Posted on 08/04/2016 8:36:29 AM PDT by usafa92
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton and Trump were virtually dead even over the previous two weeks. Support for Clinton ties its highest level in Rasmussen Reports tracking since October of last year. Trump reached a high of 44% support in mid-July. Support for Johnson is down slightly from a high of nine percent (9%) a month ago. This is the first survey to include Stein.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago. Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Voters followed both national political conventions with equal interest but think Clinton benefited more from hers than Trump did from his. Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.
Clinton has bounced back into contention in the key state of Nevada in a survey conducted after the convention. Voters are very suspicious about the 30,000 e-mails Clinton and her staff chose to delete and not turn over to the FBI and aren’t all together sure it would be a bad thing if Russia returned those e-mails to investigators here. The FBI has concluded that Clinton potentially exposed top secret information to hostile countries when she illegally used a private e-mail server as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment against the Democratic presidential nominee.
Despite complaints from progressives in her party, Clinton’s decision to make Virginia Senator Tim Kaine her running mate makes little difference to voters. Voters are strongly convinced that Bill Clinton will be involved in his wife’s policy decisions if she is elected to the White House this fall.
Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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I dont’ think they will. There is a lot of TDS out there and a lot of people still believe the media.
i’m not talking about whats at stake, i’m talking about what will turn the election...
you think we are in any better shape??? you forgot to add in the onslaught of liberal judges nixing voter ID laws the past two weeks...
I am not sure about that yet.
Trump has had a rough week, and this is likely Hillary’s high-water mark. There is an article on Real Clear Politics whose title summarizes the left’s dearest fantasy: “Trump Out of Time, This Race Is Over.” In reality, Hillary is so disliked and untrustworthy that Trump will never be out of time until the calendar hits Nov. 8. There are still 96 days to go. It would be nice if Trump stayed on-message better, but he still has all the time in the world and the most target-rich environment ever.
Voter ID does nothing if voting machines are changing votes!!! There WILL be a watch on this election like NO OTHER social media will be out in full force !!!!!
Polls will matter only after the first debate.....IF Trump learns to stay on message and remain focused exclusively on Hillary until then.
edie1960 EVERYONE on this site NEEDS to listen to you, your perspective IS EXACTLY where this country is God Bless You for seeing the light and backing Mr. Trump, I am VERY sorry for the loss of your mom that’s a tough one to go through!!!
Wait until after the debates, the dems will be in crisis mode...
I am afraid we are and the things in WikiLeaks will be brought out as a justification of action that is going to be taken to preserve the Republic.
Johnson and Stein pull from Clinton not Trump.
This has NOTHING to do with what is best for the country, it has to do with their OWN wealth once you watch Clinton Cash you realize this is NOT just Clinton taking advantage of ALL of these underdeveloped nations to achieve wealth it IS ALL OF THESE BASTARDS!!! It IS ABOUT GLOBALISM, globalism IS their cash cow, these 3rd world countries have many riches in mining, oil and other natural resources the BASTARDS in government EVERYWHERE ARE getting enormously wealthy while the people are left in squalor, right now in our country foreign nations are buying up our real estate like NEVER BEFORE we are being SOLD DOWN THE RIVER American home ownership is lowest in 50 years prices keep going up up up due to foreign ownership driving values up!!! Most purchases are being done under LLC’s to hide the crooked money involved!!!
If Trump loses, I would like to see a collapse of the Republican Party. We need a new, Conservative party. Right now, we have only one party with nominal opposition.
That’s tough - I don’t have that problem here. My Mrs. is more #neverhillary than Bill Clinton himself!
Don’t trust any poll..just look at the numbers who come out to hear them speak....Trump is miles ahead there.
The best “bounce” they have is within the margin of error....and mathematically possible for Trump to be the actual leader....
Right now WE NEED a prayer vigil that LYIN RYAN loses his primary!!! I am ALL FOR dem crossover to make this happen I WANT HIM GONE!!!!
4 pts. after the crap storm being thrown at Trump and the RINO’s are in a panic. Good God what a bunch of losers. Trump just needs to be Trump. The public has indicated the hate the Little Jebbie type Republican candidates this cycle so why go there?
4 pts. and all this panic. If Trump suddenly shows up ahead in a future poll you ain’t seen nothing yet from the media and the liberal Democrat and Republicans, their heads will explode and they will foam at the mouth.
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