Posted on 08/24/2017 8:44:29 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Harvey approaching Texas Gulf Coast.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Hurricane Statements Corpus Christi
NHC Local Hurricane Statements Galveston
Buoy Data near Harvey
Now we’re beginning to see some impressive wind speeds. A buoy 60 nautical miles off the coast of Corpus Christi is reporting 56 m.p.h. winds. This buoy is 30 miles from the reported center of H. Harvey.
Praying Jesus calms the storm and keeps those in it’s path safe..............In Jesus Name we ask, Amen
As of now I would say the eye is heading for somewhere around Corpus Christie.
Will this hit Wimberly TX with rain?
Wimberley, TX will likely get a bit rain, from this.
Even in a hurricane no one is taking the cowboys coolers 😂 #Harvey2017 #houstontexans pic.twitter.com/5fgSRGTh9d— Amjad Ismail (@AmjadIsmail90) August 25, 2017
That pic is a keeper!
Let me cut through the volume of chatter with this condensed summary of most likely outcomes:
1. Eye of probable cat-3 (possible cat-4) Harvey will move slowly ashore near Port Aransas just northeast of Corpus Christi around midnight to 0300h tonight. Severe winds and storm surge from Corpus to Port O’Connor. Moderate winds and storm surge further east and south on TX coast but severe on parts of Padre Island from the inland side.
2. Very heavy rainfalls and severe local flooding most likely in regions around Beeville to Victoria to western portions of metro Houston and from that line to coast, moderately heavy most likely outcome further inland, San Antonio, south Texas south of Kingsville. Moderately heavy rainfalls could eventually extend to Dallas, Shreveport and most of LA.
3. Hurricane force winds will reach about as far inland as Beeville to Victoria, although cat-1 at worst there. Tropical storm force winds could as spectulated reach as far inland as southern OK, sw AR and n LA but these would be minimal tropical storm (35-50 mph). More robust tropical storm conditions are likely as far inland as Waco, College Station, Lake Charles.
4. Greatest uncertainty remains evolution beyond Sunday, the meandering center could go almost anywhere in TX, ne Mexico, and eventually could end up crawling up the coast towards Galveston or it could cut inland and go over Houston, or even further west. Some models show the remnants near Chicago in about a week from now.
5. While rainfalls will be widespread and excessive, actual totals will vary more than models can predict. Some counties will get more and some less than forecasts imply. Don’t be fooled into a false sense of security by your distance inland, this will spread tons of rain well inland and the rainfall max is likely to be 50-100 miles inland at least.
True we left for Rita. The lesson I learned was that I will never again evacuate since I’m in evacution zone 3.
I’m probably gonna get rain from this in SE Kaufman county. I need to go mow.
You know, I think i have it backwards. The traffic nightmare I believe was Rita as I was living in The Woodlands at the time, and Ike was later as I was and still am in Conroe.
I remember it taking like 4 hours to get from telephone road where I was working to The Woodlands Parkway, found all kinds of “interesting” back roads that day.
Unfortunately, this is a dreaded nightfall storm. Corpus Christi would likely experience 75+mph sustained winds and higher gusts tonight after 9:00PM.
I understand. Both storms were several years ago. We were so much older then...
Add Port O’Connor to the list of places that have seen tropical storm force winds. A station there clocked the windspeed at 40 m.p.h.
That's funny right there...
Aransas Pass takes a huge lead for the fastest windspeeds over land with winds at 49 m.p.h.
Sounds good, depending on your location
However, I just heard that an offshore buoy registered 20 foot waves.
Combine that with the expected storm surge, meandering hurricane, and high winds,
you might also consider a life preserver, a kayak, and an axe for the roof (to make an exit).
Continue to 'Be Prepared' since 'Mother Nature is no one to screw with'
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
