Posted on 03/16/2016 12:39:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has secured more than half of the delegates needed to win the nomination, but he will need to pick up his pace to clinch 1,237 delegates and avoid a contested convention.
Trump’s strong performance in the Tuesday night primaries will make it tough for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) to catch him. He has secured 621 delegates, according to The Associated Press's projections as of 8:00 a.m. Wednesday, compared to 396 for Cruz and 138 for Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
Those three men are now the only active GOP candidates. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) suspended his campaign on Tuesday after losing Florida. He has 167 delegates.
About 60 percent of the 2,472 GOP delegates have been awarded, and Trump has won about 47 percent of them.
If he continues to win at that same clip, he’d fall more than 100 delegates short of 1,237, which would set up a contested convention.
That's the result Kasich is hoping for, since the Ohio governor has no chance of getting to 1,237 himself and little realistic chance of overtaking Trump.
Cruz believes he can still take the delegate lead from Trump, but he would have a better chance with Kasich out of the race and only two men to divide up the rest of the delegates.
Even that road would be tough for Cruz, however, who would need a win in Arizona's winner-take-all primary next week as well as a victory in Wisconsin's April 5 contest.
For Trump to get to 1,237, he needs to win more than about 60 percent of the remaining delegates.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
It was IL that gave Trump 51 delegates, not MO
According to Wikipedia, California has a “modified open primary”, but not for the presidential contest. However, each congressional district sends the same number of delegates. Nancy Pelosi’s district and Kevin McCarthy’s district send the same number of delegates.
That’s a Pollyanna way of looking at it. A realistic way of looking at it says that makes the tiny handful of GOP voters in Nancy Pelosi’s district worth the same as the hundreds of thousands in Duncan Hunter’s district.
Is the California primary a closed one though? By that time, Bernie will most likely be eliminated and the democrats can cross over to vote against Trump.
It seems that happened last night in Ohio. Kasich actually got more votes than Trump from people who “feel betrayed by the GOP”.
Since Kasich is the poster child of the GOPe, that’s pretty clear evidence the Democrats were crossing over.
Bingo. If the rats can throw the GOP convention into chaos they will do it.
How would a brokered convention help Cruz? He won’t be first choice
“since Trump didn’t hit the magic number, we are going to nominate someone who got 0 delegates...”
Splendid link to that NYT article! Bravo!!
But neither will Trump... Sorry, I just don't trust Trump, never have. And if it winds up being Hillary vs. Trump, there is no "lesser of 2 evils" to choose, IMO.
How would a brokered convention help Cruz? He won’t be first choice
Cruz would likely be the sacrificial candidate if he remains in 2nd place
It seems clear that the GOPe isn't interested in winning this election.
I looked at the delegate count over at RCP and only 30 of Missouri delegates have been awarded. At least that’s the way I read it.
“...where Trump only has to sin by 1 vote.”
Faux, meet pas.
Hard to believe Mo HAS 51 delegates.
“Trump only has to sin by 1 vote”
I think with the exception of a wandering eye for women Trump is pretty much a saint.
At 69 I don’t see him straying from Melania.
I agree to disagree
Fair enough. And thank you for disagreeing in a civil manner. That is becoming a lost skill around here, and I can be just as guilty as the next guy.
Like your thinking
Boo-hoo. If Trump gets to 1000 with the last primary, he’ll make deals for the rest.
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