Posted on 08/18/2016 6:31:46 AM PDT by usafa92
Edited on 08/18/2016 7:31:47 AM PDT by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
The race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton continues to tighten as it moves further from the conventions, but both candidates are still struggling to close the deal.
Trump has been steadily losing ground since mid-July when his support peaked at 44%, while this is the second week in a row that Clinton's support has fallen from an identical 44% just after the Democratic National Convention. Clinton held a 43% to 40% edge over Trump last week.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I live in Colorado. I still see Hillary ads. Sometimes campaigns broadcast moves purely for strategic reasons. Think pump fake.
>> The secret Trump vote is at least 5% imo
Combine that with the 6% polling bias and there is nothing to worry about.
If Trump wins, for which I fervently pray, and completely support, it will be close. The fantasy about a landslide could apply to a second term, if God shows us mercy, and Trump leads well. That Virginia has all Democrats in statewide elections should indicate a landslide is not likely for any are publican, much less one who is opposed by some of his Republican primary rivals who pledged their honor to support the GOP nominee.
A lot has changed in technology since 2012 that I believe will have an impact on polling accuracy. More and more people are cutting cords on telephones and cable television. A large (and growing daily) percentage of the population only have internet service and a good percentage of those only have internet service to their mobile phone. For all intents, this population is not able to be polled effectively.
In short, I will not be surprised if many of the polling firms miss by epic proportions. Some will likely take haven in “too close to call” or “within MOE.”
I think the reason that it’s being reported now that they are ‘neck and neck’ ‘in the margin of error’ is because with the lies of Hillary being so far ahead of Trump, the people won’t think they need to come out and vote, so they’ll stay home...
The 34 age group are VERY unpredictable!!! Reason why the mediawhores are in full force to destroy Trump!! Trump needs to get his Kids out in the open with him on the campign trail! ASAP!!! Theyre dynamite(especially Ivanka, absolutely gorgeous and a magnet to that age group) and garlic and a stake to the media vampires!!
Trump is in a good place at this point. He’s getting almost twice as many independents as Romney did. He really only has to increase his strength among Republicans to win. Now if he can reverse some of the strength of Hillary among women and further drive up his numbers among men he will win big. Trump hasn’t even used some of his most powerful weapons that could drive a wedge between women and Hillary. He doesn’t even have to get their votes just make sure they are so disgusted with her that they can’t bring themselves to vote for her.
Thanks. These polls are funny. They are way too early to mean anything. They measure simpleminded sheeple who actually talk to pollsters and they are ludicrously small samples easily manipulated for a narrative. No person with a cognition would vote for an indicted criminal liar in bad health who takes bribes.
Thanks... we’re within range...
But the MSM continues to remind us everyday that Trump is losing ground. /s
Yup.
Trump is so far behind Hillary can afford to take a siesta until November.
She’ll still pull 41% without having met a single voter.
LOL!
"As a Doctor, for those Lorena Bobbitt situations, I prefer Johnson/Weld."
Perhaps, like the Clinton campaign, her Super PACs are running into money shortages. Current polls in Colorado show Clinton up by 11. But Trump and Pence have had beyond sell out rallies here and yesterday, our Republican Senator endorsed Trump. Ad buys require some strategic planning. The PAC mentioned in the article you linked said it would begin ads again in September. Based on current trends, if they have the money, they’ll be back before then.
One important thing to remember in a NATIONAL poll is that a couple of big populous states like NY and CA will skew the numbers from all of the others due to the large numbers of those states. Trump or any Republican would generally lose those anyway, so it is very favorable for Trump across the board.
Then if the pollster is using outdated percentages of Dems, REP, and Ind, which they probably are since this will be a BIG change election, then the results are even more skewed towards the Dem candidate.
What a sad commentary on what immigration has done. All of the states you listed were formerly solid or at least usually conservative voting states.
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