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Trump Leads in Arizona, but if There’s an Upset . . . [Trump was right!]
NRO ^ | March 22, 2016 | John Fund

Posted on 03/22/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts

Donald Trump was the clear favorite in today’s winner-take-all Arizona primary, even before the Brussels terrorist attacks. The immigration issue and the flood of early voters favors him, as does the fact that some of those early voters will have cast ballots for Marco Rubio before he dropped out last Tuesday night. If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.

But polls have been tricky and often erratic this year (think Michigan and the surprise win of Bernie Sanders). For example, the latest poll showing a 14 point Trump lead appears to oversample Phoenix voters (59 percent of state’s population vs. 73 percent of those polled). Trump outperfoms his statewide average in the Phoenix area. The Washington Post reports that “Cruz could definitely score an upset in Arizona.” If that happens or Cruz comes very close here will be the relevant factors, according to the Post.

Cruz has a superior ground game. Neutral observers say his team is a lot more organized than Trump. His state director elected many Republican members of the legislature.

It’s a closed primary, meaning only Republicans can vote. Trump has struggled in closed primaries.

Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.

Cruz is still perceived as strong on border security.


(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: alieninvasion; aliens; amnesty; arizona; az2016; bombtheshitoutofthem; brussels; buildthewall; cruz; cultureclash; culturewar; deportthemall; elections; endanchorbabies; endsanctuarycities; enforcethelaw; immigration; isis; islam; jihad; jobs; kasich; lyinted; moratorium; muslim; musliminvasion; nationalsecurity; polls; primaries; primary; quidprotrump; reagancoalition; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sidebarspam; taxes; tdseveningshift; terror; terrorism; trade; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; unipartyops
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To: 94Revolution

Quote:

“Logic is a foreign country to the average trump fan.”

Watch out for that snake......


81 posted on 03/22/2016 1:11:09 PM PDT by TTFlyer
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To: beandog

A vote for the Donald is a vote for a Bill Clinton 3rd term.
==
I could agree, but then we’d both be wrong.


82 posted on 03/22/2016 1:13:02 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: pocat
 photo af0049fc-3298-4e27-99d5-91830129e5ad_zpsto86hwno.jpg
83 posted on 03/22/2016 1:13:15 PM PDT by timestax (American Media = Domestic Enemy)
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To: mkjessup
I bet that he doesn't even run for reelection!

He only went into the Senate as a platform for his Presidential run!

Just like Rubio and Obama did.

84 posted on 03/22/2016 1:13:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GodGunsGuts
Trump can’t even win in conservative Utah!

The fix is in by the Mormon Mafia so OH SO "conservative" Mittens.

85 posted on 03/22/2016 1:13:57 PM PDT by montag813
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To: mkjessup

86 posted on 03/22/2016 1:15:07 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

NRO SUCKS!!


87 posted on 03/22/2016 1:15:16 PM PDT by Mamzelle
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To: mkjessup

He got elected as a Tea Party conservative and one of the first votes he took was to give Obama fast track!


88 posted on 03/22/2016 1:15:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: ScottinVA

“And Trump can’t win a national election.”

There is no “national election”, the general election is counted state by state.


89 posted on 03/22/2016 1:18:47 PM PDT by JPJones
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To: 94Revolution
OK... got some survey data to back that up?

Utah is to Republicans what DC is to Democrats. Why else do you think a state with 4 CDs has 40 delegates? A whole lot of Republicans win there. They got just about every bonus available. The state is Republican as it gets. There is NO way it goes for ethically-challenged Hillary Clinton, no matter who the Republicans nominate.

90 posted on 03/22/2016 1:19:16 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: mkjessup

“There are a lot o’ pissed off Texans that didn’t appreciate being lied to in 2012 “

He’s done in Texas.


91 posted on 03/22/2016 1:21:05 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: All

Ground game. Do people really decide to vote for someone because a stranger calls or knocks on their door? If that’s the case, no wonder this country is in trouble.


92 posted on 03/22/2016 1:21:08 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican (Cruz voters: Wake up! Trump is our only chance of stopping the gopE. If not now, never!)
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To: 94Revolution
I know I’ll laugh, but I’ll still be mindful of what negotiations with other world leaders will be like.

We're a laughing stock right now, and Hitlery is part of bringing that about. When the foreign leaders see that Trump is serious, I think they'll come around.

93 posted on 03/22/2016 1:21:11 PM PDT by dware (Free Survival & Prepper Ebooks Daily: http://www.survivetherockies.com)
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To: usafa92

Well of course you would think that people who support Cruz are paid operatives. Just because you get a stipend for attacking Cruz supporters doesn’t mean that Cruz supporters get paid for posting rational thoughts.


94 posted on 03/22/2016 1:21:18 PM PDT by 94Revolution (Get it right this time)
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To: GodGunsGuts

Poll: Trump Would Lose UTAH to Hillary

http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/2016/03/20/poll-trump-lose-utah-hillary/
==
More quoting of fantasy match up polls, holding on to any hope for a failed candidate who’s only chance to get anywhere near the White house in this election, or any other is riding the Trump Train as VP.


95 posted on 03/22/2016 1:22:52 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: GodGunsGuts

You mindless moron, you can’t even post a graphic that is relevant, my post was directed at your whining about ‘someone’ changing the title of yet another Cruz-spam thread, and you come up with some childish cartoon attacking Trump.

You either need to up your meds, or get ON some.


96 posted on 03/22/2016 1:23:00 PM PDT by mkjessup (A vote for CRUZ is a vote for ROMNEY, BUSH, GRAHAM, McCAIN & GOPe. Are you CruzBots effin' KWAZY?!?)
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To: ScottinVA
got some survey data to back that up?

Nope. And neither do you. And before you go spouting polls, keep in mind that, in 1980, Reagan was 20 some points behind carter at this point in the race? And in 2004, Dubya was 12 points behind Kerry. General election polls, at this point, are unreliable at best, and downright ignorant to think about at worse.

97 posted on 03/22/2016 1:23:39 PM PDT by dware (Free Survival & Prepper Ebooks Daily: http://www.survivetherockies.com)
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To: Defiant

Cruz also can’t win the nomination, and the GOPe isn’t going to give it to him. So, all he is doing is helping the GOPe get rid of Trump, and in so doing, elect HIllary. He has joined with the enemy of conservatives.
==
Pretty much sums it up, but with the addition of ending any chance he’ll ever have of reaching the White House.


98 posted on 03/22/2016 1:24:36 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: dware

yes but cruz is not regean....... he is merely cruz


99 posted on 03/22/2016 1:24:49 PM PDT by Thibodeaux (leading from behind is following)
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To: cincinnati65

Or Virginia for that matter.
==
Yeah I know, but can’t kick a Cruzer when he’s down, need them for the general against Hillary.


100 posted on 03/22/2016 1:26:32 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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