Posted on 09/02/2016 11:33:55 PM PDT by Helicondelta
The poll showed 40 percent of likely voters supporting Trump and 39 percent backing Clinton for the week of Aug. 26 to Sept. 1. Clinton’s support has dropped steadily in the weekly tracking poll since Aug. 25, eliminating what had been a eight-point lead for her.
Trump’s gains came as Republican support for their party’s candidate jumped by six percentage points over the past two weeks, to about 78 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
And despite talk radio.
if the election was today, Trump is still far behind in the electoral count.
he may very well win by 20% popular vote, but still lose electoral college.
civil war 2 may be coming.
or at least chaos, which is what they want, so a “moderate” “reach across the isle” “unifier” ie globalist uni-party type can again seize control.
GOP voters are coming home and their abhorrence of Hillary will bury their distaste for Trump.
People begin early voting in a few weeks and people are beginning to realize the enormity of the stakes.
If there is a huge Republican surge, Trump will win big.
We’re assuming turnout is going to be similar to the 2012 election. If it isn’t, then the polls are way off!
Buckle in - its gonna be a wild and crazy autumn ride!
So since the polls had over sampling by Democrats on average of about 12%.
That means Trump must be up by at l5 points or more.
Hence, why the Feds want to run the election now. They want to steal it for Hillary.
Trump is tied or even slightly leading in their rigged polls.
With their questionable methodology, its any one’s guess what the real numbers are like.
Whatever they’re like, they aren’t good for Hillary.
“if the election was today, Trump is still far behind in the electoral count.”
Nope. You are referring to old polls and obsolete data.
Trump was trailing Clinton by 8 points in this tracking poll and is now leading by one.
The state polls will now show him ahead in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania..
He will win them plus NH, CT and VA.
Should that happen, its gonna be a very short night November 8.
But today’s releases should help her. :)
She’s toast.
Once Trump mentions she didn’t know what C stood for, it’s over.
obama ####ed hillary big!!!!!
If this methodology is correct & Trump is only drawing 78% of GOP voters then he is for sure drawing large numbers of independents & democrats or else he could not be this high in the polls. I expect more GOP voters will come home....this has been a fantastic 3 week run by Trump.
“its gonna be a very short night November 8.”
Yes. Trump still has a lot of room to grow.
His support among Republicans is at 78%. Romney got 85% of the Republican vote.
Some republicans may be unhappy now but when push comes to shove they will vote Trump.
The 2012 turnout was much higher for African Americans for Obama than they likely will be for Hillary. Also, among their turnout Trump will probably take significantly higher percentage than Romney did.
The primary turnout among Republicans was up significantly and the Dems down by about 20% or so.
This has been shown to gauge enthusiasm for the general election in the past.
I think in the last week his support among Republicans has gone up about 6% or so.
It seems almost daily the news continues to be negative for Clinton. So long as Trump continues as he has and stays out of Twitter battles which allow the press to pounce on him, things should continue to go in his direction, I hope.
Well the external polls are there to influence vs. reality.
This is why campaigns have “internal” polls. The real numbers in other words.
I have heard that the internal polls have Trump with any where from a 15 to 25% lead over Hillary.
Yup. Trump is stepping up his ground game in minority communities and is actively courting them.
He doesn’t need to win over, he just needs to deny Hillary the margin necessary to win.
Hillary won’t get anywhere near Obama’s 2008 and 2012 numbers in them, so he’s off to a good start.
Like he did in Philadelphia on Friday. This needs to be continued and intensified.
Every vote literally counts.
“The 2012 turnout was much higher for African Americans for Obama than they likely will be for Hillary.”
Bingo. The poll models assume that Hillary will get the same turnout that Obama did.
That’s not going to happen. Obama had much more intensity among his supporters.
And among minorities, you are right. A rich white woman is not getting the same turnout as the black man. And this goes for Latinos as well. Their macho culture will prevent many of them from voting for a woman.
Scroll down to the chart.
Where do you guys get this stuff!
True, that is why Trump is going to win.
“Hil, you know what C means in an e-mail?”
“If it doesn’t mean see you next Tuesday, I’m crawlin’ back in my bottle.”
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