her. What’s he supposed to say? Well I wasn’t telling the truth then but I am now?

He'll say he was buttering her up because she was the senator from New York, same thing he's said already. And he'll say it for free as every cable station puts him on for free, while the old witch will have to pay to show it and it won't gain much traction anyway.

41 posted on 03/10/2016 11:41:30 PM PST by MaxFlint
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To: Steelfish
Does anyone remember the polls right before the Reagan/Carter election that showed Carter winning by 5 to 11 points?


42 posted on 03/10/2016 11:42:26 PM PST by gunsequalfreedom
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To: MaxFlint

I am willing to bet some nights Hillary wakes up with cold sweat, thinking about withering Trump attacks after the conventions.


43 posted on 03/10/2016 11:46:16 PM PST by entropy12 (When you vote, you are actually voting for the rich donors!)
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To: entropy12

44 posted on 03/10/2016 11:47:05 PM PST by WVKayaker (What separates the winners from the losers is how a person reacts to each new twist of fate -D.Trump)
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To: dp0622

MOST polls are NOT crooked. Some certainly are push-pull type. But observe the results without bias. Even polls taken a few days before primary have been off by as many as half a dozen points.

The Trump Vs. Hillary election is 8 long months away. Best to ignore those polls even if they show Trump winning. 8 months is eternity in politics.


45 posted on 03/10/2016 11:50:55 PM PST by entropy12 (When you vote, you are actually voting for the rich donors!)
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To: entropy12

Did you reply to the correct person?

My post had nothing to do with you replied with.


46 posted on 03/10/2016 11:52:44 PM PST by DB
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To: WVKayaker

Yes, Trump is killing it in all polls tonight. Did anyone forecast these lop sided wins?


47 posted on 03/10/2016 11:53:00 PM PST by entropy12 (When you vote, you are actually voting for the rich donors!)
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To: dp0622
THIS POLL IS HOLRSESHIT!

There is NO WAY that Hillary, if she even is still not wearing an orange jumpsuit in November, beats Trump...even with ALL of the usual voter fraud.

48 posted on 03/10/2016 11:53:55 PM PST by nopardons
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To: WVKayaker

But his negatives, his NEGATIVES!!!!!!!

“:^)

Besides. He’s plateaued, and gravity, and...


49 posted on 03/10/2016 11:54:04 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: DB

Sorry, I did not backtrack enough to learn the context.
Have a great night.


50 posted on 03/10/2016 11:54:17 PM PST by entropy12 (When you vote, you are actually voting for the rich donors!)
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To: Steelfish
This is a forecast that will give you pause because of the number of times it's been CORRECT since 1912.

The ONLY time this forecast, has been incorrect when applied, was ONCE, which was in 1960.

This is a PROFOUND PREDICTION

Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
The Statesman  | February 23, 2016 | Christopher Cameron

A professor of political science at Stony Brook University has forecasted that Donald Trump has a minimum 97 percent chance of winning the general election as the Republican nominee.

Professor Helmut Norpoth's forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association.

Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate's performance in their party's primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election.

Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of defeating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth's formula.

"The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president," Norpoth said, "if he's a nominee of the [Republican] party."

Norpoth's primary model works for every presidential election since 1912, with the notable exception of the 1960 election. These results give the model an accuracy of 96.1 percent.

Complete story source:

https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/

51 posted on 03/10/2016 11:54:36 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: Steelfish

The only polls they should do is state by state.


52 posted on 03/10/2016 11:55:12 PM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: entropy12

I need to buy a “what”...


53 posted on 03/10/2016 11:56:34 PM PST by DB
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To: RginTN
Now you're just being patently ridiculous!

Cruz is the VERY EASY loser V Hillary and he's just the latest replacement for the designated GOP loser...little jebbie.

54 posted on 03/10/2016 11:57:45 PM PST by nopardons
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To: RginTN

That would be ok if dens liked Hillary but they don’t.


55 posted on 03/10/2016 11:57:58 PM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: nopardons
Trump, unlike ALL of the others running against him, will take N.Y. state,

I guess I'm not quite that optimistic. He should win PA, OH, and FL going away, and at least be competitive in MI and MN (which the GOP hasn't managed in decades).

Plenty good enough for me!
56 posted on 03/11/2016 12:05:44 AM PST by Eisenhower Republican (Queeg is gone. Keefer's next.)
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To: entropy12
I am willing to bet some nights Hillary wakes up with cold sweat, thinking about withering Trump attacks after the conventions.

I'm sure of it. If there's even a hint that she'll be indicted Hillary might withdraw before the convention, and be happy to escape the brutal ownage Trump had in store.

57 posted on 03/11/2016 12:06:13 AM PST by MaxFlint
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To: entropy12

You left out Neil Bush’s PAC.


58 posted on 03/11/2016 12:07:08 AM PST by WVNan
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To: Steelfish

If every Poll showed Trump losing by 99.999%, I would still be in favor of Trump.

See you in November.


59 posted on 03/11/2016 12:09:19 AM PST by Radix (Natural Born Citizens have Citizen parents.)
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To: MaxFlint

I don’t think Trump will do well with women.

A twice divorced billionaire with a trophy wife 25 years younger than him who campaigns by bragging and insulting. Yup, sounds like a candidate just made to garner women voters.


60 posted on 03/11/2016 12:11:32 AM PST by Beernoser
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