Posted on 06/06/2016 11:24:25 AM PDT by IBD editorial writer
Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump narrowed slightly in the latest IBD/TIPP Poll, which finds her ahead of Trump by 45% to 40%. Last month, Clinton was head ahead 47% to 40%. But the poll finds widespread dissatisfaction with the two presumptive nominees.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
I’m not the OP.
They aren’t. It’s where the MSM is hiding the Trump votes that put him outside of MOE of Hillary. Libertarians won’t get 1% of the total vote, but it allows the pollsters to hide vote in plain sight to make it more horse race, in order to sell more polls.
If she doesn’t break 50%, she don’t win.
It is the Democrats who are going to be fractured in Nov. not the GOP.
“This is where Trump is losing...he needs for the Republicans to consolidate around him.”
Too many open border types in the GOPe.
This poll, like most of them, is merely a propaganda effort.
Let’s see ALL the internals including every question.
I think that this is the year of the libertarian party.
They are the more natural fallback position for democrats if Hillary’s corruption starts to come home against her.
The Libertarian party has a once-in-a-lifetime chance. If they can’t even get 15% in a contest where the only other choices are giant douche or turd sandwich, they should just close up shop and shut down.
I’m not going near this potential debate on FR. I’m going someplace where it’s safe. Like Aleppo, Syria.
USUALLY the Libertarian gets much less than 1%, in 1980 their nominee, Ed Clark, running as a “low-tax liberal” got 1.06%, their all time high. Johnson’s 0.99% last time is in second place. Third place is Harry Browne’s 0.5% in 1996. Clark got 11.66% in Alaska, by far the best libertarian performance in any individual state in a Presidential race. Johnson’s 3.55% in New Mexico is second I believe.
In 1972, their first election, they got only 3600 votes (no idea how many state’s ballots they were on) but got their 1 and only electoral vote from a rogue Republican elector, that act was a major boon to the new party. The faithless elector ended up becoming their 1976 Presidential nominee.
Across 10 elections, 1976-2012, their average is 0.484%, take out Clark and Johnson’s performances and the average drops to 0.34875%.
Johnson will likely surpass 1% this time and set the new high but 11% would be quite the leap, I would wager on under 5%. I hope I’m right. Hard to see us winning if he’s pulling in double digits.
Garry is even the last choice for libertarians. They do not like him very much
Who the check do they canvas for these “polls”? Bill Kristol’s buddies?
Check = heck ... darn spell heck on this kindle.
News flash Gary Johnson is not getting 11% of New mexico where he was governor let alone America. This narrowing is a reflection of the pollsters reluctantly surveying the right people. Final numbers will be trump 53 Felon 45 splinters the rest. Trump takes states that haven’t gone Republican since 1984.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.