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Vote like your life depends on it, because it does!
Posted on 10/31/2020 8:50:51 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The early returns in these key swing states are all looking great for Trump, so good that President Trump should declare victory and demand that Biden concede.
Fascinating! Good post - very informative!
There is a hidden assumption in the analysis, and that is that Democratic (remaining) in-person voting on election day in 2020 will be similar to their in-person voting in 2016.
I believe that in a normal year that would be a reasonable assumption, but this is not a normal year.
This is the year of the coronavirus, a disease that has the amazing ability to terrify Democrats but not concern Republicans that much.
That is why I am predicting the remaining Democratic vote will substantially under-perform what we would normally expect because the Democrats will not want to expose themselves to coronavirus from fellow voters and poll-workers.
Imho that should assure that the President wins _all_ the “swing states” and a few others as well.
We will know soon enough.
The communists will have to figure out how many fake ballots to submit for the final count.
This is an interesting analysis. I am confused by the scenario where it is a 269-269 tie and goes to the House. The article says Trump wins in the House of Representatives but why? The Dems hold the House and likely will keep their majority. How does Trump overcome that?
This analysis is quite poor. Calls Arizona a disaster for rats then puts it in their column. The idea that early returns gives you a strong indication of of who will win leaves something to be desired. Maybe if you knew which part of the state you could but as presented here. Rubbish
Vote like your life depends on it, because it does!
Also, at least 1/4 of the attendees at Trump rallies are democrats. Do not assume that a democrat ballot is a vote for Biden.
It’s better then this actually
Move Iowa, North Carolina, and Arizona red on that map and it’s President Trump for 4 more years.
None of the votes have actually been counted. This makes the assumption all Republicans are voting Republican and all Democrats are voting Democrat.
agree , very informative and with the late breaking polls from Selter showing Iowa going +7 for Trump (as in 2016) you can move that to Trump for sure
The house only gets 1 vote per state delegation, and the Rs control more of those then the Ds
Delegations vote by state , i.e. only 50 votes in the House President in a tie. Repubs hold more state delegations.
I am wondering how many of those that have Dem ballots that are going to actually be voting for Trump. From the looks of it, they are assuming that the Ds are all voting for Biden and the Rs are all voting for Trump.
Next Tuesday is going to be fun.
NC and PA getting all the covid NYC refugee cockroaches?
Not good.
Thank you! I said the same thing. You just beat me to it by 5 minutes.
I am registered democrat and voted Trump cuz I did not want the Trump fliers in my mailbox in my ghetto neighborhood
Bonus is I got Biden to spend money on me instead...
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