Posted on 10/31/2020 8:50:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Early voting trends show Democrats falling short in 3 of 4 battlegrounds - The Hill
Poll: More Than 60% Of Democrats Plan To Vote Early Vs. Less Than 30% Of Republicans - Forbes
Not 100% proof, except the polling, early votes, who's likely ahead where, and what it means, is not adding up and if it all is few are talking about it.
Right now I'm thinking by Tuesday evening there's a good chance a lot of Democrats will drown in their own tears and I'm going to enjoy it.
I say he is going to win in a blow out (better then his 2016 win) and I follow the on what is going on very closely. He is going to hold all of his 2016 States, and add a couple to them, MN and NH. I think we retake the House and add seats to the Senate.
He won NC last time by 3%, he will by more this time. Also we will hold the Senate seat.
Pennsylvania Republicans don’t early vote in large numbers. They can catch up with a big turnout Tuesday. The Trump campaign has invested heavily in GOTV and hopefully they will execute.
thanks!
Thanks guys.
Have a good night
1 state 1 vote.
Special rules. Each state delegation gets one vote, no matter how many representatives they have. There are more R dominated states than D dominated.
“Not all Trump voters are registered as Republicans.”
Exactly! And, the percentage of independents who are highly motivated to vote for Trump vs Biden are vastly greater than 50%.
Thank you so much for clarifying the process in the House. I did not know that was how it worked. There has not be a 269 tie in my lifetime (and I hope there isn’t one this time either!) I want this to be a decisive victory for DJT!
It doesn’t have to be a tie, if there was a 3 way race that ended in 220-180-138 it would still go to the House because a plurality is not enough according to the Constitution.
Sorry. Does not account for cross over vote. A lot of dems will vote for Trump. This will be a huge electoral college landslide.
President Trump was saying the numbers look good at his rallies today in Pennsylvania. His people will show up to vote.
They don’t early vote a lot but they are behind their 2016 EV and we don’t have a poll showing a PA lead.
The vote in the House for President is one state, one vote, and I believe that that one vote is a reflection of the state’s legislative majority. There are more red legislatures than blue legislatures.
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Reading through this I saw that the writer is assuming that about 95% of voters in both parties will vote for the party’s candidate, and that a slight majority of Independents will vote for Biden. I don’t see anything from Biden that would inspire a last minute break for him from Independents, and I don’t believe that 95% of registered Democrats are voting for Biden or that 5% of Republicans are voting for Biden.
No way Trump loses both PA and NC. Also no way he loses either IA or AZ as shown on the map.
Trafalgar shows Trump up slightly in all four, and they admit they slightly over sample Dems out of caution.
I thought I was pretty well versed in civics but I am learning new things every day on this thread! :-)
I thought I was pretty well versed in civics but I am learning new things every day on this thread! :-)
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