Posted on 12/24/2017 3:41:06 PM PST by mywholebodyisaweapon
Some economists are worried about the bond curve "inverting," so that short-term yields are higher than long-term yields. The economists cited are using 2 year yields as short-term and 10 year yields as long-term yields.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
We just finally got out of the Obama recession.
The reason I am posting this is because it is truly fake news. The yield curve often gets close to inverting without ever actually doing so. Watch the 1 year vs. 10 year spread. That’s the only one that has ever had any empirical validity. If THAT goes negative, then we should be concerned.
In the meantime, no danger signal of a coming recession - unless you’re a democrat.
There is always someone looking for attention.
Amen to that! The last recession was predicted by the yield-curve inversion of early 2006. I tried to sound the alarm on FreeRepublic and was besieged by the Bushies who told me I didn’t know what I was talking about.
Of course, all of them probably have Ph.D.s in economics and thirty plus years of industry/teaching experience /s.
Unfortunately, they were wrong and I was right.
You are right about the Obama title, only I would say that Obama turned a Bush recession into a major depression. But then again, what would I know?
We’ll probably hear from all sorts of Keynesians trying to talk us into a self-fulfilling recession.
Yes, and they will be touting the fake analysis of the yield curve on Fake Yahoo News. Please spread the word so they can’t get away with any more lies anymore about the fake yield curve inversion.
I always watch the CMT yield curve and it has shown no sign of inverting as it does before a recession.
Yep.
Hold on boys things are getting good.
MAGA
Some economists are worried about the bond curve “inverting,”
Some hollywood actors are worried that exhaling will cause the earth to explode in a ball of fire.
seems to be a lot of worrying going on, why??
We are one and a half or two years away from that possibility
The statistic they are th about has been this way for several years.
We just finally got out of the Obama recession.”””
Which was triggered by Chuckie Schumer saying that Indy Mac Bank in Pasadena was not solvent.
They’re worried because we’re winning. Like Sir Humphrey said of politicians in “Yes Minister” (paraphrased): They like to substitute worry for achievement.
The Trump tax cuts may not be ideal, but may very well stave off a recession for another ten years. Most Keynesian “economists” have absolutely no clue. Watching them melt down could be a lot of fun.
This, coupled with a low business tax (and even lower repatriation tax) will be a beautiful thing to behold.
Exactly! And it could be the way it is now for a very long time. Here’s hoping!
Fake news indeed. Ali Bekhtaoui is a nothing. A nobody. I’m not sure why I should be afraid.
Ditto!
Yea, but we all know that the tax cuts are going to kill off roughly one third of our population, and Trump is kicking out all the hard-working taxpaying migrant workers, so we're totally screwed. By this time next year, the whole place is going to be a ghost town... unless we all wise up and "resist".
Possible, but not likely since stock prices on bonds carrying a low interest rate will necessarily fall as the economy heats up. Stock & bond prices tend to move in opposite directions.
You shouldn’t be afraid. There is absolutely no recession on the horizon by any reliable measure. But there will be a lot of “free market” (Keynesians in sheep’s clothing) types like those on CNBC who will do their best to talk us into a recession. Unfortunately, there will probably be Freepers who will be taken in by such creatures.
LOL!
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