Posted on 10/06/2016 7:50:22 AM PDT by Helicondelta
Donald Trump extended his lead to two points over Hillary Clinton in the latest Rasmussen poll.
Donald Trump continues to lead Hillary Clinton by 4 points in the latest LA Times/USC Dornsife poll.
David Lauter, the Washington Bureau chief of the LA Times, defended the paper’s poll on Wednesday night saying the LA Times/USC Dornsife poll was one of the only accurate polls in 2012 predicting Obama’s victory.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
Really? They're posting an RV poll this late?
Outside of a reasonable D/R split, that poll is an absolute outlier... almost not work discussing, except to raise another example of blatant bias
Excellent post. Well said.
Details on Farleigh Dickenson here:
http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind/2016/161005/
The D/R mix looks reasonable, I agree, at D+5%. Gender looks reasonable at +6% for women.
Dig down to Education. It’s way out of line. About 29% of American adults have a degree. Their sample was 40%. This would almost certainly define income level in the sample, too, which is not reported.
That’s a significant skew.
Why doesn’t RCP require polling companies at this stage to adhere to certain guidelines like including likely voters, sample sizes, and party affiliations to reasonable portions(not ridiculous samples like D+8-10)?
If pollsters violate these guidelines, they should be left out of the RCP poll average.
Clarification. You’ll see talk of 30-31% with degrees. (Still way under sample). That stat is for adults 25 and older. But 18+ can vote.
So elevate things appropriately and 28% degrees is about right.
They all do conform. There are variables outside the comformance requirements.
These guys didn’t go out and skew their poll. They just happened to be calling a time of day that happened to sample a lot more college grads than then national statistics.
“Concentrate on Libya, immigration. The unsecured server, pay for play etc.”
They will just shut off his microphone if he strays into those subjects.
My thinking is that this is right now a 44/45 Race (either side) but it will break out, either way, by the end of next week! I’m hoping Trump is who this will break for but he’s really got to step up his game and ignore all the little petty things! Don’t give the media ANY reason to pounce! Ignore them from now until the finish line!!
“I would think the dramatic shift in Iowa from 2012 gives reason for optimism as well.”
Indeed. Didn’t we also see a report several months back, that 50,000 people in Pennsylvania changed their voter registration to Republican?
In addition, requests for absentee ballots by Republican voters are outpacing requests by Democrat voters.
And on and on. I could recite positive anecdotal trends and evidence all day. Anyone who reads this website regularly should be well aware of all of it.
I think this poll is the red herring for us all to get excited about.
Other polls show Hillary ahead, which we must presume in order to do the right things.
I do think there is a hidden Trump support that NO poll is catching. But all the polls that are out there are for a purpose. Dornslife is just to head-fake Tumpsters.
If Trump wins by the narrowest of margins, I hope it is with VA, Kaine’s home state, and NM, where Johnson could tip the vote to Trump.
538 now has South Carolina shaded light red.
What in the hell
Continues to be up 4 points = no change.
Now leads by 2 points = won’t tell you by how much it has changed.
Don’t paint your glasses pink.
White Women, the only Demographic to vote Against their own race.
So many pretty ladies for DJT, they need to ask all their young lib friends ...
What kind of person would stay married to a rapist?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=Z3h-R_6hrKk&app=desktop
Two more polls for Murdoch News to ignore.
She never had any looks about her. She is ugly from the inside out. Her conduct and behavior is off putting and she has no redeeming value as a person that I can see.
“....it will break out, either way, by the end of next week!”
On the whole I believe you’re correct but the timing may be off a tad. IMHO, the breakout is already occurring. Pence blew the doors off and set the winning model to follow.
Just stick to the game plan and this thing will end. Failing to do that, to allow Hillary to Alinksy the race by attacking Trump and arguing about him and he can fail.
She has to keep women from voting for him. This is her last hope.
If Mr. Trump can just focus on his vision and not bother to reply to Hillary’s cheap shots, he will win. Let’s hope and pray that he will do so.
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