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America will continue to bleed jobs

Posted on 02/01/2003 11:27:51 PM PST by FightingForFreedom

Wages will not equalize between U.S. and foreign countries for a very long time, if ever. The problem is supply differences. The 100 million or so American workers are vastly outnumbered by the potential number of Chinese, Indian, and other developing nation's manufacturing and knowledge workers. The standard of living differential is also too great. The balancing act for U.S. and multi-national businesses that are outsourcing our jobs is to make sure they don't kill the golden goose (the American consumer) before they've generated an even bigger goose to take to slaughter in China, India, and other targeted markets. Remember, producing cheaply means nothing if there's nobody to buy the products. And no one has been as well-trained as the American consumer to buy, buy, buy, no matter how much in debt one becomes! As a software engineer, I've seen this problem coming for at least 5 years now, but it was well masked by the artificial high-tech bubble through March 2000. I'm not sure that there is an answer at this point -- the genie is out of the bag, so to speak. Once one company in an industry has convinced the govt to open a market in one undesirable country or other, all other companies with which it competes are forced to do the same. Bottling up the genie is notoriously difficult.


TOPICS: Activism/Chapters; Business/Economy; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government
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To: DBtoo
DBtoo, things are not as bad as they seem. The key thing is constantly upgrade yourself. I use to focus primarily on software development, but now I'm shifting to Bio-informatics. There's quite a market in that field. The trick is to keep coming up with new ideas and wait for the rest of the world to catch up with us.
81 posted on 02/02/2003 1:58:45 AM PST by NP-INCOMPLETE
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To: DBtoo
Young, single women, needed room mates , as far back as 1965, dear. You wanna talk about rents ? Look at what they are in N.Y.C. ( due to rent control, something you'd like, but doesn't work ! ) and in Chicago.

Nope, in the old Soviet Union, people were assigned apartments, the prices wre kept down, and they were dreadful for most people.

82 posted on 02/02/2003 1:59:00 AM PST by nopardons
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To: nopardons
They're hanging on so tight to their rice bowls they can't imagine reaching for something else. It's as though they were democRATS and someone had moved their cheese! Now like John Galt and Dagny Taggart, shall we leave them to their own devices?

Enjoyed it, even if we didn't make a dent in any thick skulls. Over and Out.

83 posted on 02/02/2003 1:59:36 AM PST by 1tin_soldier
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To: 1tin_soldier
There are some people, my blessed grandmother used to say, who, if you spit in their eye, they'd think it was raining. We're fighting that sort, on this thread. Maybe worse.
84 posted on 02/02/2003 2:00:10 AM PST by nopardons
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To: 1tin_soldier
We didn't make a dent, I'm afraid. Thanks, ever so, for some intellectual discourse. :-)
85 posted on 02/02/2003 2:01:36 AM PST by nopardons
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To: Myrddin
Static analysis fails to consider the potential of deflation, additional business failures and additional unemployment.

That's the flip side of ignoring the multiplier effect of money in an economy.

The "static analysis" or zero-sum economics was traditionally the realm of liberals, wherein the only way for one person to make money was to take it from someone else. It appears the globalist neo-cons have adopted a similar theory regarding labor costs, seeing only the short-term benefits, while ignoring or rejecting the long-term negative effects on an increasingly consumer-based economy.

86 posted on 02/02/2003 2:01:42 AM PST by meadsjn
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To: 1tin_soldier
Company A, B and C make a similar widget X and sell it for $50. Company A outsources a $40K/yr employee for a 3K/yr foreigner and a $15K unemployment liability. Company A figures it is $22K/yr ahead on costs. Company B matches the outsourcing action for a similar savings, but opts to cut product price to $25. Company A is forced to match prices with Company B to maintain market share. Both take a revenue hit. Company C opted not to outsource. Company C can't compete on price and goes out of business.

All Company C employees are now unemployed. One employee each from Company A and B are unemployed. Company A and B have cut gross revenues in half (assuming the lower price for a similar commodity didn't expand the market). There is a net decrease in GDP from Companies A, B and C. There is also less money paid to employees in the local economy.

Outsourcing is wonderful as a means to reduce consumer prices. At the same time consumer prices are being reduced, the number of consumers with disposable income is also being reduced.

I live in a small town where many large companies with high salary jobs have opted to close. The housing market is depressed with over 600 large homes on the market. Small businesses are closing at the rate of about 25 each month...no customers. I saw a small clock shop at the mall this evening. They were packing up inventory. The rent of $1170/month was too high for the available traffic. The floor space was about 50 ft across the front by 60 ft deep.

I still have a viable job in the software industry because I know how to take my skill set and devise methods to save a business lots of money. I do this only on condition of an NDA that prevents the business from stealing my concept and passing it to some offshore shop. The idea is the money saver for the business. In exchange, I expect to be paid for the value of the savings realized by that exchange of intellectual property. In general, that means I get the implementation business. The current practice seems to be oriented to stealing the intellectual property that provides the cost savings, then farming out the implementation to offshore workers. That is theft. The offshore workers don't have the advantage of a first hand presence to spot the cost savings. W.C. Fields had it right, "Never give a sucker an even break and never smarten up a chump." You must guard your intellectual property and ensure that you are paid for it.

87 posted on 02/02/2003 2:14:51 AM PST by Myrddin
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To: nopardons
You are right about one thing; I am not an expert on economics! But I do know what I have read and witnessed. Things are changing at such a rapid pace and it is wrecking havoc on our country. It's a shame that both husband and wife have to work now just to make ends meet, whereas a few decades ago a man with a high school diploma could work at a factory and support his family, and the children could be raised by their mother as children should be.

I am aware there was no pornography in the Old Soviet Union, and no Britney Spears or rap either, as those things weren't around yet, although pornography was underground where it should have stayed.

I think there are similarities in that our society and media is becoming more restrictive (except morally of course), freedom of speech is dying out, products have become junk, housing is becoming unaffordable, people are losing their connection to God, among other things.

88 posted on 02/02/2003 2:15:18 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: Torie
You forgot to factor in inflation.
89 posted on 02/02/2003 2:18:51 AM PST by CasearianDaoist
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To: NP-INCOMPLETE
But that doesn't help the economy much either when people invest in an education, and then can't find a job in their field, or shortly after starting their employment, they get laid off and their industry shuts down. I've seen this happen with too many people in the past 10 years or so.
90 posted on 02/02/2003 2:22:29 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: nopardons
Thanks for clearing that up for me. It makes sense too in light of the context I've seen neo-con used.
91 posted on 02/02/2003 2:24:51 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: nopardons
Is bakellite that useless coating they put in the baking pans that comes off in your food when you cook with them?
92 posted on 02/02/2003 2:29:24 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: Windsong
I am suspicious of a poster who signed up today.
93 posted on 02/02/2003 2:38:10 AM PST by Bella_Bru
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To: nopardons
Actually, I never have used an ATM, but then I don't use credit cards either. I'm more of a cash person and don't like debt. And we still have tellers where I live; they are still around in the major cities, aren't they?
94 posted on 02/02/2003 2:39:30 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: nopardons
Torie is very bright and has lots of knowledge too, even if I don't always agree with him/her.
95 posted on 02/02/2003 2:41:12 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: DBtoo
Immigrants have taken over many occupations there, and as a result the pay scales have gone way down.

The GOP doesn't like to criticize business. They want to be a friend to business. That is why you will find very few Republicans willing to say to business owners, "Stop hiring immigrant labor for $4/hr. Hire Americans and pay them the federal wage. Don't be surprised if they do not stick around more than a few months without med/dental and 401K".

96 posted on 02/02/2003 2:43:58 AM PST by Bella_Bru
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To: 1tin_soldier
Not as big a shame as it would be for me to have to pay you in exchange for something I don't value.

Well you'd be stupid to do such a thing, now wouldn't you?

97 posted on 02/02/2003 2:45:20 AM PST by DBtoo
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To: nopardons
Just today, in the N.Y. Post, there was an entire page article, about the living standards of today and just 30 years ago. More people have telephones, T.V.s, VCR, two story houses, 2 1/2 bathrooms, or more, in their homes, and on and on and on. If opne looks back farther, say 50 or 60 years, the differences, for the BETTER, are remarkable and astounding.

Hey, as a kid in 70's and 80's, there was only 1 tv in our house. Today, I think that means you are poor. There was also 1 car, which mom and dad worked out use of. Just a little schedule jostling, and things ran smoothly. You are really poor if you only have 1 car to many nowadays.

What people classify as poor today is not even close to real poverty. Not being able to buy your kid a laptop is not poor. It's normal.

98 posted on 02/02/2003 2:49:29 AM PST by Bella_Bru
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To: DBtoo
they are still around in the major cities, aren't they?

Yeah, but most banks now put on many fees, unless you go the ATM route. Plus, there are only ever 2 working at the same time.

99 posted on 02/02/2003 2:50:47 AM PST by Bella_Bru
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To: 1tin_soldier
Get over what? My whole point is that our economy, stock market and the job market are faltering. I don't understand how you guys can think everything is so great. And I understand even less why people get angry over this topic. It's like becoming furious over a discussion of flu outbreaks or BAKING PANS.
100 posted on 02/02/2003 2:56:40 AM PST by DBtoo
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