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Keyword: electability

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  • Karl Rove-backed PAC Warms to Trump

    04/14/2016 6:14:13 AM PDT · by LNV · 45 replies
    Politico ^ | 4/14/2016 | Kenneth P. Vogel
    "The phone call — which featured Rove, Crossroads officials and a pollster — laid out swing state polling and electoral map analysis done by the group showing circumstances in which Trump could beat Clinton, the Democratic presidential front-runner, in a general election, according to three sources briefed on the call."
  • Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner

    02/26/2016 8:15:05 AM PST · by TraditionalMerica · 21 replies
    A professor of political science at Stony Brook University has forecasted that Donald Trump has a minimum 97 percent chance of winning the general election as the Republican nominee. Professor Helmut Norpoth’s forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association. Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate’s performance in their party’s primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election. Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a...
  • Electability: Who Does Best Against Hillary or Sanders

    02/18/2016 8:57:30 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 24 replies
    Townhall ^ | 02/18/2016 | Rich Galen
    The establishment wing of the Republican party has been banking on the fact that once voters begin to focus on who can win in the Fall - electability - then they will see the folly of voting for Donald Trump and will turn to Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Jeb Bush or, Ted Cruz. The problem with that - one of the problems - is this: The Democratic field is so weak that Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, or John Kasich beats either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. Or, at least fights them to a tie. The only break...
  • Kitchen sink time: NH foes slam Rubio as an unelectable “lightweight” career politician

    02/04/2016 1:38:07 PM PST · by SeekAndFind · 10 replies
    Hotair ^ | 02/04/2016 | AllahPundit
    Thought you’d want to see what’s flying around New England and online today as Bush, Cruz, Kasich, and Christie (but not Trump, oddly) empty the chamber at Rubio to try to deny him another momentum-boosting showing in New Hampshire on Tuesday. Four clips for you below, in order: A new ad from a pro-Cruz Super PAC comparing the “lightweight” to Peter Pan; a “Rubio = Obama” compilation clip being touted by Kasich advisor John Weaver; a snippet from MSNBC this morning of Christie hinting that Rubio’s no-exceptions position on abortion makes him unelectable; and an interview with Jeb Bush...
  • The Cruz Surge Creates GOP Establishment Panic And Paralysis

    11/30/2015 10:36:42 AM PST · by JSDude1 · 7 replies
    Redstate ^ | November 30, 2015 | Steiff
    None of us knows how this election is going to play out, but the one thing that we can say is that this has been the most entertaining presidential primary season ever. By far the most amusing part has been the utter state of panic the GOP establishment has been in since the voters took a look at their “electability” candidate, Jeb Bush, and started laughing. Since then one nightmare has followed another. If I’d had the foresight, I could have financed my children’s college expenses by selling brown trousers to the US Chamber of Commerce and the GOP Senate...
  • Republican Primary Voters Seem Determined to Nominate Candidates Who can Win

    05/09/2014 5:19:53 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 57 replies ^ | May 9, 2014 | Michael Barone
    Results of Tuesday's primaries, particularly the victory of state House Speaker Thom Tillis in North Carolina's Republican Senate primary, are being hailed -- or decried -- as a victory for the Republican establishment over the Tea Party movement. There's something to that. Tillis benefited from support from Karl Rove's American Crossroads and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and endorsements by Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush. In contrast, Sen. Rand Paul flew in on the day before the election to campaign for second-place finisher and fellow physician Greg Bannon, who was also endorsed by Tea Party Patriots and FreedomWorks. Mike Huckabee...
  • Gingrich questions Santorum’s electability, blasts Romney’s 'mickey mouse' Medicare proposal

    02/27/2012 3:32:22 PM PST · by VinL · 81 replies · 2+ views
    Fox ^ | 2-27-12 | Lyn
    Nashville, Tenn. -- Newt Gingrich said there are "profound reasons" why Rick Santorum lost his re-election bid in 2006, painting a picture of a two-term senator who took positions that would make it "hard for him to carry that all the way to the general." "He voted for the unions over FedEx," Gingrich told a luncheon of supporters. "I suspect most folks in this state don't know that. But in fact, he was a big labor Republican in Pennsylvania and I suspect when you get to Memphis and you say this is a guy who wanted to guarantee that FedEx...
  • Why Newt May Be More Unelectable Than Santorum

    02/18/2012 12:25:54 PM PST · by OrangeHoof · 55 replies · 3+ views
    vanity ^ | 02-18-2012 | OrangeHoof
    I keep reading on FR that Rick Santorum is unelectable (although Rasmussen's latest poll has him just 6 points behind Obama in a head-to-head matchup) as they try to justify why they are supporting Newt Gingrich. Santorum is definitely less well-known than the former Speaker, but that's the problem for Newt. He is well-known and not well-liked. Talking Points Memo has a rolling track of Gingrich's favorable/unfavorable numbers in national polls. His favorables are now consistently in the 20-25% range since the Florida primary but his unfavorables have topped 60% in two of the last three polls (click link below)....
  • Romney's electability argument weakening? (PPP Poll shows Santorum does better against Obama)

    02/14/2012 10:06:44 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 11 replies · 1+ views
    Public Policy Polling ^ | 02/14/2012 | Tom Jensen
    One thing that has remained constant in the ever changing GOP Presidential race is that Mitt Romney is the strongest candidate against Barack least until now.  PPP's newest national poll finds Romney trailing Obama by 7 points at 49-42, while Santorum trails by only 5 points at 49-44.This is a new development in the flavor of the month game. Over the previous 6 months when Romney first trailed Michele Bachmann, then Rick Perry, then Herman Cain, then Newt Gingrich in our national polling he still did on average 6 points better than them in our general election tests....
  • Suddenly, lookit who’s electable – Santorum

    02/09/2012 10:03:34 AM PST · by landsbaum · 6 replies
    The Republican establishment is having a bad week. It’s darling Mitt “Arnold Schwarzenegger/Nelson Rockefeller” Romney, whose main virtue has been said to be his electability, stumbled big time by losing all three contests this week to Rick Santorum, he of no organization and less money. Now comes this quite troubling news out of Ohio, at least if you’re from the Mitt-Arnold-Nelson wing of the party: Head to head against President Barack Obama, Romney comes in second, 45 percent to 41 percent, according to Rasmussen Reports. . .
  • Advice for Republicans worried about electability

    02/08/2012 3:07:45 PM PST · by landsbaum · 10 replies
    Mitt Romney is supposed to be the only Republican who can defeat Barack Obama, a boast that is belied by his trailing of Obama in the polls. The assumption is that the muddled middle, those folks with less strident ideology who are more open to compromise, will be the deciding factor in November. As we used to say in the neighborhood, “Oh yeah?” We offer this advice . . .
  • Trump endorses Romney, cites tough China position and electability

    02/02/2012 1:00:27 PM PST · by nuconvert · 382 replies
    FoxNews ^ | Feb 2, 2012 | Staff
  • Romney not running a campaign that will unite the GOP: he won't run on his record and trashes others

    01/31/2012 7:05:00 PM PST · by Laissez-faire capitalist · 34 replies
    1/31/2012 | Laissez-faire capitalist
    Instead of appealing to voters to vote for him based upon x,y and z, he panders for votes by trying to increase his opponents negatives (as in FL) above his own by massively outspending them on negative ads. This approach has led to his negatives skyrocketing and his positives declining among independents and moderates. Fivethirtyeight and others have been monitoring this, and it isn't pretty. With each battle won (temporarily in Iowa and now Florida), he is headed to surpassing Obama's negatives or having lower positives (some show he already has) and he will ultimately lose against Obama if he...
  • Is Mitt Romney Actually Electable? (Nope)

    01/31/2012 2:16:21 AM PST · by w4women · 42 replies
    Forbes via Instapundit ^ | January 30, 2012 | Richard Miniter
    So far, Mitt Romney has only won in states where he owns summer houses, like New Hampshire. --snip--So why does nearly every pundit and politician think that is the only “electable” candidate, the only one who can beat Obama? The facts and evidence tell a different story. Romney has never won a majority (50% or better) of Republican primary or caucus voters. And, two-thirds of the time, he has had to spend vast sums just to claim the number two spot.
  • 'Mr. Electability?' SuperLoserMan Mitt not viable candidate...0-17 in 'road' races [Vanity]

    01/24/2012 4:23:32 AM PST · by Colofornian · 3 replies
    Colofornian (Vanity) | Jan. 24, 2012 | Colofornian
    We all know that the GOP candidates are vying for what could be called the most prestigious "Toilet Bowl" in the world -- the "Toilet Bowl" within the White House! I suppose we could label this "season" as the "POT-US SuperWhiteHouse 'playoffs'" -- POT-US representing the acronym of "President Of The United States." Each year, the NFL plays a 16-game pre-playoff regular season. Well, what if... ...the 2008 primary season -- at least the races Mitt Romney competed for beyond his "home turf" -- constituted Romney's "regular season?" Romney's 2008 'Road' Record: 0-16 (Now 0-17) Sizing up only Romney's races...
  • What A Difference A Win Makes: Gallup Tracking Poll Shows Obama Tied With Romney, Gingrich

    01/23/2012 4:11:48 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 7 replies
    Ology's Politcology ^ | January 23, 2012 | Noah Rothman
    Mitt Romney’s greatest asset and his primary pitch to voters, the assumption that he is the most viable candidate to face President Obama in a general election, is taking a bruising after Newt Gingrich trounced him in South Carolina on Saturday. The latest Gallup tracking poll of the electorate shows President Obama at parity with both Romney and Gingrich – both Republicans pull 48 percent of the electorate to Obama’s 50 percent. Among national Republicans, Romney’s 10+ point lead over Gingrich has evaporated nearly overnight. Romney’s 23 point lead over Gingrich on January 15 has turned into a 1 point...
  • 7 Reasons Why Mitt Romney’s Electability Is A Myth

    01/14/2012 2:37:06 PM PST · by xzins · 191 replies · 1+ views
    Right Wing News ^ | John Hawkins
    Written By : John Hawkins Mitt Romney was a moderate governor in Massachusetts with an unimpressive record of governance. He left office with an approval rating in the thirties and his signature achievement, Romneycare, was a Hurricane Katrina style disaster for the state. Since that’s the case, it’s fair to ask what a Republican who’s not conservative and can’t even carry his own state brings to the table for GOP primary voters. The answer is always the same: Mitt Romney is supposed to be “the most electable” candidate. This is a baffling argument because many people just seem to...
  • Romney, Santorum, and Electability (The contrast isn’t as clear-cut as it may appear)

    01/05/2012 6:43:10 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 21 replies
    National Review ^ | 01/05/2012 | Artur Davis
    The best case for Mitt Romney’s nomination relates to the glee Democrats express whenever any other contender surges in the Republican contest. Virtually every Democrat I know salivated at the prospect of facing another Texas politico who tends to get tongue-tied under bright lights, and who once confused Social Security with Bernie Madoff’s nastiest work; or a former Speaker whose career is soaked in scandal and influence peddling, and who gets churlish under fire. Democrats also lit up e-mail chains on Tuesday night with zeal over Rick Santorum’s finish, and with snide observations about how the harder edges of his...
  • WOLF: Candidate in the cross hairs. The Mitt Romney electability myth

    12/03/2011 10:12:38 AM PST · by Innovative · 30 replies
    Washington Times ^ | Dec. 1, 2011 | Dr. Milton R. Wolf
    The Washington establishment, ever a font of wisdom, has chosen its candidate. Mitt Romney's victory in the Republican primaries, the insiders say, is a fait accompli. They claim he's the most electable, the safe bet. Fine; let's play along for the moment and consider what the Democrats have in store for him in the general election. Recall that before Barack Obama trounced John McCain in 2008, Mr. McCain trounced Mr. Romney. But that's not the worst of it. Mr. Romney's Massachusetts electoral record hardly inspires confidence. He was elected initially in 2002 but couldn't crack 50 percent of the popular...
  • Romney leads Cain 2-to-1 in electability, says CBS News poll

    11/12/2011 9:22:59 AM PST · by Innovative · 102 replies · 1+ views
    CBS News ^ | Nov. 11, 2011 | Lucy Madison
    Four out of ten Republicans believe Mitt Romney would be the most likely candidate to beat President Obama in the general election, according to a new CBS News poll. Cain trailed in the category with just 20 percent... Electability, however, was not most Republicans' top priority when selecting a candidate: 58 percent said they believe it's more important to have a nominee who agrees with them on the issues than one who can beat Mr. Obama next year. Thirty-nine percent said the opposite. But the race could still change; seven in 10 Republican primary voters say it is still too...