Free Republic

I know very little about this polling firm other than it is supposedly Republican leaning (and the poll is listed on the Real Clear Politics website). Still noteworthy nonetheless!

The poll, released earlier tonight, shows a 49-49 tie among likely voters. But to get that result CNN had to use one of the most skewed samples we’ve seen this campaign (see page 29): Among those likely voters, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans. A D+11 sample! By comparison, the electorate in 2008, when Obama-mania was at its peak, was merely D+7, according to exit polls. Tweeters were in a state of disbelief: Jon Ortega @dc_jon I heard CNN's national poll is sampled with D+11. When will this insanity and...

The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP--or both. Romney has gained 3 points since the last time CNN ran its poll, in late September, when Obama led 50%-47%. That is good news for the Republican ticket, especially since the poll was conducted after Hurricane Sandy. Yet there is something odd--and even ridiculous--in the poll's sample: of the 693 likely voters in the total sample of 1,010 adults polled, "41% described themselves as Democrats, 29%...

Sunday, November 04, 2012 Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% (51%) [50%] {54%} Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (42%) [44%] {39%} Survey of 502 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 6, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-12, 2012 are in square...

Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters. The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinion

According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Friday, President Barack Obama holds a three point advantage over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the contest for Ohio's much fought over 18 electoral votes. Fifty-percent of likely voters questioned in the poll say they are backing the president, with 47% supporting the former Massachusetts governor. Obama's three-point edge is within the survey's sampling error. The survey was conducted Tuesday through Thursday... ... with 7% saying they could still change their mind on their choice for president. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode...

Sunday, November 04, 2012 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows the race tied with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) remains undecided. See daily tracking history. These figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Obama leads among those who have already voted, while Romney leads among those deemed likely to vote. Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans. Both candidates do well within their own...

RASMUSSEN SUNDAY: O 49% R 49%... DEVELOPING....

With just two days until Election Day, President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney are running neck and neck nationally, according to the final national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll before the election.

Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call by Mike Wereschagin Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m. President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows. The poll showed the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have begun to saturate the...

After lagging for months at historic lows, Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has advanced in the final weekend to its highest of the 2012 campaign, rivaling Barack Obama’s. But Obama pushes back with greater enthusiasm among his supporters – and the race itself remains a tie. Fifty-four percent of likely voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll express a favorable opinion of Obama overall, the most basic measure of a public figure’s popularity. Yet 53 percent now see Romney favorably – a majority, remarkably, for the first time. It’s a dramatic gain for Romney, who emerged from the Republican...

President Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney are once again tied nationally with just days to go in the 2012 campaign, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. Among likely voters, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 48 percent. For the first time this year, the two contenders are also tied among political independents, with 46 percent apiece. Before this poll, Romney had been consistently ahead with these potentially critical voters. While Obama has evened the score with independents, the challenger has made gains of his own. Heading into Nov. 6, 53 percent of likely voters express...

Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day. The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points. Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are...

Trib poll shows presidential race in Pennsylvania remains too close to call By Mike Wereschagin Published: Saturday, November 3, 2012, 11:56 p.m. Updated 11 minutes ago President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney entered the final days of the presidential race tied in a state that the campaigns only recently began contesting, a Tribune-Review poll shows. The poll showed the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes locked up at 47 percent in its final week. Romney was scheduled to campaign in the Philadelphia area on Sunday, and former President Bill Clinton planned to stump for Obama on Monday. The campaigns have...

According to a new Kimball Political Consulting survey, Governor Romney has a chance to pick up an Electoral College vote in Maine, which could determine the Presidential election. Maine is one of two states, Nebraska is the other, that award electoral college votes based on the popular vote in their Congressional districts. Maine's 2nd Congressional district is polling 50% in support of Barack Obama and 45% in support of Mitt Romney with 5% undecided. According to the pollster, Spencer Kimball, "there are several indicators suggesting the President is not vulnerable to defeat." Kimball points out that the President is still...

NOVEMBER 3 Parsing the Polls If Gallup is right, Tuesday will be a long night for the Democratic party. By Michael G. Franc Last week, the Gallup Organization provided more fodder for the debate over whether this year’s polls are skewed due to a systematic over-representation of Democrats in the samples. If Gallup has it right, Governor Romney’s lead may be several percentage points greater than the most recent round of polls suggests. Gallup reviewed all of its interviews with “likely voters” conducted since October 1. Its conclusion: “The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking...

New Minnesota Poll: Romney 46%, 0bama 45% NMB Research conducted a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in Minnesota from October 30-31, 2012. Twenty percent (20%) of the interviews were conducted with cell phone respondents. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 4.38 percent in 95 out of 100 cases.

Romney – Obama Dead Heat in Wisconsin, 2% Undecided — Rasmussen The latest from Rasmussen Reports in Wisconsin shows it is anybody’s race at this point: Wisconsin which may prove to be the key to the entire presidential contest remains a tie less than a week before Election Day. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama and Mitt Romney each earning 49% support. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. Wisconsin remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama carried Wisconsin by a 56% to 42% margin in 2008. The race in the...

Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos national voting data shows the candidates exactly even on 46%. Other findings include: Over a quarter (27%) have already cast votes, which breaks down to 51% Obama vs. 44% Romney Almost a third (31%) have been contacted on the phone or in person by one or both of the campaigns The most important issues to voting are the economy and jobs, followed by healthcare, the deficit, and social issues. Independents especially prioritize economic issues like unemployment and the deficit These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2012....

“We’ve got to make people understand that what they’re seeing is not the real Mitt Romney.”-- President Obama’s top political adviser, David Plouffe, describing the president’s re-election message, according to top campaign advisers interviewed by The Wall Street Journal for the piece “Obama Adviser’s Strategy Is High Risk, High Reward.”A deadlocked race on the first day of November means a wild ride for Election Day and a boost for antacid sales in Boston and Chicago. With five days to go, both campaigns can make a convincing argument for why they will have the edge on Tuesday. Team Obama says that...