Posted on 04/03/2016 7:28:48 AM PDT by lonestar67
This table will track how each of the remaining prospective Republican nominees is faring against Hillary Clinton based on 2016 polls. Click on the match-up to view the corresponding 2016 electoral map. From there, you can link to all the 2016 polls or view an interactive version of each map that allocates the unpolled states based on results from the 2012 election. Those projections are also shown in the table below, in the Polled + 2012 column and ordered Clinton-Republican-Toss Up.
(Excerpt) Read more at 270towin.com ...
Don’t see it.
Am I missing something here? Is it November 8, 2016 already? Has everyone voted? Is there even an officially nominated candidate for either side?
I don’t see Cruz winning against Hilary according to this,if I’m reading it right.
|
Hillary Clinton vs. |
Clinton | GOP | Toss Up | Unpolled | Polled + 2012 |
| Ted Cruz | 197 | 108 | 123 | 110 | 255-160-123 |
| John Kasich New! | 90 | 73 | 54 | 321 | 245-239-54 |
| Donald Trump | 180 | 37 | 163 | 158 | 260-115-163 |
As of March 28, 2016
I'd say, keep your powder dry for when the GOPe tries to subvert the will of the people during the convention.
I think if we had an election today between Clinton - Trump - Cruz it would be almost dead even between the 3 of them.
So, 2016 is a toss-up regardless of whether which nominees show up in November.
The Screech is just a tad closer.
==
Not buying it.
What states would Cruz win that Romney didn’t?
What states would Kasich win when, so far, he has only won Ohio?
Which states would Trump win? That is the great unknown. Many think he would take as few as McCain or as many as Reagan, because he doesn’t fit the typical Dem v GOP mold.
Were those who changes registration doing so only to vote for Trump in the primaries, but intent to return to the fold in November? Or are they intending to vote for Trump in November as well?
Funny considering he’s losing the primary.
Once again, “the power of suggestion” comes into play, an old Clinton trick to say the least. Throw something against the wall enough times and eventually something will stick.
Yeah maybe. We will see.
None of this matters at this point. It is pure mental masterbation
Little early to be calling races, isn’t it? Kind of like calling a football game based on the score after only 5 minutes of play?
In the early years of WWII, the Axis countries were winning. Anyone predicting then would have said for sure the Allies would lose the war.
In early 1980, Reagan trailed Carter in every poll. Anyone predicting then would have said for sure that Carter would be re-elected easily.
“In politics, a week is an eternity” (Edward Heath). And we still have MANY weeks to go before the final vote, many weeks for Hillary to be attacked and brought down in the polls.
Current polls mean nothing. This fight has barely begun.
It’s honestly outrageous to pretend Cruz is a worse candidate than Romney.
It really is.
Your banking on some false moderation myth that should now be thoroughly debunked but you continue to invoke it.
I guess because you’re a zealot for trump.
If the nation continues to seek the punishment of democrats as it did in 2010 and 2014 then Cruz could win any state that Romney lost.
If Hillary is less popular than Obama Cruz could win any state Romney lost.
It really is that simple.
Stop bashing Cruz. I think trump is anti conservative but if you want to argue for trump electorally then explain it.
I agree with your data analysis.
Correct
‘could’
or
could not
are hardly definitive responses.
==
Take the blinders off and you will see that Cruz is about as unpopular as Romney was in 2012. What is going to endear him to those who refused to vote for Romney? Even his ‘conservatism’ has been called into question. And his connections with the Bush family/establishment are too many to ignore. He cannot run as an outsider any more than Hillary can.
==
Regarding your: ‘stop bashing Cruz’
Re-read my post. I did not bash Cruz. I only asked which states would he win that Romney didn’t.
But I also asked the same question of Kasich.
As for Trump, I consider him a wild card that doesn’t fit the preconceived political mold because he is drawing voters from all levels.
I did not say Cruz was a worse candidate than Romney.
Instead of being so defensive at my questions in the previous post, why not try to answer some them?
As for your claim that I am a zealot for Trump — I only stated that he was drawing primary voters from factions previously unknown to staunch Republicans. I just posed the question as to whether such draws would continue in the general election or whether those voters would return to Hillary in the fall.
Cruz does not pick up any states Romney lost.
Fact.
They actually have not held the election yet.
Good news.
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