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Among Republicans, Huckabee has jumped from 16% of the vote in December 2007 to 25% as of this polling. Coupled with the loss of support for former front-runner Rudy Giuliani, Huckabee is now the leader among Republicans nationally, with a 5-point lead over Giuliani and 6-point lead over John McCain (who has gained 5 points since December). Mitt Romney, after failing to win in Iowa, is now in fifth place nationally with just 9% of the vote, which is his lowest percentage since early October.

WASHINGTON - The 2006 election is shaping up to be a repeat of 1994. This time, Democrats are favored to sweep Republicans from power in the House after a dozen years of GOP rule. Less than two weeks before the Nov. 7 election, the latest Associated Press-AOL News poll found that likely voters overwhelmingly prefer Democrats over Republicans. They are angry at President Bush and the Republican-controlled Congress, and say Iraq and the economy are their top issues. At the same time, fickle middle-class voters are embracing the Democratic Party and fleeing the GOP — just as they abandoned Democrats...

WASHINGTON— In yet another hurdle for Republicans, the scandals that have dogged Congress for the past year are prominent in the minds of many voters who say corruption will significantly influence their vote in November. With midterm elections fewer than five weeks away, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that about half of likely voters say disclosures of corruption and scandal in Congress will be very or extremely important when they enter the voting booth. About two out of three of those voters said they would cast their ballots for Democrats in House races, further complicating the political landscape for...

WASHINGTON (AP) - President Bush and Republicans want to convince voters the unpopular Iraq war is central in the anti-terror fight. Democrats argue they can win control of Congress if voters view Iraq - and the continued bloodshed there - on its own. The latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found Republicans haven't made their case despite a sustained effort to link the conflicts; a majority of the public views the two as distinct.

The death of al-Qaida leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi in Iraq comes at a time when more Americans than ever think the war in Iraq was a mistake, according to AP-Ipsos polling. The poll was taken Monday through Wednesday before the news broke that terrorist leader al-Zarqawi was killed by U.S. troops.

Here are the FINAL political affiliation breakdowns for many of the major polls that have been published. This allows one to judge how much any variance in the political affiliation of the pool of poll respondents affects the final published poll results. It will allow for a comparison to all those MSM published polls. Updated figures are for the ABC/Washington Post, American Research Group, CBS News, Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, Los Angeles Times, Newsweek/PSRAI and Time/SRBI sponsored polls of Registered voters for a three-way race (Bush vs Kerry vs Nader) in the presidential contest.

Before the early Exit poll start to come in this afternoon, a little light reading: Here are the final 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last seventeen Gallup presidential preference polls, including the October 29-31, 2004 poll which was released Sunday night. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Gallup poll of Registered voters data. Also included is a re-weighting of the Gallup Registered voter polls with the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only. No prediction is implied...

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last eight Fox News/Opinion Dynamics presidential preference polls, including the October 27-28, 2004 poll which was released Friday. Also included was the recent Fox News October 28-29, 2004 one-time tracking poll which was quickly released on Saturday. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll via PDF files. Also included is a re-weighting of the Fox News/Opinion Dynamics polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results labeled "Adjusted Numbers",...

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last ten Newsweek/PSRAI presidential preference polls, including the October 27-29, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Newsweek/PSRAI poll via PRnewswire links. Also included is a re-weighting of the Newsweek/PSRAI polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only. No prediction is implied by this 'what-if' re-weighting column, it is just to show what would happen if the Newsweek internals were "Zogby-fied".

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last five Los Angeles Times presidential preference polls, including the October 21-24, 2004 poll which was released today. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each LA Times poll via PDF files. Also included is a re-weighting of the LA Times polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only. No prediction is implied by this 'what-if' re-weighting column.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last sixteen Gallup presidential preference polls, including the October 22-24, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Gallup poll of Registered voters data. Also included is a re-weighting of the Gallup Registered voter polls with the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only. No prediction is implied by this 'what-if' re-weighting column.

Here are the latest political partisan affiliation breakdowns for many of the major polls that have been published since May 2004. This allows one to judge how much any variance in the political affiliation of the pool of poll respondents affects the final published poll results. It will allow for a comparison to those future polls which will be released in the next 8 days. Updated figures are for the ABC/Washington Post, American Research Group, CBS News, Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, Los Angeles Times, NBC News/Wall Street Journal, Newsweek/PSRAI and Time/SRBI sponsored polls of Registered or Likely voters for a...

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last fifteen Gallup presidential preference polls, including the October 14-16, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Gallup poll of Registered voters data. Also included is a re-weighting of the Gallup Registered voter polls with the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only. No prediction is implied by this 'what-if' re-weighting column.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last eight Newsweek/PSRAI presidential preference polls, including the October 14-15, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Newsweek/PSRAI poll via PRnewswire links. Also included is a re-weighting of the Newsweek/PSRAI polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last fourteen Gallup presidential preference polls, including the October 9-10, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Gallup poll of Registered voters data. Also included is a re-weighting of the Gallup Registered voter polls with the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only.

Very humerous follow-on to the Jib-Jab animation of Bush vs Kerry. Tonight Show commissioned the new animation "Good to be in DC" done to the tune of "Dixie". Check it out... dvwjr

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last eight CBS News presidential preference polls, including the October 1-3, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each CBS News poll via PDF files. Also included is a re-weighting of the CBS News polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results for comparison purposes only.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last thirteen Gallup presidential preference polls, including the October 1-3, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Gallup poll of Registered voters data. Also included is a re-weighting of the Gallup Registered voter polls with the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last four Los Angeles Times presidential preference polls, including the September 25-28, 2004 poll which was released five days ago. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each LA Times poll via PDF files. Also included is a re-weighting of the LA Times polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only.

Here are the 'Rep/Dem/Ind' breakdowns and supporting internal data for the last seven Newsweek/PSRAI presidential preference polls, including the September 30 - October 2, 2004 poll which was just released. I am publishing this information in one place for easy trend comparison versus looking at each Newsweek/PSRAI poll via PRnewswire links. Also included is a re-weighting of the Newsweek/PSRAI polls to the year 2000 presidential election 'Rep/Dem/Ind' partisan affiliation (from VNS exit poll data) results, for comparison purposes only.