Trump Leads for the 2nd Straight Day in New Poll (Rasmussen- 43/41; Certain Voters 48/46)

Rasmussen ^ | Oct 14, 2016 | Justin Holcomb

[xzins]

Justin Holcomb |Posted: 9:30 AM Share (25) Tweet Big League: Trump Leads for the Second Straight Day in New Poll, Nearly 50% Donald Trump has maintained a national lead over Hillary Clinton for the second straight day in a new Rasmussen poll that showed him trailing by seven on Monday. He now leads her 43 percent to 41 percent.

And one of the more important statistics from this poll is that 87 percent now say they are certain how they will vote in this year’s presidential election, and among those voters, Trump leads 48 percent to Clinton's 46 percent.

Trump also earns 77 percent of the GOP's support, while Clinton carries 76 percent of her own party.

View image on Twitter View image on Twitter Follow Rasmussen Reports ✔ @Rasmussen_Poll #WhiteHouseWatch: No Sign of Allegations Fallout Yet... http://tinyurl.com/whw2016 #BreakingPoll #Election2016 #DonaldTrump #HillaryClinton 8:35 AM - 14 Oct 2016 43 43 Retweets 53 53 likes But most Republican voters still think the Republican establishment is hurting the party with their continuing criticism of Trump and are only slightly more convinced that those leaders want Trump to be president.

Republicans are becoming more and more likely to side with Donald Trump in November rather than the Washington establishment.

[Future Useless Eater]

Trump has recovered to his pre-smear high,
and Cankles has "recovered" to her pre-smear low



Trump is actually much more ahead than this, or LA Times show.
There is proof available that more Republicans intend to vote than Democrats, yet these lying MSM polls insist on using D+6 in their "likely"s

They are also doing things like giving more weight to Republican women that voted for Obama, than Republican women that voted Romney.
Lots of other hidden "cheats" like that as well, every cheat possible that moves the needle further toward Cankles...

[Sequoyah101]

And in this news from the lame stream media on this subject?

Crickets, NOTHING.

[CatOwner]

Even with a reasonable D+2 poll, the polling outfit can skew the results to maximum the outcome for any candidate they want. In this case, Hillary, because *no* media outlet is going to report Trump+6, even if that were true.

[Karoo]

I have not heard “bimbo eruptions” since the 90s. Trump ought to use it. I believe that phrase was used by Hillary.

[CommieCutter]

Not sure how reliable this is but here’s something to add:

https://twitter.com/0HOUR1__/status/786979683942424577

https://twitter.com/0HOUR1__/status/786981503628697600

[freepertoo]

I think it’s because he has never been an elected official that makes him appealing to a lot of voters.

[Owen]

The other polls are not “lying”.

Their turnout model derives from 2012 turnout, or worse, 2012 registration. D registration was +9 in 2012. It has to come from Gallup because many states register voters with no party affiliation.

[Future Useless Eater]

New Jersey I could believe.

Massachusetts, no, I can’t see any confirmation of that one.

thanks for the links though

[dowcaet]

I think the voters see that Hillary’s only line of attack is to concoct “Bimbo Eruptions” on Trump and I think it’s beginning to backfire. Hillary is going back into hiding and the First Lady and the president start attacking Trump on the woman issue, and lo and behold more bimbos coming out of the woodwork. So predictable. The Dems have nothing else to fight with.

[Tanniker Smith]

I can’t speak to individual states, but in the past 5-6 presidential elections, Dems had about a 5-8% advantage. With motivation this year, I expect that closer to the lower end, but Dems will have the advantage. Also Independents are creeping up a bit.

[Tanniker Smith]

I can’t speak to individual states, but in the past 5-6 presidential elections, Dems had about a 5-8% advantage. With motivation this year, I expect that closer to the lower end, but Dems will have the advantage. Also Independents are creeping up a bit.

[MichelleWSC3]

Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade here but keep in mind Rasmussen had Romney leading Obama by 2 up to election day 2012. Not saying it’s wrong just that we need to be careful with Rasmussen

[xzins]

And PPD is the most accurate over the last two elections, and they have Trump up today. The Fox poll has Trump down but is gives Dems something crazy like +9.

Also, iirc, Rasmussen was sold and is under a different leadership.

[sargon]

Wouldn’t it be wonderful if the media’s psyops propaganda campaign ended lulling low propensity Hillary voters to stay home and cost her the election?

It's still their best play.

Showing Trump erasing Hillary's lead is a worse narrative for them, but they'll probably settle for that when accurate turnout models are suddenly used just before the election.

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

[MMaschin]

How can this be? Fox has him down by 7 and sinking!


Easy! Add 7% more Democrats and you end up with a 5% Hillary gain!

FOX POLL SAMPLE
POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
When you think about politics, do you think of yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?
Democrat, Republican, (Independent / Other), (Don’t know / Refused)
10-12 Oct 16
45%, 36%, 19%, 1%
3-6 Oct 16
41%, 39%, 18%, 1%

[Sam Gamgee]

Sticking with LA times and Rassmussen, which gives HC a slight edge.

[cgbg]

The Gallup 1980 trick was to poll just before the election—finally showing a Reagan lead—but not publishing it until after the election!

No scam is too low for the dirtbag pollsters!

[MountainWalker]

Too late. I already voted for him. :-)

[MichelleWSC3]

“And PPD is the most accurate over the last two elections”

-—Could be wrong but I think you meant PPP poll they have been touted as the most accurate 2012

[xzins]

Yes, you are correct. I mean PPP.

Too many p’s in polling out there. :>)

It is PPD that has Trump up. With Rasmussen and Dornsife.

PPP seems not to have had a national poll since late September after the 1st debate.