Posted on 02/07/2024 6:29:55 AM PST by Phoenix8
The "Keys to the White House" are being handed out, predicting President Biden currently holds a slight lead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump.
Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an upcoming presidential election - and in many cases, it proves to be accurate.
Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on the fall ballot. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point.
Thus far, Biden holds five of the "keys," while Trump was able to capture about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch. That leaves five keys still up for grabs, and enough room for the former president to secure a lead before November.
Trump Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump is the current frontrunner of the Republican presidential primary race. (Chip Somodevilla) According to American University, where Lichtman teaches, the "keys" are as follows: party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short term economy, long term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Lichtman is a democrat partisan hack.
My daughter is getting married three days after Election Day. I can only hope that I will be able to hand the happy couple an America becoming great again.
I predict a 50 percent chance of rain for everywhere in America today. So if it rains or not I will be correct.
That's because the press lies about the economy. Some of these people are not as affected by the inflation as are most. So, these people feel safe. However, these people are beginning to face realities from the invading hordes which is causing them to rethink their overall security.
I think/read somewhere we have an odd situation with the economy and voter approval.
Dem party is diverse but 2 big voting blocks are Urban yuppies and welfare class.
Retired , blue collar and working poor are generally Republican.
So welfare class does not care about food prices as they get free shit anyway and the yuppies have enough disposable income it doesn’t effect them. Only republicans really care/are impacted. A general statement to be sure.
The embeds.
That is why I have advocated for the following:
If you choose to vote absentee, you waive your right to a secret ballot. All absentee ballots will be linked by a serial number to the voter, and to the voter's signature envelope.
If there is a successful challenge to the signature matching after the election, the serial number on the signature envelope can be used to find the matching ballot and the votes on the ballot can be removed from the tallies.
No more 'once the ballot is separated from the envelope, there is no way to find it again' excuses. This will limit the ability of someone to 'stuff' the ballot box with faked absentee ballots. Clerks will be required to retain the signature envelopes for inspection by poll watchers and possible legal challenge. The number of signature envelopes on hand must match the number of absentee ballots cast, and the serial numbers must be traceable to having been issued by the Clerk to a valid registered voter (but at this stage not to which specific voter.)
The database of serial numbers will be encrypted and access to it limited to the Clerk and a few full time employees, NO VOLUNTEER ELECTION WORKERS will be able to access this database, and every access will be logged. Only a court order can justify accessing the database. This will limit the exposure of voter's ballots being used for a 'pay to vote a certain way' scheme, and ensure that honest absentee voters will still have reasonable expectation of privacy in their votes.
If you want a strictly secret ballot, vote in person and show photo ID. Ballots cast at a polling place will not be linked to the voter.
So is there any place where we can see his record from 1984 to 2024?
Curious to see which ones he missed.
Yes, Lichtman is one of the most virulent Trump-haters out there.
He accurately predicted Trump’s 2016 win.
Biden/Newsom will win a slight majority against Nikki Halley and Jeb Bush. Trump will be shut out and MAGA will stay home.
Many will vote for RFK Jr. and waste their votes. Outcome is all set up, ballot boxes are stuffed. New Treaty with China, Mexico and Canada (with 10% to the Big Guy) is in the works. Biden will step down and Newsom will be the new Puppet-in-Chief to lead the Nation into a one party system.
Too bad single combat isn’t an option anymore.
I was actually an expert witness against him in a court case. The central thesis was about anti-trump bias. He is deep in that conviction.
Not a reason for optimism about the future of this country.
well...here are my thoughts...xao bai den has created havoc in the US and abroad. He continues not enforcing border security which has brought death, illegal drugs, criminal , terrorists and chaos .along with risin and rising prices on everything making the cost of living unbearable for everyone.oh, & starting wars, too, or helping out wars..smdh.
If I had a company and a empkoyee or even a top CEO/CFO/, etc.. and they did just half the stuff this old demented crank does, that person would be fired ASAP, booted out.
Who wants that kinda sh* te around?& its not just his dementia either,...he has effed this country with unseen levels of crime, too.
We dont NEED this.
Whatever happened to Peace and Prosperity?
Is a peaceable nation impossible to develop and have? Whos cultivating peace?:no one in govt i know.
and yeah, Prosperity,well thats out the window,too, obviously we have none of both.
All Americans are 100x’s better than that pos lying, corrupt, schemeing, war mongering , destroyer of peace and prosperity.Hes just plain evil.
As Americans we are entitled to sso much much better b3cause we have the resources and this why my vote will be cast for President Donald Trump.
MAGA2024
There’s a big difference in who wins and who cheats.
“Predicted almost every election winner”?
Who hasn’t done that?
The key that counts now — as Biden reminds us — is who counts the votes.
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