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Keyword: bubble

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  • Scott Adams explains TDS: ‘How to know if you’re in a mass hysteria bubble’

    08/18/2017 8:40:09 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 27 replies
    American ^ | August 18, 2017 | Thomas Lifson
    Scott Adams, the creator of Dilbert and the pundit who best explained and predicted the Trump victory last year, diagnoses Trump Derangement Syndrome as a manifestation of the historical phenomenon of mass hysterias. As usual, there is a lot to chew on, and Adams adds his master persuader perspective to the question. Along the way, he covers the role of cognitive dissonance in the process of creating and reinforcing the the fantasy bubble. This phenoemnon in its current manifestation was noted by Patricia McCarthy today: Trump's press conference on Tuesday made the left's heads explode. Why? Because everything he said...
  • There’s a 'supervolcano' waiting to erupt beneath a seemingly 'beautiful' market....

    08/07/2017 10:44:59 AM PDT · by BenLurkin · 38 replies
    CNBC ^ | 08/07/2017 | Annie Pei
    Full Headline: There’s a 'supervolcano' waiting to erupt beneath a seemingly 'beautiful' market, according to a portfolio manager "We went back to 1994 and researched team data that said [that if we look at cyclically adjusted P/E, one out of two times] the market was down in the next 12 months, and about one out of three times it was down more than 10 percent," he said. James' observations seem to mirror a note released more than a week ago by Goldman Sachs, which found that when valuations have been this high, 10-year returns on the S&P 500 have been...
  • Beneath the glow of stock-market records, darkly bearish trends are lurking

    08/07/2017 10:20:26 AM PDT · by BenLurkin · 13 replies
    market watch ^ | Aug 7, 2017 8:07 a.m. ET | Ryan Vlastelica
    Market breadth, a measure of how many stocks are rising versus the number that are dropping, has turned “exceedingly negative,” according to Brad Lamensdorf, a portfolio manager at Ranger Alternative Management. Lamensdorf writes the Lamensdorf Market Timing Report newsletter and runs the AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF HDGE, -0.64% an exchange-traded fund that “shorts” stocks, or bets that they will fall. “As the indexes continue to produce a series of higher highs, subsurface conditions are painting an entirely different picture,” Lamensdorf wrote in the latest edition of the newsletter. He noted that the year-to-date advance in equities — the S&P...
  • This Time, It's a Bubble in Rentals

    08/05/2017 7:51:09 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 27 replies
    Mises Institute ^ | 08/05/2017 | Doug French
    Sin City’s projected 5,000 new apartment units for this year makes no noise nationally in the latest real estate craze. “In 2017, the ongoing apartment building-boom in the US will set a new record: 346,000 new rental apartments in buildings with 50+ units are expected to hit the market,” writes Wolf Richter on Wolf Street. That is three times the number of units that came on line in 2011.Richter continues, “Deliveries in 2017 will be 21% above the prior record set in 2016, based on data going back to 1997, by Yardi Matrix, via Rent Café. And even 2015 had set a...
  • U.S. housing starts unexpectedly slump in May

    06/16/2017 6:40:26 AM PDT · by repentant_pundit · 16 replies ^ | June 15, 2017 | – The number of housing starts and building permits issued in the U.S. unexpectedly tumbled in May, dampening optimism over the health of the U.S. housing sector, official data showed Friday. In a report, the U.S. Commerce Department said that housing starts decreased by 5.5% from the month before to hit a seasonally adjusted 1.092 million units last month from April’s total of 1.156 million units, a downward revision from the initial 1.172 million. Analysts had expected May’s reading to rise 4.1% from the prior month’s initial reading to 1.215 million. Meanwhile, the number of building permits issued declined...
  • Trump "on an island, all alone"

    06/12/2017 5:13:11 PM PDT · by vannrox · 62 replies
    Axios ^ | 12JUN17 | Mike Allen
    The spotlight has been on President Trump's legal jeopardy. But inside the small circle of top Republicans who advise this White House, there's increasing concern that future political problems are stacking up. One of the oldest (and most trusted) hands in America told a large group of CEOs in New York City on Friday: "Simply put, Trump has lost control of his presidency. He still has all the power of the office, but for someone who spent a portion of his life in real estate litigation, he shows once again he has not learned the first rule of legal combat:...
  • Canada's Subprime Lenders Collapse; Has The Bubble Popped?

    05/01/2017 8:29:47 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 5 replies
    Seeking Alpha ^ | 05/01/2017 | Ian Bezek
    Summary Home Capital plunged as much as 60% last week.Equitable Group fell around 40% in sympathy.Home prices appear to have topped in Vancouver.Has the long-running Canadian housing bubble finally started to pop?What happens with the big five banks? It's long been argued that Canada's housing market is immune to normal financial rules, such as debt/income ratios. Given that Canada is a relatively small country, and there had been (at least in theory) a ton of foreign capital wanting to invest, there was supposedly near-infinite demand for Canadian housing in its big cities.This foreign money theory has come under scrutiny. 2016...
  • Has the tech bubble peaked? Signs that the startup boom may be fizzling

    03/18/2017 5:10:35 AM PDT · by SkyPilot · 38 replies
    The Guardian ^ | 17 Mar 17 | Olivia Solon
    Startups are beginning to run out of money and investors are becoming more discerning. How does this compare to the time leading up to the dotcom crash? If you were looking for an apartment in the Bay Area 18 months ago, realtors recommended you took your checkbook to viewings and were prepared to fork out for the deposit and first month’s rent – that’s $8,000 to $10,000 for a two-bedroom place in San Francisco – on the spot. “There was no negotiation because there were 10 people behind you saying, ‘We’ll take it’,” said Ron Stern, CEO of housing relocation...
  • Nate Silver: ‘There Really Was a Liberal Media Bubble’

    03/11/2017 7:18:32 AM PST · by davikkm · 95 replies
    breitbart ^ | BRIAN MCNICOLL
    American media missed the rise of Donald Trump because they spent too much time talking to each other and too little looking at factors that challenged their conventional wisdom. That was the conclusion of Nate Silver, purveyor of and perhaps America’s leading political numbers cruncher. “Journalists should recalibrate themselves to be more skeptical of the consensus of their peers,” Silver wrote in the last of his nine-part series “The Real Story of 2016,” which appeared Friday. Silver said journalists rejected information that could have led them to conclude the Hillary Clinton campaign was not the slam dunk they perceived...
  • Third-wave backlash: Why Trump’s election has fractured feminism on American campuses

    01/16/2017 10:16:45 AM PST · by rickmichaels · 17 replies
    Globe and Mail ^ | January 13, 2017 | Simona Chiose
    t’s easy to get lost on the forested campus of Wellesley College, the private all-women’s university a half-hour away from Boston. The blue dot on your phone’s GPS is too small and the light thrown by the storybook lampposts too dim for a New England night in the fog of December. A quiet university campus at 11 p.m. is not the most comfortable place for a woman to walk alone, and so at first, you let the stranger behind you move ahead. But very quickly, perhaps after the third or fourth person has walked on by, you notice that they...
  • "The Bubble" - SNL pokes fun at liberals, for once

    12/02/2016 5:12:43 AM PST · by OldGuard1 · 19 replies
    This is a change; apparently Saturday Night Live has switched gears from nonstop making fun of Trump to making fun of the liberal snowflakes who can't get over the election, by doing a sketch about a new bubble-covered city being built for them to live in isolation so that they can go on pretending that Trump isn't president. "Plannig is underway to give you everything you need! (Except police and firemen - we haven't found any who are willing to live here yet..)"
  • ‘SNL': Brooklynites Run From the Real World By Hiding in ‘The Bubble’ (Video)

    11/20/2016 10:29:10 AM PST · by TigerClaws · 20 replies
    This week’s “Saturday Night Live,” hosted by Kristen Wiig, saw a very pointed sketch that poked fun at the presumed “bubble” over millennial neighborhoods. The skit zeroed in on Brooklyn, and painted a picture of a new living establishment completely shuts out the rest of the world. While it’s healthy to have a safe space away from others every once in a while, this particular skit highlighted the dangers of retreating into a bubble of like-minded people at all times. It’s something that should hit pretty close to home regardless of where you fall on the political spectrum. Though of...
  • HEDGE FUND LEGEND JULIAN ROBERTSON: Everything is in a bubble and it will end in 'chaos'

    09/29/2016 4:06:55 AM PDT · by expat_panama · 30 replies
    Business Insider ^ | September 28, 2016 | Bob Bryan
    Julian Robertson, the legendary hedge fund manager behind Tiger Management, thinks central banks are fueling bubbles throughout financial markets. "We don't have negative rates here in the States yet, but I think it's tragic that we've taken rates down this far," Robertson said this week at Bloomberg's Surveillance Primetime event. "I know the Federal Reserves all over the world are trying to ensure prosperity, but in doing so I think they are ensuring a huge bubble, which will be pricked, and we will all be hurt by it." Negative and near-zero interest rates from central banks have allowed increased borrowing......
  • How high can China’s population possibly go? Ambitious urban plan to house 3.4 billion people [tr]

    07/18/2016 7:46:34 AM PDT · by C19fan · 28 replies
    South China Morning Post ^ | July 15, 2016 | Zhuang Pinghui
    Ambitious expansion plans by small and medium towns across China have lead to the creation of more than 3,500 “new areas” for residential and economic use raising fears many are destined to become ghost towns. The combined projected population of these new areas is an “impossible” 3.4 billion people – 2.5 times the current number of people in the country, experts say. The world’s population today stands at 7.3 billion, according to the US Census Bureau.
  • Silver Punches thru $20

    07/03/2016 5:17:28 PM PDT · by chopperman · 28 replies
    And Hong Kong hasn't even opened yet.
  • Bull Market in False Prophets

    05/25/2016 6:31:49 AM PDT · by SkyPilot · 4 replies
    Rapture Ready ^ | 25 May 16 | Wilfred J. Hahn
    Usually, long experience and practice is something of great merit. Presumably, with age comes much knowledge and useful perspective. That is not necessarily so in today’s world of political economics and financial markets. Today, long experience is more likely to be a hindrance … a so-called mill stone around the ankle. One is not so free to accept farcical policies and quick-fix solutions. It appears that the economic “body of knowledge” accumulated in the standard text books over the last 50 to 150 years or so no longer has any application. No need apparently. New enlightenment is all that is...
  • Hubble captures birthday bubble

    04/21/2016 10:07:08 AM PDT · by Red Badger · 7 replies ^ | April 21, 2016 | Provided by: ESA/Hubble Information Centre
    The Bubble Nebula, also known as NGC 7653, is an emission nebula located 11,000 light-years away. This stunning new image was observed by the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope to celebrate its 26th year in space. Credit: NASA, ESA, Hubble Heritage Team =============================================================================================================== This new NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope image, released to celebrate Hubble's 26th year in orbit, captures in stunning clarity what looks like a gigantic cosmic soap bubble. The object, known as the Bubble Nebula, is in fact a cloud of gas and dust illuminated by the brilliant star within it. The vivid new portrait of this dramatic scene...
  • Cramer: Donald Trump is right, there's a bubble

    04/05/2016 8:35:44 AM PDT · by Trumpinator · 12 replies ^ | 04/04/16 | Abigail Stevenson
    On a day like Monday when the market drifted down slowly, Jim Cramer was inclined to agree with Donald Trump's view of the stock market. Last week, Trump told the Washington Post that there is a big bubble in the economy, and the stock market is inflated. ..snip... On a day like Monday when the market drifted down slowly, Jim Cramer was inclined to agree with Donald Trump's view of the stock market. Last week, Trump told the Washington Post that there is a big bubble in the economy, and the stock market is inflated. "It's worth pondering Mr. Trump's...
  • What's behind the global stock market selloff?

    02/12/2016 6:59:26 PM PST · by MtnClimber · 35 replies
    Reuters ^ | 12 Feb, 2016 | DAVID RANDALL AND DAVID GAFFEN
    Global stock markets are on their shakiest footing in years. Investors are fleeing stocks and running to safe-havens like bonds and gold, driven by concerns about economic growth and the effectiveness of central banks' policies. At the same time, tumbling energy prices are upending the economies of oil-producing countries, further slicing into global economic growth. Only six weeks ago cheap oil prices were still expected to cushion the global economy, and the Federal Reserve's decision in December to raise interest rates for the first time since the end of the financial crisis in 2008 was widely seen as a vote...
  • Trump: Markets in a 'big, fat, juicy bubble'

    02/08/2016 3:03:00 PM PST · by SkyPilot · 55 replies
    CNBC ^ | 8 Feb 16 | Jacob Pramuk
    Amid another battering for stocks Monday, billionaire businessman Donald Trump contended that markets still look overvalued. "I hope I'm wrong, but I think we're in a big, fat, juicy bubble," the Republican presidential candidate said on CNBC's "Power Lunch." Major U.S. stock averages were down more than 2 percent each Monday afternoon, continuing a rocky year in which the S&P 500 has fallen 10 percent. Fears about slowing growth in the United States and around the globe have contributed to the recent selling. Trump, who was in New Hampshire ahead of Tuesday's primary voting, criticized the state of the economy...