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Professor’s ‘primary model’ says Trump will win the election – FishTank (87% chance)
RT America ^ | 10/20/2016 | Lindsay France

Posted on 10/22/2016 6:01:26 PM PDT by GilGil

While most polls show Hillary Clinton comfortably ahead of Donald Trump, some pollsters are worried that not enough people are participating in these polls for there to be a representative sample size. Professor Helmut Norpoth, of Stony Brook University, joins RT America’s Lindsay France in the FishTank and says not enough people actually answer their phones when pollsters call, and also explains that his method for predicting presidential winners has worked in every election the past 100 years except for the 1960 election. He believes Trump has an 87 percent chance of winning the popular vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016polls; clinton; election; helmutnorpoth; norpoth; predictions; primarymodel; stonybrook; trump
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To: Windflier

Confederate flags are Rare here in SoCal.


21 posted on 10/22/2016 7:09:38 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (UNSCANABLE in an IDIOCRACY!)
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To: GilGil

Red Herring!?!

Perhaps,

Or Tsunami Warning !


22 posted on 10/22/2016 7:11:13 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (UNSCANABLE in an IDIOCRACY!)
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To: Falconspeed

The calls are automatically dialed and it takes a few seconds for the human on the other end to get the alert that the phone has been answered———just enough time for we voters to hang up.


23 posted on 10/22/2016 7:16:43 PM PDT by Mears
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To: goldstategop

Polls are rigged to show Hillary ahead.

Voting machines are rigged to match the polls


24 posted on 10/22/2016 7:30:12 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Windflier

Always out of town. I do shoot my air pistol here inside, though. Beats not shootin’! And at one point in time, I could have done a 36-gun salute, but it might have been too much like work... ;)


25 posted on 10/22/2016 7:43:52 PM PDT by W. (Blue eyed murder in a size five dress...)
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To: Big Red Badger

Yes.


26 posted on 10/22/2016 7:45:58 PM PDT by cdcdawg
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To: GilGil

I’d like to think that we take our own side for once. Seems unlikely, but you never know...


27 posted on 10/22/2016 7:47:27 PM PDT by cdcdawg
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To: Ezekiel
Torah Codes: ''Trump Will Be Elected''

Donald will be elected - 7 Cheshvan 5777 in bible code Glazerson

28 posted on 10/22/2016 8:10:45 PM PDT by Jeremiah Jr (EL CHI)
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To: GilGil
Speaking of predictions, here's an interesting article by Lance Wallnau, who feels that the Holy Spirit told him that Trump will be President:

Why I Believe Trump Is the Prophesied President

29 posted on 10/22/2016 9:14:26 PM PDT by rissole
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To: rissole

I thoroughly enjoyed that article. I believe Trump is protected by the truth, but had never considered it to be a divine protection or calling for Trump.

It makes sense though. Trump is 70 years old and he must wonder, what has my life been about? What good is anything I’ve accomplished, beyond security and extreme creature comforts? His son Baron is what, 10 years old?

Trump is unafraid. He will not be intimidated. He refuses to be silenced. He does not shy from conflict or the ululating mobs at the highest levels of society’s aristocracy. He brutally smashes them in the mouth with a smile on his face.

Thanks for sharing that article. It gives me faith.


30 posted on 10/22/2016 10:17:46 PM PDT by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: Big Red Badger

“Confederate flags are Rare here in SoCal.”

You’re telling me? I’m originally from SoCal. In half a century of living there, I don’t think I saw one displayed more than once or twice.


31 posted on 10/22/2016 10:35:59 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: GilGil

“You have less than 3 weeks to decide how you will celebrate so make up your mind.”

I’m really liking the idea of taking five minutes to honk the horns in my vehicles. I’d love to see that idea go viral.

Can you imagine millions of people doing that at once, all across the country?


32 posted on 10/22/2016 10:44:23 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: rissole

Bookmark


33 posted on 10/22/2016 11:29:24 PM PDT by Entropy Squared (The Rush to Chaos)
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To: GilGil
This is a new Fox News interview with this predicting guy:

http://insider.foxnews.com/2016/10/22/trump-will-win-election-professor-long-track-record-predicts

34 posted on 10/22/2016 11:34:21 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: Bruiser78

His “primary” model only apparently looks at NH and SC primaries. Is the racial demo change nationwide out of synch with those two states?

His “pendulum” model is at risk of being off this time because so many elite Republicans are still opposing Trump. That may be unprecedented in any presidential election.


35 posted on 10/22/2016 11:41:07 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: Bshaw
I thoroughly enjoyed that article...

Thanks for sharing that article. It gives me faith.

Glad to share it, Bshaw, and I'm happy you found it beneficial. As the Bible says, the truth will set you free, so anything that is deeply encouraging or edifying usually has a high truth content. I think this article helps us see that God may have a lot of things going on in this election that we had never even dreamed of.

36 posted on 10/23/2016 2:02:07 AM PDT by rissole
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To: Entropy Squared

:)


37 posted on 10/23/2016 2:03:35 AM PDT by rissole
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To: Entropy Squared; Bshaw

Here’s a follow-up to that article, along with a new (and very informative) podcast:

http://www.charismanews.com/opinion/60711-friday-strang-report

https://www.cpnshows.com/shows/strangreport/34bd90031abf7007ed5f4929b55553fb


38 posted on 10/23/2016 2:34:27 AM PDT by rissole
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To: Entropy Squared; Bshaw

Oops, actually the podcast is from about 3 weeks ago, but it’s still well worth listening to. And at the end, it mentions an interesting civil gesture that Trump paid to Ben Carson at a debate earlier this year, something that no other candidate did.


39 posted on 10/23/2016 2:44:21 AM PDT by rissole
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